John Curtin Research Centre

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John Curtin Research Centre

John Curtin Research Centre

@curtin_rc

The John Curtin Research Centre is a social democratic thinktank developing ideas & policies for a fairer, better Australia. https://t.co/dVHj3jRCoI

Melbourne, Victoria Katılım Ocak 2017
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John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
Last night we were honoured to host Prime Minister @AlboMP deliver the 2025 Curtin Oration in Sydney on the 80th anniversary of John Curtin’s passing in office on 5 July 1945. Thankyou to the PM, to our Oration partners and everyone who attended a sensational evening. We’ll have video and more photos on our socials shortly.
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John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
On Curtin’s Cast, @KosSamaras unloads on Donald Trump’s attack on Pope Francis: “No serious political operation would ever go there… it’s an absolute affront.” Ben Wellings: it’s just the latest in a string of MAGA “own goals” — from “Liberation Day” 2025 onwards. 🎧 Listen to episode 53: podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/cur…
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John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
On Curtin’s Cast, @KosSamaras is blunt — Trump’s Iran war and NATO tensions have exposed fractures everywhere, including inside MAGA. “They still think they’ve got the same cache — like JD Vance can just turn up in Hungary [and expect millions of fans].” But even in Hungary, that model is cracking. @BenWellings: “There’s a sort of denial about the consequences of their actions — that there won’t be reactions.” Those reactions are already here: fractures in MAGA, pushback across Europe, resistance on the right. 🎧episode 53: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cur…
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Kos Samaras
Kos Samaras@KosSamaras·
Our latest podcast with Associate Professor Ben Wellings. A warning for parties and politicians everywhere: hitch yourself to Trump, and there are not many electorates in the world that won’t punish you for it.
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc

🎙️ New Curtin’s Cast — Europe’s Political Upheaval On this episode, @Dyrenfurth and @KosSamaras are joined by leading scholars of nationalism and European politics expert Associate Professor @wellings_ben (Monash University) to unpack the forces reshaping the UK and Europe. From the collapse of the political centre to the rise of populists and Greens alike, this is a continent in flux. We cover: ▪️ The UK’s shift to five-party fragmentation with Greens and Reform surging ▪️ Trump Bump 2.0 reshaping European politics in real time ▪️ Hungary after Orbán — liberal reset or just a populist pause? ▪️ Scottish and Welsh elections and Keir Starmer’s future Essential listening for anyone trying to understand where Western politics is heading — and why the old rules no longer apply. Listen to episode 53: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cur…

