cryptorizq

@Alghurabaaaaaa Imams meaning the salafs, aqeedah of imam haneefa etc.

@Alghurabaaaaaa Read the Aqeedah of the Imams. No one has ever attributed direction or space. Allah is beyond comprehension and not limited to the same things creation is limited to.

Where do we take our aqeedah from?!

@akinwale_cfi "And proclaim to the people the Hajj [pilgrimage]; they will come to you on foot and on every lean camel; they will come from every distant pass." (Surah Al-Hajj 22:27) We are the only religion that celebrates Abraham till now and he is the father of all three faiths.

@akinwale_cfi It’s one thing to watch but another to experience. One thing people don’t realize that this place is sanctified thru Abraham and it is him thru where God commanded to make the call to everyone from all walks of life to come to this site and worship. It started and never ends.

Even as a Christian, this is so beautiful to watch..

@EvanWritesOnX I am loving your analysis but still can’t get around Israel’s participation in all this. How can this be contained when one player can and most likely go rogue for existential reasons I.e false flag operations, potentially hitting energy infrastructure .How do you reconcile this?

My theatre thesis is strengthening with every passing day. On one hand, you have Larijani saying "we will not negotiate", with Araghchi accusing Trump of betraying diplomacy. On the other hand, there's clear open communication channel, and the desire to restart "negotiations". Both sides are managing their respective publics toward the same destination through opposite rhetoric. The divergence between public posture and private action has literally become the operation. Trump ordered the US development finance corporation to provide political risk insurance for all maritime trade through the Gulf, and announced the US navy will escort tankers if necessary. The market responded immediately, stocks recovered from session lows, oil pulled back from its highs. The US is simultaneously bombing Iran and offering to insure and escort the shipping that Iran is threatening. These two actions are only coherent if both sides understand that the Hormuz disruption has a known expiry date. You do not set up an insurance and escort regime for a shipping lane you expect to be a war zone for months. The military operations appear to remain bounded. Israel announces wave after wave of strikes but the targets are, bar that one school strike, military command centers, missile sites, air force assets, IRGC infrastructure. Iran's retaliation follows the same bounded logic. Missiles at Gulf bases and Israeli cities, but with damage that air defenses largely manage. LNG facility strikes in Qatar; enough to shoot the stock price of US LNG companies up as they entertain becoming the main supply candidates for EU. Ground forces appear to be nothing but Axis remnants who have been on the way out since late 2024. Both sides are climbing the escalation ladder in measured steps, demonstrating capability at each rung, and then waiting to see if the other side signals readiness to stop. This is not how wars between genuinely hostile powers unfold. This is how calibrated pressure is applied toward a predetermined settlement. I am also not buying the whole Mojtaba Khamenei "miraculously survived" the missile strike that killed his father. If the strike was precise enough to kill Khamenei, his defense minister, his IRGC commander, his chief of staff, and his security council secretary, all in one hit, then the idea that his son and designated heir "miraculously survived" the same strike is not credible as an accident. Either Mojtaba was not at the meeting because he knew not to be, or he was extracted before the strike landed. Either way, the continuity candidate survived while the old guard was removed. That to me, is the succession mechanic executing as designed. China called for an immediate ceasefire and return to dialogue. Ordered Iran to cease attacks on LNG and natural gas export terminals of Arab countries immediately. Haven't seen any more strikes since. China's intervention tells Iran that its most important remaining economic partner will not support escalation beyond the current level. The GCC response confirms alignment. The Gulf states issued a joint statement vowing to "stand united in defense of our citizens, sovereignty and territory." But GCC state has joined the military campaign against Iran. No Saudi or Emirati jets are striking Iranian targets. No GCC state has severed diplomatic relations with Iran. They are absorbing hits, issuing statements, and waiting. Everything is being compressed into a timeline that serves the theatre thesis.

@EvanWritesOnX @Webwitwisdom Am also interested in your reply to this

@Webwitwisdom One of the best replies I’ve received. Will respond to this.

