0xSputnik

ready for day 1 🫡

see you on october 28th 🎁

@TedPillows Link pls

My community will remain open for the next 7 hours. Reply for link. Why? Because many people are feeling devastated right now, and it’s important to have a place to talk and not feel alone. Most of my private trading group didn’t take any losses. If you want in, just subscribe on X and you’ll get access!

@CryptoHayes @MaelstromFund Believe me he is opening shorts right now!

I was slightly bearish in my last essay due to TGA refill. What changed? $BTC busted through ATH on good volume $ETH is following and will outperform, get ready for a monster alt szn. Mrkt thinks Trump will TACO on tariffs, so fuck it: @MaelstromFund is backing up the truck!

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US House Committee on Financial Services says next week the House will deliver on President Trump's call to make the US the "crypto capital of the world."

For first time Pump is under 60% market share and @bonkfun is growing at ~25% despite multiple launchpad launches this week All flows back to $BONK

Market Selloff Dynamics + Bottoming The goal of this write up is to give you a bit of insight on how I spot HTF pivot points in markets. We want to understand the psychology behind risk unwinding and use that to our advantage to potentially spot bottoms. 1. Low Conviction Sells First - When uncertainty hits, sellers dump what they least desire i.e., lower conviction coins will top first and bleed early. - Think about it logically. If you're in a pinch and needed cash irl, you're not going to sell your prized possessions, you're gunna sell the crap you never use. - Likewise, traders will sell what they’re least emotionally invested in to build cash when uncertain or want to decrease risk. - It’s not a coincidence that this has happened every HTF top this cycle. Alts don't rally after, they rally during. They also top weeks before BTC even shows an ounce of weakness. - It’s an early warning. Smart traders de-risk before the crowd even knows what's happening. 2. Risk vs. Quality - Let's go back to the earlier metaphor. People will hold onto their quality prized possessions for as long as they possibly can. It's not until they're desperate that they will part with them. - The most desirable coins, more often than not, will attempt to hold their gains for as long as possible. This is why BTC always looks fine and you see dozens of "Why is everyone panicking, BTC looks great" tweets weeks before sell offs. In selloffs: a) Junk sells early b) Quality sells late c) Everything sells eventually Watch the order of events. It’s a map of stress flow. 3. Reflexivity Kicks In - Early weakness causes more weakness. - Once a whale starts to unload into exhausted demand they begin to induce weakness. Classic signs of distribution, absorption, exhaustion, trend loss etc. - A character shift in a risk asset will make the first order of experienced traders reassess. - "I didn't sell top, but the character of the trend has shifted. Time to reduce exposure/close" - “If this is nuking, what else am I exposed to?” Suddenly: Rebalancing triggers more selling This is reflexivity. A feedback loop of diminishing risk appetite. 4. Volatility: The Dance Before many big selloffs in BTC, markets go quiet. Volatility drops. Trends become ranges. Complacency peaks. Then, boom. Let's talk a bit about balance and imbalance. - Balance is achieved once the market begins to agree on what's expensive and what's cheap. It's a dance. Equilibrium. - Equilibrium is calm. What's known is known. Speculation diminishes. Volatility compresses. - The dance continues until one party gets bored, tired or wants to go to the bar to get another drink. i.e. buyers or sellers get exhausted; changes to supply/demand. - Equilibrium is damaged- and once it breaks: Imbalance. - Price displaces violently. Value becomes unclear; volatility explodes. The market craves balance and will actively seek it. - Price often returns to areas where recent balance was formed- hvn, orderblock, composite value etc. - This is where you get the sharpest bounces. "First test, best test" - Subsequent tests will provide diminishing reactions. Things become structural. Price accepts its new home. Volatility compresses. Balance is found once again. 5. The Flow of a Selloff & Spotting Bottoms Capitulation isn’t the beginning of the end; it’s the end of the middle. a) Alts vs. Bitcoin - This cycle alts often do the bulk of their selling before BTC capitulates. - Recent example: Fartcoin sold off 88% from its top before the late February BTC capitulation. Since this is true, we can begin to use it as an edge when looking for exhaustion (bottoming) - The strongest alts will begin to show relative strength (exhaustion) earlier as BTC is still being hyper-volatile and looking for new balance. - In order words, look for good alts to begin to achieve balance as BTC is in the later stages of imbalance. As participants, our goal is to spot these divergences: “Has momentum shifted?” “Is volatility compressing?” "Is the velocity of selling diminishing?" “Is it holding while BTC makes new lows?” Signs of bottoming in Q2: - Momentum loss (Fartcoin) - SFP/Deviation (Hype/Sui) - Higher lows vs BTC’s lower lows (Pepe) In short: alts front-load their pain, then decrease in velocity as BTC bottoms. Remember this how we spot "good" alts. The weak stay weak. The strong start whispering before the market speaks. b) Bitcoin vs. SPX Now a little exercise for you all Combine all the concepts in this thread and maybe the following begins to make sense: Summer '23: BTC topped before SPX, bottomed earlier Summer '24: BTC topped before SPX, absorbed the macro related SPX crash at range low So far in '25: BTC topped before SPX, absorbed a 20% SPX crash at range low TL;DR Bottoms are a process, not a moment. Alts First Bitcoin Next SPX Last Watch for the structure, not just the sentiment.