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John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
On Curtin’s Cast, @wellings_ben joins @Dyrenfurth and @KosSamaras to unpack the collapse of Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz — the model that inspired MAGA. Built on “illiberal democracy”: tightening media, reshaping courts, constraining opposition — while keeping elections. Even with Trump-world backing and JD Vance on the ground, it wasn’t enough. What looked like a blueprint for power may be far less durable than its advocates believe. 🎧 episode 53: podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/cur…
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John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
🎙️ New Curtin’s Cast — Europe’s Political Upheaval On this episode, @Dyrenfurth and @KosSamaras are joined by leading scholars of nationalism and European politics expert Associate Professor @wellings_ben (Monash University) to unpack the forces reshaping the UK and Europe. From the collapse of the political centre to the rise of populists and Greens alike, this is a continent in flux. We cover: ▪️ The UK’s shift to five-party fragmentation with Greens and Reform surging ▪️ Trump Bump 2.0 reshaping European politics in real time ▪️ Hungary after Orbán — liberal reset or just a populist pause? ▪️ Scottish and Welsh elections and Keir Starmer’s future Essential listening for anyone trying to understand where Western politics is heading — and why the old rules no longer apply. Listen to episode 53: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cur…
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John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
The MAGA base is splitting — and it’s about war. Trump promised “no forever wars”. Now he’s in one with Iran, triggering global turmoil and backlash. On Curtin’s Cast, @KosSamaras: This won’t just hurt Republicans at the midterms but will leave Trump's "legacy in an absolute bin fire.” 🎧 Episode 52: podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/cur…
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John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
On Curtin’s Cast, @Dyrenfurth and @KosSamaras unpack the emerging political shift reshaping elections across Australia, Europe and beyond. As global instability rises, many voters are pushing back against derivative Trump-style politics and local MAGA supporters. Kos puts it bluntly: “Anyone who finds themselves on the side of Trump in Australian politics is going to find themselves in a lot of trouble at the ballot box.” This is Trump Bump 2.0: Not a surge for the populist right — but a correction toward stability, sovereignty and “adults in the room”. 🎧 Listen to Episode 52: podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/cur…
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John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
On Insiders, Andrew Hastie didn’t look like just another opposition figure — he looked like something more. On Curtin’s Cast, @Dyrenfurth puts it bluntly: “He looked and sounded like a leader… he can think for himself.” Not a last stand for neoliberalism — but a focus on real problems: sovereign capability, housing, and even an open mind on CGT and negative gearing. In a more dangerous, unstable world, voters aren’t just asking who’s right — they’re looking for adults. 🎧 Episode 52: podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/cur…
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John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
⚡ Angus Taylor’s MAGA gamble? @KosSamaras on Curtin’s Cast: the electoral maths doesn’t stack up. ➡️ Up to 35% of Liberal voters would preference Labor over One Nation ➡️ ~50% did exactly that in Peter Malinauskas’ seat ➡️ Small-c conservatives default to the centre A Lib–One Nation coalition, as floated by Jeff Kennett? “Electoral poison.” 🎧 episode 52: podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/cur…
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John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
⚠️ This is the mistake every political party is making. @KosSamaras explains why Australia isn’t facing one populist surge — but two: ➡️ Gen X → right-wing, One Nation / MAGA-style populism ➡️ Gen Z → left-wing, economic populism Different generations. Different psychology. Different emotional drivers. And here’s the kicker: You can’t “fix” this with policy announcements. Because voters aren’t just choosing policies but sorting psychologically. 🎧 Listen to episode 52: podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/cur…
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John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
Australia isn’t experiencing one populist surge, but two. In this episode of Curtin’s Cast, @Dyrenfurth and @KosSamaras unpack new RedBridge and Accent Research polling revealing a striking political reality: under the same economic pressures, different generations are breaking in completely different directions. Among financially stressed Gen X voters, One Nation is surging. Among Gen Z voters under that same pressure, the Greens are rising. Same system. Same frustration. Completely different political outcomes. This isn’t just volatility — it’s something deeper. The unravelling of the class-based political system that has defined Australia for more than a century. But here’s the paradox: as the system fragments, Labor remains dominant. Why? Drawing on Nick’s ‘Trump Bump 2.0’ thesis, the episode explores how voters are shifting from blaming governments to asking a different question — who looks like the “adult in the room” in an age of global instability. Nick and Kos break down: - Why Australia now has two competing populisms - The generational divide reshaping politics - Why One Nation is insurgent but not a governing force - The Coalition’s accelerating collapse - How Labor is holding on amid fragmentation - Is class politics being replaced by generation and education This is a conversation about a political system coming apart — and what might replace it.
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Nick Dyrenfurth
Nick Dyrenfurth@dyrenfurth·
Paul Keating once recalled Jack Lang saying: politics is full of skyrockets – a shower of sparks, then a dead stick falling to earth. Is Max Chandler-Mather the same fizzer politics? Big rhetoric. Imported ideas. No new thinking. The Greens Institute should be doing the intellectual heavy lifting — not doorknocking. My latest for @Australian link in comments
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John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
How do you prepare Australians for the real cost of sovereignty? @mishazelinsky asks the hard question. @KosSamaras gives the blunt answer: governments must level with the public about the world we’re entering — where trade-offs are unavoidable. Spend a little less now … or risk something far worse. Just ask Ukranians. 🎧 Curtin’s Cast Ep 51: podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/cur…
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John Curtin Research Centre retweetledi
misha
misha@mishazelinsky·
What is national sovereignty? It’s the ability to have the things, when you need them. Don’t go that? You don’t got much.
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc

On our latest pod @mishazelinsky explains how the Iran war shows, in real time, how asymmetric conflict actually works. The Strait of Hormuz does not need to be permanently closed to cause global economic shock. It only takes risk — even the possibility of one in 20 ships being blown up by a speedboat packed with explosives — to send insurance costs soaring and supply chains into panic. For Australia, the lesson is stark. As Misha tells @Dyrenfurth and @KosSamaras, too many businesses have become utterly addicted to cheap inputs, cheap labour and cheap overseas imports. But the true price of “cheap” is what it costs when the world turns dangerous. We have been casual. We have been foolish. And the bill is now coming due. 🎧 Listen now to Curtin's Cast episode 51: podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/cur…

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John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
On our latest pod @mishazelinsky explains how the Iran war shows, in real time, how asymmetric conflict actually works. The Strait of Hormuz does not need to be permanently closed to cause global economic shock. It only takes risk — even the possibility of one in 20 ships being blown up by a speedboat packed with explosives — to send insurance costs soaring and supply chains into panic. For Australia, the lesson is stark. As Misha tells @Dyrenfurth and @KosSamaras, too many businesses have become utterly addicted to cheap inputs, cheap labour and cheap overseas imports. But the true price of “cheap” is what it costs when the world turns dangerous. We have been casual. We have been foolish. And the bill is now coming due. 🎧 Listen now to Curtin's Cast episode 51: podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/cur…
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John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
“The ability to make things when you need them is what sovereignty is.” @mishazelinsky on Curtin’s Cast Ep 51. COVID and now the Iran oil crisis have exposed the truth: supply chains belong to nation-states — and Australia has been dangerously exposed. Back in 2020, Misha warned in our Tocsin magazine that we had less than a month’s supply of jet fuel! 🎧 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cur… 📄 curtinrc.org/wp-content/upl…
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John Curtin Research Centre retweetledi
John Curtin Research Centre
John Curtin Research Centre@curtin_rc·
On Curtin's Cast Episode 51, @dyrenfurth and @KosSamaras speak with @mishazelinsky about the return of Cold War style proxy conflict — from Iran’s use of Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis to Russian arms spreading across Africa and the Middle East. The goal isn’t just conventional warfare — it’s chaos, discord and the destabilisation of democracies. 🎧 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cur…
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Keşfet

@KosSamaras @BenWellings @wellings_ben @Dyrenfurth @Australian @mishazelinsky @dyrenfurth @elonmusk