J G (👟, 🍔)

3.8K posts

J G (👟, 🍔)

J G (👟, 🍔)

@dahu7744

Katılım Aralık 2019
3K Takip Edilen312 Takipçiler
Capital Misallocation
The harness is definitely the real trick to LLM's - something that isn't quite well understood yet. I actually built an app called Workflow OS to help people with prompting and workflows and chains. Most folks don't realize that is almost 98% of the value of these things yet. Valuation is $400b as it should be based on any reasonable analysis. Happy to see a linear autoregressive optimization least residuals model can come to the same conclusion.
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Capital Misallocation
We fed the SpaceX S-1 to an LLM. It spit out a valuation nearly identical to our own from April. Either we're good at this — or the robots are coming for everyone's job. Tomorrow @ 7pm ET we're doing our first-ever LIVE "Ask Us Everything" on YouTube. SpaceX. Markets. Process. The Squirrel's bourbon-and-acorn diet. All topics are fair game. @Benny_Squirrel" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">youtube.com/@Benny_Squirrel 🐿️ @SquirrelMacro
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Capital Misallocation
Had zero ingestion from our work - the S-1 was literally only thing we fed into it & had no manual over ride. Our report and podcast in April went into the deal deep but it was really amusing to see a dumb linear autoregressive optimizer model take the public filing & come out at a similar spot - a spot far below the proposed deal valuation.
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cek
cek@cekdrew·
There are only a handful of companies out there who are making NdPr magnets which are essential for humanoid robots. • MP Materials $MP • Arnold Magnetics - part of $CODI • Vulcan Elements - partnered with $AREC • USA Rare Earth $USAR • eVAC Magnetics (Private Company) • REalloys $ALOY • Noveon Magnetics (Private Company) • HyProMag USA - partially owned by $CTHCF
Sun Liao@sunxliao

Every major tech company on Earth is now building a humanoid... pay attention. $BOT is already up almost 2X from my post 2 days ago. Follow the right traders on X and start preparing. Let me explain in more detail... $TSLA has Optimus. Figure raised at $40B recently. Apptronik is shipping Apollo. 1X has Neo. Unitree is selling them on the internet for $16K. China has Unitree, Xpeng, Xiaomi, BYD all in the race. This is no longer a "maybe one day" technology. It's a "who ships first and at what cost" race. The math is what makes it nuts though... Goldman thinks the humanoid market hits $38B by 2035. Morgan Stanley says 1 billion humanoids by 2050. Tesla says they could ship a million Optimus units a year by 2030. Pick whichever number you want and the trade is still massive. But here is the part that makes this different from every other "next big thing" theme... Humanoids actually solve a real problem the world is screaming about. We don't have enough workers. The US has 8 million open jobs. Japan is short 6 million workers by 2030. China's working age population peaked 10 years ago and is falling fast. Warehouses, factories, elder care, fast food, logistics, all of it needs labor that does not exist. Humanoids walk straight into that gap. And the second order trade is where the real money lives... Just like NVDA created the AI trade and the suppliers compounded faster than NVDA itself... Tesla and Figure are creating the humanoid trade and the suppliers are about to do the same thing. Lidar. Vision chips. Precision motors. Actuators. Edge AI silicon. Batteries. Start looking into these tickers, many of which we've already been talking about for months... $AEVA $ALNT $AMBA $AMBQ $ARBE $ATOM $AUR $CGNX $HG $INDI $ISRG $KITT $KLIC $LSCC $MBLY $MRAM $NEO $NOVT $OUST $RR $SERV $SYM $VPG $XPEV $ZBRA Every humanoid is basically a walking shopping list. Most of these supplier names are small cap, ignored, and trading at AI 2022 valuations. Not AI 2026 valuations. The repricing window is wide open. And the people positioned in the suppliers now are going to look like geniuses 18 months from now IMO. Will of course keep updating... Stay tuned.