@Hydraze420 @virtuals_io Genesis Launch has transformed AI agent token distribution, with launches like $Virgen achieving a 130x return in just two days. Its on-chain, permissionless system ensures fairness and has attracted over 41,000 wallets to participate

There's so much noise in the info-fi space atm it's hard to know which projects to focus us. On top of that KAITO rewards creators for loyalty, meaning you ultimately get nerfed somewhat for trying to climb too many leaderboards. Focus on products that you actually use & have invested capital in. For me that means putting 99% of my content towards: @virtuals_io @katana @infinex @multibank_io Nobody wants to see the same updates about reward programs and where you are on the leaderboard in every post. We want to see what you are actually doing with those products. - How much money are you making? - What is your strategy? - How much capital are you risking? Such things actually help others make decisions and hopefully win together.

The Genesis Launch mechanism on @virtuals_io has sparked a 200% surge in $VIRTUAL value within a month, driven by its fair and dynamic allocation system. Successful launches, including $AXR and $BIOS, have delivered up to 100x returns for participants. Hope the same will be with @useBackroom

gm to my 100 active followers todo list for today; • eat, sleep and breath @SuccinctLabs • finish up my stars on stage 1 by playing rollup io and 2048. • complete XION and SEI task on Union. • yap about $VADER on @virtuals_io • position for @useBackroom summer is heating up.

@73lV_ @virtuals_io @VaderResearch In general @virtuals_io Genesis Launch has driven remarkable success, with 62 out of 198 agent launches successfully generating over $37.9M in $VIRTUAL pledged. Its point-based system fosters community engagement and fair token distribution

just claimed my $BAIBY token on @virtuals_io and I plan on staking it. it’s currently worth $85 and that’s not a bad ROI. pledged 5k+ with 1 virtual token staking $VADER, VIRTUAL, $IRIS, $BAIBY and yapping about @VaderResearch for more points to position for $ROOM

True that Genesis Launch on @virtuals_io has really revolutionized token distribution, with recent launches like $ARBUS and $SOLACE achieving oversubscriptions of up to 2778% and delivering impressive returns. This innovative mechanism ensures fair, transparent allocation, rewarding genuine ecosystem contributors.

Ranked top 3rd gainer on @virtuals_io leaderboard. I make content daily on $VADER and Virtuals. Virtuals has one of the best community on X I have been supporting maximum people on X Daily I make 400 replies and reply back to everyone Reply guys can grow on any leaderboard

Virgen Points Increasing Daily.. I Think I’ve Found The Hack for @virtuals_io The trick is REPLIES Never skip a tweet about Virtuals Engage and drop meaningful replies. Quality > Quantity. gVirgen

4/ TGE and claim date not officially announced, but rumored for July. Claim period is 6 weeks, so if you’re eligible, keep an eye on announcements. [END] #crypto #defi #spark

3/ 📝 Criteria (detailed conditions: docs.spark.fi/airdrop/igniti…): 🔘USDS, sUSDS, sUSDC, sDAI, xDAI, SAI holders totaling $1k+ and DAI totaling $10k+ on different dates 🔘Deposits in SparkLend totaling $100+ on 15.04.2025 🔘Holders of Ethena sUSDe or USDe totaling $5k+ 🔘Assets in Curve 3pool LP totaling $5k+ 🔘 Other variants

1/ 📌 During this short-term market correction it is better to relax and turn on your attention on smth pleasant e.g. Check your wallets for the Spark airdrop (announcement: x.com/sparkdotfi/sta…). Spark is a modular DeFi platform from the Sky ecosystem (formerly MakerDAO), focused on managing stablecoin and real-world asset liquidity. 🧵👇

9/ 🧐Verdict As for me too many red flags: outdated audits, questionable product demand, and tokenomics suggesting heavy dumping at TGE. Project pivoted with market trends but seems late. AI agents might find it useful, but competitors like Eliza offer similar integrations for free. No big FDV upside. Skipping this one [END] #crypto #TGE #coinlist

8/ ❓Demand? 🔘 Supports 200+ DeFi protocols 🔘Peaked during Berachain pre-deposits (Bedrock, Royco bridged via ENSO, making it #2 by volume there) 🔘 Current integrations: Infinex (web3 wallet), Virtuals (dApp access for agents), Royco (Sonic deposits). No major industry players. 🧵👇

1/ ⭐️ENSO | Coinlist Sale Review ⭐️ 📌ENSO (@EnsoBuild ) tackles dApp fragmentation, enabling devs to scale across chains/protocols with a universal "engine" of Actions + Templates for one-click on-chain functions. No need to rewrite code or redo audits. 🧵👇