abstract octave
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abstract octave
@dafunkystar
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Share a medical fact that absolutely blows your mind 😮

Understanding Amish Fertility The Amish have a fertility rate of between 6 and 10 births per woman, which is among the highest in the world. I had a chance conversation with a young Amish man that was interesting and offers insight into why Amish fertility is so high. Driving through York County, Pennsylvania, I took a rest stop at a Sheetz near I-83. There were a couple of young guys who looked Amish getting snacks and using the ATM. Naturally, I struck up the conversation with them. It hadn’t occurred to me that an Amish person would use an ATM, but then again, we all need money! The older of the two, Leroy, said he is 21 years old. He is a tall and handsome guy with golden locks in traditional Amish attire, a yellow straw hat, black pants, and light-colored collared shirt. His similarly dressed friend is 17. I focused my attention on Leroy, who was genial and happy to talk. I asked if I could take a picture of him, but he declined. Below is Grok's offering, which is close enough. Leroy is one of 10 children in his immediate family, and he lives in a house without electricity. He says they can use electricity when they need it, via solar panels. Interesting! His schooling ended after the 8th grade when he was 14, as is usual in his community. He came across as intelligent and spoke English as naturally and easily as anyone his age. I imagine would probably be in college right now, if he weren’t Amish. What about politics? Is Leroy going to vote? A huge election is coming up and in Pennsylvania politics is dialed up to 11! No, he’s not voting, and he isn’t even registered. The Amish bishops discourage talking politics and most Amish are apolitical. Does he know that there is a big problem in the world with low birth rates? (I told him that is a big reason why I’m curious to talk to him.) Yes, he did know that! I asked Leroy if he is married or plans to get married. It turns out he will be getting married this November, in just weeks! Does he have a picture of the young lady? No, and he does not own a cell phone. Leroy has been working since he left school, so about seven years now! What does he do? These days he is working as a roofer with an Amish company, but the customers are mostly ‘English.’ (English is the word Amish people use for anyone who isn’t Amish, no matter what their actual race is.) He lives with his parents and is saving money. But he is about to rent his own place, as soon as he is married. I had to ask Leroy one more question - when does he think he will start having kids? He replied that people in his community usually start having kids within one or two years of getting married. He seems to be on track to have a very big family himself, maybe with ten kids like his parents have. This is all very natural in his world. Yet much less than 1% of American families are that big. Extraordinary Amish Fertility How high is Amish fertility? Incredibly high! The chart below shows the fertility of different Amish subgroups. (Source: Throyer, The Varying Fertilities of the Amish Groups of Holmes County, Ohio). The US Amish population is currently growing at 3.26%, which is an incredible rate comparable to the fastest growing African countries, even though some Amish leave the fold. For comparison, the fastest growth rate America had in the last 100 years, at the height of the Baby Boom, was around 2% per year including immigration. The global growth rate is 0.87% per year but it will go negative before long. How the Amish Have Such High Fertility The young man I spoke to is fairly typical of the Lancaster County Amish (although he is in York County, which is one county over). The factors that foster such high fertility are simple: · Religiosity – To be Amish is to be part of a very conservative Anabaptist sect of Christianity · Short educations – The Amish won a landmark Supreme Court decision (Wisconsin v. Yoder in 1972) to be permitted to end school after the eighth grade, and higher education is extremely rare. · Strong norms around marriage and sex – Tradition dictates that sex is within marriage, and marriage is relatively early, while divorce is rare. Thus, Amish spend many of their fertile years being married, which leads naturally to large families. · Low contraception – Amish religious belief is purposefully pronatal (believing “couples should have as many children as God should want them to have”) and Amish churches frown on birth control. · Little technology – The Amish decide whether to accept a technology based on whether it is deemed to strengthen or weaken community life. Things deemed to weaken the community, from computers to cell phones, cars and electricity are verboten. · Economic strength – The Amish work hard, focusing on things like farming and construction. The average household income in Amish communities is about $42,000 per year, but the Amish don’t spend much on things the rest of us enjoy, and the result is often considerable savings and wealth. It is easy to afford kids when you aren’t spending your money on much else. · Low density – By being rural and continually founding new settlements, and because they live in single-family homes surrounded by land, the Amish do not suffer crowding and density that commonly lower birth rates. Lessons for the rest of us In a world of collapsing fertility, we can learn a lot from high fertility groups, and the Amish have the highest! Admittedly, the Amish are not integrated into broader society, and few of us want to become Amish. If the whole world were mostly Amish, we wouldn’t be able to explore space, or even have cars or airplanes. So that would be a big problem for technological progress. But there are a lot of things we can learn from the Amish without adopting everything. You don’t have to be Amish to enjoy the benefits of a strong marriage culture, earlier marriage or lower density living. Or some kind of faith or source of pronatal belief. And most families could probably benefit from a lot less consumption. The technology and education parts are tougher. Most of us still want both technology and education, and our world wouldn’t function well without them. But it is probably not a bad idea to purposefully use less of certain technologies that are counter to social thriving, while keeping the productive technologies. And we need to find a way to get educated in a far shorter time frame. If it takes until 26 or 30 years just to complete education, and more years to get a career going, there won't be much time left to have kids, and birthrates will be too low. Please share and also follow @MoreBirths for more ideas on how to solve the low fertility crisis, the greatest challenge of our age!


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