The default assumption that this theatre suddenly means that 'Iran and Israel are in bed with each other', or 'working together', is a blatant sign of not understanding anything about geopolitics. Iran and Israel are not friends. They're not working together. They are enemies. But yes, this is a geopolitical theatre and a highly coordinated performance between the two. This contradiction can coexist. Here’s the why and the how. The region's relevant players, prior to Oct 7th, can be described as a four-player game. Iran, Israel, the GCC and the US. Each pursuing separate interests more or less. Iran's position has been regime survival, sanctions relief, Shia-Axis influence and dominance via proxies, along with nuclear ambitions. Iran has leveraged Israels existence resourcefully to maximize this dominance. Israel’s position has been total ethnic cleansing in Palestine and continued US aid to weather domestic chaos as it seeks that objective. It has used Iran's axis to justify its constant aggression. The GCC’s position has been oil market stability, regional stability, vassalization through soft power, and hedging between US and emerging BRICS. The US position is the simplest to understand. I commonly use the term transnational private sector (TPS) in place of the US. Because that's all the US is; Private Sector power that operates across all borders. They chase MIC/FIC profits by any means possible. Be it vassalization, militancy, economic subjugation. Whatever. That's your four regional players; Iran, Israel, the GCC, the TPS. ___ The first step to understanding the current theatre, in which almost everyone missed, is the preceding state realignment that occurred years prior. The GCC, led by Saudi Arabia, struck a deal with Khamenei and his inner circle to abandon Iran’s Axis proxies. The 2023 Saudi-Iran detente sealed their alignment. The GCC offered trade access and mediation, while Iran agreed to let proxies bleed out. The payoff works for both sides. Iran secures economic survival and regime stability, while the GCC tames a rival, boosting oil market control while obtaining indirect influence over Iran's proxies. This alignment meant that Khameini pivoted to state interests over proxy objectives. To manage this pivot, proxy leadership had to be dealt with. This is what I mean by State-Proxy divergence. This isn't the first time states do this. If you understand geopolitics, this is a common occurrence. There's generally two ways to deal with proxy leaders. Snuff them out internally. Or expend them in a war like Oct 7th. The former raises too many questions for far too many reasons that can destabilize states from top to bottom. The latter, is the most resourceful, rational approach. Whether you believe Iran would do this or not, depends on how ideologically intertwined you are with that country and what it represents to you growing up. But the fact is, whether it’s Iran or Alaska, state interest sits above all proxy plays, religion and ideologies. It's embarrassingly immature to think otherwise. This State-Proxy divergence is playing out right in front of your eyes. Decapitation after decapitation. If proxy leaders held any value at all, Iran would not risk them so blatantly out in the open for Israel to assassinate them. Stop falling for the Mossad psyop. The cold reality is that the proxy leaders are time-sensitive assets. And in this game, they have fundamentally outlived their usefulness. ___ Now on the other side of the table, the TPS has been sitting on the sidelines observing the new convergence between Iran and regional powers. When Oct 7th happened, the TPS has been closely measuring Israel's probability of totally cleansing / displacing Palestinians and annexing Gaza. As the cabinet increasingly failed to achieve their displacement objective, the TPS began making arrangements and deals to secure a new profit pathway in the Middle East as a consequence of this systemic convergence between Iran and the regional powers. This arrangement entailed the retraction of MIC, the adoption of the GCC’s vision, and the formation of "Palestine Emerging" initiative, spearheaded by Mckinsey directors, FIC titans (your Larry Fink, Dimon and Schwarzman) and the GCC. The TPS correctly anticipated Israel's failure and as a consequence, projected that its MIC profits will be drying up in the Middle East, and there is nothing they can do about it. As result of this, rhetoric has gradually shifted in support of Palestine. And the TPS has slowly began to tame the Israeli cabinet same way the GCC tamed the Islamic Republic. The TPS has cornered Netanyahu to ditch Israel’s hawkish cabinet (your smotrich, ben gvir), a liability pushing total war rhetoric and risking TPS profits. Netanyahu’s coalition is fracturing, and he has a clear exit plan, provided he paves the way for a post-war transition. The payoff, again, works for both sides. The TPS locks in profits and control, while Netanyahu buys an exit, dodging the aftermath and accountability of what comes next. Netanyahu agreed with the TPS, same way Khameini agreed with the GCC years ago. These backchannel alignments are (semi) positive-sum plays where the GCC and TPS have exploited weaker players’ vulnerabilities (Iran’s economy, Israel’s chaos) to align them with their broader goals. Broader goals that the GCC and TPS both now share. And this shared goal has been locked and backed with hundreds of billions of dollars. Peace and Prosperity. Ok. So you now suddenly have a four player board where 2 players (Iran and Israel) are experiencing an internal power fracture in which the kingpins have shifted alliances toward the other 2 players (the GCC and the TPS). Khameini shifted to the GCC and now needs to manage the Axis hardliners. Netanyahu has shifted to the TPS and now needs to manage the Cabinet hardliners. This realignment shattered the existing four player equilibrium and heavily tilted the scales to one side occupied by two players (the GCC and the TPS) who both have the same agenda and hold all the power. In my observation, it’s this shattered equilibrium that’s sending shockwaves across many geopolitical analysts who are failing to make any sense of what’s going on. On the back of these Khameini/Netanyahu realignments, the negotiations between the GCC and TPS, spearheaded by their shared goal, led to the collective approval of Iranian normalization and the removal of the Israeli cabinet. And their respective commanders (Khameini and Netanyahu), already aligned, have jumped ship. This approval, led to the GCC and TPS, to conduct an episode of regional transition to usher in their shared vision for the region. This transition is the geopolitical theatre you are witnessing. The commanders, Khameini and Netanyahu are both receiving instructions from the GCC and the TPS on how to best manage their hardliners out the door and contain the "war" without any uncontrolled escalation. This is WHY there's a theatre at play that's appearing to be very scripted. Because there's alignment at the top. It's not because Iran and Israel are in bed together. It's because they have conceded power to the GCC and TPS who both share the same end goal. This is why the GCC is sitting idly doing "nothing". When in reality, they've recruited Khameini as their military commander to oversee the de-militarization of Iran. This is why the US is denying involvement in these strikes, when in reality they are maneuvering Netanyahu for the de-militarization of Israel. People view Netanyahu's strike on Iran as a declaration of war. When in reality, its a signal of his agreement to join the table with Khameini, for a post-war transition. And I know some of you will think that the GCC betrayed the Muslim world by dealing with the TPS. And we can argue on that back and forth indefinitely to no avail. But in short; what you have constructed in your head is not geopolitics. It's unattainable utopia. Take my advice and exit geopolitics. Otherwise, understand that this is how geopolitics works. It's how power works. It oscillates constantly. It's fluid. Everyone always is simultaneously your friend and your enemy at once, at any given point in time. ___ Ultimately, this four player dynamic has collapsed into a three player game, where the GCC, the TPS, Khameini and Netanyahu have all MOLDED into becoming a SINGLE dominant player, with the Axis as the second player, and the Cabinet as the third player. The dominant player is conducting a geopolitical theatre, with Khameini and Netanyahu as the commanders, executing a divestment exercise to phase out player 2 and 3. These theatrical strikes are a top-down mechanisms to facilitate militancy purge while managing optics. This top-down force is squeezing the military components of Iran and Israel to “fight it off” in a staged brawl, killing what's become undesirable liabilities in the region and aligning them with the “peace and prosperity” script. This is not war. It's house cleaning. Crowd management. Liability divestment. Controlled transition. Normalization optics. Demilitarization. De-nuclearization. And the liberation of Gaza. It's unprecedented consolidation in the heart of the Muslim World.

