Mike Meade

1K posts

Mike Meade

Mike Meade

@curated_value

I know nothing

Chicago, IL Katılım Nisan 2020
191 Takip Edilen633 Takipçiler
Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
I think the federal government puts very little value on sin excise taxes. Sports betting still uses a very small excise tax that was enacted over 50 years ago. Inflation adjusted federal alcohol and tobacco excise taxes have remained minimal. Would be on par for cannabis if it got treated differently though
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Jerry Derevyanny
Jerry Derevyanny@JDerevyanny·
@GreenWaveMJ Rethinking it likely comes with an excise tax attached that equals the lot revenue unless s3 happens first…
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The GreenWave
The GreenWave@GreenWaveMJ·
Section 280E comes from a specific moment in U.S. tax history tied to drug policy. It originated after a 1981 court case involving a drug dealer named Edmondson v. Commissioner. In that case, the Tax Court allowed the taxpayer—who was illegally selling drugs—to deduct ordinary business expenses under standard tax rules. At the time, this was aimed at illegal drug operations and was not designed for legal state cannabis businesses. So the question is -- had Congress known decades later, that it would impact state legal cannabis businesses, would it have acted in a similar manner? IMHO, the answer is no. Its time to rethink 280E. $MSOS
Marijuana Moment@MarijuanaMoment

Marijuana Businesses Can't Force Court To Do 'Imaginary' Rescheduling Review To Exempt Them From 280E Tax, IRS Says: "This would create a seismic rift between how substances are controlled and identified under the CSA." marijuanamoment.net/marijuana-busi…

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Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
@SemiEvolvedM You can make the argument that being profitable without a mess of a balance sheet would also help bring volume. Don’t think uplisting fixes that part of the equation. I think clarity from the IRS on UTP’s is what is truly needed to get more volume
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SemiEvolvedMamal
SemiEvolvedMamal@SemiEvolvedM·
US cannabis (MSO) investing 101: Every inflow into $MSOS leads to buying in the underlying, causing a quick pop The Jane Sts of the world then short & spoof these (otc has low liquidity), causing a fast, unexplainable drop This won't end until uplisting S3 needed
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Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
Adding a touch screen just to fill it with distillate is an interesting choice selectbetter.com
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Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
I'd almost rather see the bev segment disappear. I just want the royalty revs and leverage. Unlocks the growth of their internal brands and provides more stable and certain cash flows (i.e. no tax uncertainty) that they can add leverage to. The ROE on the royalties is attractive and less risky. The cash burning bev segment can take that away from us.
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Scott R. Grossman
Scott R. Grossman@srg444·
@V_arrell My view too. Remember: more $RYM value = cheaper $GTBIF core. And cheaper $RYM = richer $GTBIF core. Beautiful structure....haven't seen one of these in a v long time since Malone.
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Anthony Varrell
Anthony Varrell@V_arrell·
RYTHM posted a solid quarter and the $GTBIF ER showed that they have brand power within the portfolio giving the IP real value. The real question here is how does the business model evolve if there is a clamp down on hemp beverages and they are forced to silo the business in each market MSO style. $MSOS $RYM globenewswire.com/news-release/2…
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Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
I enjoyed the write up. Of the larger cultivation facilities out there, what percentage would you say have grow rooms equipped to simulate the specific climate conditions needed for those origin standards? I am speaking blindly because I don't know much about the topic, but I get the feeling most grow rooms were designed for maximum yields for genetics from limited parents and not very adaptable
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Dexter Capital
Dexter Capital@timothy_dexter_·
Thanks for all the thoughtful feedback. I’ve been sitting on this idea since I entered the industry ~10 years ago, glad to finally share it. More posts coming ranging from conceptual ideas like this to market commentary, etc - just not on a rigid (or overly frequent) schedule.
Dexter Capital@timothy_dexter_

Wine has Burgundy, Coffee has Ethiopian, Tobacco has Virginia. What does cannabis have? Vibes & THC %. Legal cannabis needs a reset. If we want real research, real innovation, and to beat the black market, the way back is the way forward. My proposal: dexcapital.substack.com/p/restoration-…