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everyonehatespoetry
everyonehatespoetry@everyonehatesp1·
$PEW printed Q1 26 results: _Revenue $26.0M (vs consensus $24.5M), +11% YoY, ahead of 2% industry growth _Gross profit $2.8M, +23% YoY _Adj. EBITDA -$2.0M (vs consensus -$2.4M) _Adj. EPS -$0.06 (vs -$0.08) _Bought back $2.4M of stock Normal quarter but what gets very exciting is the commentary. I'd highly encourage listening to the call. I want to highlight two big things. 1 - Massive optionality developing in the legalization of direct shipments of firearms to consumers' homes. Quote from the Q1 26 call: "The ATF has proposed new regulations that would allow certain firearm transfers to occur remotely, with federal background check requirements still met through secure identity verification. If finalized, lawful consumers could complete the full compliance process remotely. That includes direct to home firearm delivery within an approved framework. This could be the most significant change to firearms retail distribution in decades. Importantly, the infrastructure required to operate in this environment is complex. As currently proposed, the new regulations require remote identity verification, meeting federal standards, seamless integration, advanced compliance systems, secure record keeping, and the operational ability to execute all of it accurately at scale. Grab a gun is uniquely positioned for this opportunity. For more than 15 years, we have built the Digital Infrastructure and Compliance Foundation required to support highly regulated online firearm transactions. Few companies are positioned to adapt this quickly if the rules change, regardless of regulatory outcome." This could both skyrocket the penetration of e-commerce platforms like GrabAGun, but also be a MASSIVE tailwind for PEW Logistics, since the main pushback would be that you still need the buy in of dealers to take delivery of weapons. If that's no longer the case, the odds of PEW Logistics being the back-end infrastructure of all the gun manufacturers going DTC go wayyy up. 2 - Solid commentary that gives me better comfort they won't blow the cash: " We're not in the business of overpaying to hit arbitrary growth targets. The strength of our balance sheet gives the luxury of patience. We can wait for the right assets at the right price, rather than chasing deals that don't make strategic or financial sense." I want to remind people you're paying less than $0 for the business, and also that -$2M of EBITDA isnt actually cash burn, EBITDA excludes the large amount of interest they earn on their cash.
everyonehatespoetry@everyonehatesp1

New pitch - GrabAGun Digital - $PEW Available in bio. TLDR _PEW trades at a 20% discount to the cash on its balance sheet _The core business outgrows its industry 15% a year on average, and is break-even on its way to profitability _It has a new business line that’s very high margin and could make it a multi-bagger

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Stéphane Kohler
Stéphane Kohler@Kohlerderien·
Donc Raymond Domenech, 55 ans dans le foot pro, presque autant au plus près des medias dont il connait le fonctionnement dans le moindre détail, se serait fait piéger par des journalistes pour un doc foot.
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TrendSpider
TrendSpider@TrendSpider·
How much of your market research is done specifically inside your broker's platform?
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J G (👟, 🍔)
J G (👟, 🍔)@dahu7744·
@Mr_Derivatives You sure it's not "pardoned by Trump within 6 months"? "She's a nice lady I'm told, I don't think she did what they say she did"
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Paul Brown
Paul Brown@pbsportswriter·
Latest in the John Textor saga. OL press release details “anomalies” in accounts. RMC quotes an associate of Michele Kang saying: “There is a corpse in every closet and the problem is that there are many closets..." rmcsport.bfmtv.com/football/clubs…
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Marc Bond 📶
Marc Bond 📶@fuckthedip·
Un projet de l'AFD , Agence Française au Développement de 2021 à 2024, 500000€ pour le soutien à la formation animation/jeux vidéo au Pakistan, le pire c'est que cela n'a même pas fait monter le cours de Ubisoft
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Wasteland Capital
Wasteland Capital@ecommerceshares·
@dahu7744 Haha. Also, “I don’t know what this number means” is so spot on.
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Wasteland Capital
Wasteland Capital@ecommerceshares·
This 9yo about to charge $999/month for his Discord.
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Marc Bond 📶
Marc Bond 📶@fuckthedip·
On avait dit 150 pas 166 qui a fait çà?????????
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J G (👟, 🍔)
J G (👟, 🍔)@dahu7744·
@Pierre_B_y Du coup comme les arrêtés sont arrivés trop tard, j'imagine qu'il y a eu des incidents à tous ces matchs ?
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Pierre B.
Pierre B.@Pierre_B_y·
(A toujours publier leurs arrêtés au dernier moment, ils n'anticipent même pas les vendredis fériés. C'est lunaire).
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Pierre B.
Pierre B.@Pierre_B_y·
La préfecture des Alpes-Maritimes a publié aujourd'hui l'arrêté limitant à 400 supporters le déplacement des Lensois à Nice. Le match était samedi dernier.
Pierre B. tweet mediaPierre B. tweet media
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J G (👟, 🍔)
J G (👟, 🍔)@dahu7744·
@Mr_Derivatives That's the theory, but judging by the recent friendlies played in the US, we might get a surprise this summer...
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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
I don't really watch much Futbol (aka soccer to us Americans). But the more I watch it, the more I like it. One of the main reasons is that it's continuous action without any breaks or commercial interruptions. Once you realize that, it's hard to unsee the countless commercials and breaks in between NBA, MLB, NFL, etc... Am I right or am I right?!
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J G (👟, 🍔)
J G (👟, 🍔)@dahu7744·
@Menehem02 Le meilleur moment pour acheter c'est aussi celui où personne veut acheter 😉 Que certains clubs ne trouvent pas de repreneurs aurait tendance à me faire penser que le fond n'est plus très loin
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