@EvanWritesOnX You said everyone but Israel. I understand the theatre aspect but I m not sure why Israel is playing along? Aren’t they the one wild card who are antithetical to the objectives on the table.

I have answered the necessity of geopolitical theatre before. It was long post that explained it comprehensively. I can't find it. The theatre is not for the citizens. It's for the state players to achieve a soft landing. Every major player in the region had a problem they could not solve publicly. Iran could not abandon its nuclear program and proxies without being overthrown by its own hardliners. The GCC could not build its investment empire across the region while Iran threatened to destabilize every market. The US could not let Iran go nuclear without losing credibility. And none of them could reach a deal at a table, because the deal they all quietly wanted... (Iran disarmed, proxies gone, region open for business) ...would look like surrender for whoever signed it first. So the deal had to be delivered through violence, where every side gets to call it something different to their own audience, and the outcome everyone already agreed to arrives looking like the fog of war rather than a backroom handshake. The reason the outcome is pre-agreed is not that anyone cares about peace. It is that every major player has already calculated their position in the post-war order and needs the war to end in a way that delivers that position. Uncontrolled escalation threatens everyone's returns. A war that drags on for months, destroys the Gulf infrastructure that TPS needs to operate in, crashes the oil market that funds GCC sovereign wealth, destabilizes the consumer economies that the FIC extracts from, and makes Iran ungovernable rather than investable.

@OTTEZnft 115 all the way

QF4 Fusion Battle The time is upon us, the final QF is upon is. We'll soon know our Semi Final line ups. Which of these two are gonna make it through to the SF's? #Ottez #tezos

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