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Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
The trade spend in cannabis should be a good representation of how competitive the industry is
Mike Meade tweet media
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The GreenWave
The GreenWave@GreenWaveMJ·
@GTIGrows Annual Cash Flow From Operations + 50% YoY ($295M ' 25 vs $195M '24) . In 2025 $GTBIF shifted tax strategy and has stopped payment on 280E. CURRENT portion of tax provision is $126M on Pretax income of $263M. 280E portion of the provision is ~$50M if I am doing the math right.. It has plenty of cash on hand to pay it. $MSOS
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Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
@GreenWaveMJ @sammyj_19 @GTIGrows I gave up trying to figure out UTPs. I just take (gross profit * .21) - cash paid for taxes to get overall tax impact/liability. Comes out to $90M for GTI during the year
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Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
@srg444 I'm hoping rythm breaks out opex for bevs vs. royalties
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Scott R. Grossman
Scott R. Grossman@srg444·
Cannabis folks, here's what's on my mind this week: 1) Will $IIPR cut its dividend? 2) What is $GTBIF doing with the extra cash? M&A? Buying accretive brand portfolio? Buying stock? 3) By extension, will we see $RYM royalties "shock and awe" as hemp bevs continue to ramp? 4) What's $TCNNF going to say about FLA rec, and more importantly, what's their body language say about S3?
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Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
@jamiecampbell I invest in what I feel are the stronger companies, so I want them taking more shelf space and profits from the weak ones that only compete because they don't pay taxes. I prefer the companies I own to make more money rather than less money.
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jamiecampbell
jamiecampbell@jamiecampbell·
@curated_value As are many other aspects of an industry battered by headwinds. What harm is it to you if some don’t fail fast enough?
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Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
What I primarily want for cannabis stocks is clarity and one set of rules when it comes to taxes. I’d clearly prefer that to be S3 and the removal of 280e, but if that’s not coming anytime soon I want the IRS to start cracking down on companies not paying 280e. Right now you can’t put a multiple on the companies because everyone is playing by their own set of rules
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Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
@jamiecampbell UTP’s being the largest liability on the balance sheet, unpaid taxes being the primary source of your OCF, and no liquidity to pay the taxes is pretty unique to the cannabis industry.
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Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
My thoughts on all the anti-cannabis rhetoric: The challenge the industry faces with anti-cannabis arguments is their simplicity. Fear based headlines about psychosis or worst case health risks are easy to sell because people take them at face value. In contrast, the nuanced health and societal benefits of cannabis are often more abstract, and land on deaf ears until cannabis postively impacts someone’s life directly. I think what matters more is the undeniable economic impact the industry has had on state governments, which is exactly why I don’t think cannabis is going anywhere. Since legalization began, states have taken in over $25 billion in tax revenue, funding everything from schools to infrastructure. The industry now supports more than 425,000 jobs, all while making advancements in medical research that were previously impossible to conduct. No policies are without their trade offs, and there will always be a small percentage of the population that faces negative outcomes. However, when you weigh those against the economic impacts the industry has, it is hard to see canabis going anywhere fast. We’ve moved past the social experiment phase and into a reality where cannabis is a solid win for state stability and general well being.
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Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
They haven't issued any additional cultivaition licenses in over a year. There are 37 cultivation licenses (23 level , 14 level 2), so the 9 listed companies comprises over 25% of the cultivaiton licenses and even more as a % of total canopy. The companies are all vertically integrated and also own over 25% of the operational dispensaries. 1) If it is only 25% of your dispensries across 9 companies in a competitive industry that are capabable of "maintaining or increasing supra-competitive prices", then its probably a sign either local zoning laws are too strict, you need to issue more licenses, or you are issuing the remaining licenses to people who are incompetitient. In 2025, they put in new regulations that further prevent oversaturation in local markets. 2) If they were keeping prices artifically high due to reciprocal agreements, then that would help the small Ohio businesses, not push them out of the market. If these 9 companies comprised of an estimated 35% of total production, and only accounted for 25% of the dispensaries, it helped allocate a larger percentage of supply to a smaller subset of the overall market. This would've given smaller brands an opportunity to get more shelf space at the remaining 75% of dispensaries. It is probably the $200k annual cultivaiton renewal fee pushing small Ohio businesses out of the market.
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Jerry Derevyanny
Jerry Derevyanny@JDerevyanny·
@curated_value Which regulations do you mean allow this? Just general license limits or something specific?
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Mike Meade
Mike Meade@curated_value·
This is funny because 1) It’s the states own regulations that allow this to happen 2) Half the companies listed don’t make any money and will be bankrupt in 2 years ohioattorneygeneral.gov/Media/News-Rel…
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