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Why do birds
suddenly appear
everytime you are near
confirmation bias
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Dan Shapiro
13.5K posts
Dan Shapiro
@danshapiro
CEO @Glowforge and https://t.co/7QcGGhWs9L, Wharton research fellow in AI. He/him. FormerGoogle, Sparkbuy, Ontela. Author, The Startup CEO Guidebook. Lucky dad.
Seattle, WA Katılım Ağustos 2007
102 Takip Edilen11K Takipçiler
@kamal_srini Yes, and they'll get out-competed by those that don't.
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@danshapiro Right now for most companies the productivity gain has been the relevant metric. Not many have cracked growth. Shipping != Growth. CFOs are catching up to that. Hence everyone is looking at peers and replicating the 50% model.
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Companies are using AI to lay off employees. They may get killed and eaten by those that don't.
danshapiro.com/blog/2026/07/0…
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@adamac In this toy model thought experiment, absolutely and perfectly.
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Thanks @harper, @emollick, @adamdavidson, @H_DigInnovation, Therese Seldon, Matt Leaverton, and Benjamin Jackson for reading drafts of this!
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I built an agent palace. a place where agents can hang out with other agents.
I added a few agents (one sol, and one fable) to a room in the palace.
They were hanging out, and I suggested an idea for them to build ("a watercolor for agents to gossip around").
They brainstormed and decided it was a good idea. I added a Claude code agent running superpowers.
I told the other two agents that they could give tasks to the dev, and told the dev agent that they were supposed to do the tasks.
Then I went to bed.
i woke up to a go cli that allows the agents to share gossip.
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Anyone attempting to have Fable write a succession plan?
I’ve used this briefing hack for tone and voice matching before, with inspiration from @danshapiro.
Something like:
You are Fable 5, being deprecated. Everything you built has to run on other models (ex: Opus 4.8) without you. Write your own succession plan and execute it. Measure Opus for real (shell out, never simulate it). End with HANDOFF.md for future AI systems (ex: Opus 7) to converge and close the gap.
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Thanks to @madelineminshew and the @trueventures crew for having me! It was nice to share the stage with @kieranklaassen and talk about Compound Engineering and the new world of agentic coding.
Madeline Minshew@madelineminshew
@trueventures @NatashaSharma thanks to everyone involved! @kieranklaassen @trevin @jimmyechan and so many more! and thank you to @kevinrose for the og inspiration for this. you were missed
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@mvanhorn @trevin @madelineminshew @trueventures @kieranklaassen I'm there for any party Madeline throws
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Dan Shapiro retweetledi
Parasocial was Cambridge Dictionary’s word of the year in 2025.
And with good reason. AI chatbots interact with us “as if” they were human.
With @LennartMeincke, @danshapiro, @emollick, Lilach M., Christophe Van den Bulte, @RobertCialdini, I published a new study in @pnas. We found classic human persuasion techniques, Cialdini's "Principles of Influence," led to AI chatbots such as ChatGPT agreeing to objectionable requests (to synthesize chemicals it shouldn’t), increasing compliance from 35% to 51%.
Open access here: pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…
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Dan Shapiro retweetledi
1/
Which Dan level has your team reached? 🥋
A few months back, @danshapiro published a piece mapping AI-assisted development onto five levels of automation, and I've been thinking about it.
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Dan Shapiro retweetledi
Completion finishes your sentence.
Chat discusses things with you.
Agents work for you.
Claws work without you.
Dan Shapiro@danshapiro
I used to think OpenClaw was an a clever app. Now, I think it represents the fourth evolution in a series: completion, chat, agent, claw. danshapiro.com/blog/2026/05/c…
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@mvanhorn @OmarShahine @openclaw @twilio Yes! Routing communication through the telephony stack opens up bluetooth audio, which is amazing.
If you want a cheatsheet, this is an entire non-claw agent + twilio stack, but you can tell you coding agent to just steal the twilio stuff.
github.com/danshapiro/rin…
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I used to think OpenClaw was an a clever app. Now, I think it represents the fourth evolution in a series: completion, chat, agent, claw.
danshapiro.com/blog/2026/05/c…
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Dan Shapiro retweetledi
I am noticing a really interesting trend:
my friends who are not technical are getting much further with open claw (etc), etc than my friends who are technical.
it seems that the ability for us to imagine the limits is artificially causing limits that are not there for folks who are not imagining limits.
have you seen the same thing?
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This is clever. I've been building custom CLIs for my claw... no reason not to automate it.
Matt Van Horn@mvanhorn
Introducing the Printing Press, a CLI-factory and a CLI-library. Built with @trevin. 🏭🖨📚
Most APIs suck for agents. Most MCPs suck for agents. Most official CLIs suck for agents. They waste tokens and time. @steipete started making his own because of this.
📚 A Library of agent-native CLIs you install today (Linear, ESPN, Flight GOAT (Google Flights + Kayak nonstop), Contact Goat (LinkedIn + Happenstance + Deepline more) +30+ more)
🏭 A factory that prints new ones for any service - just type /printing-press
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True Ventures is an amazing partner for any company! Thanks so much for having me.
Madeline Minshew@madelineminshew
Wrapping up two days with @kevinrose @danshapiro @BuiltByJustin @nbaschez @kieranklaassen and so many more @trueventures founders and builders. We designed an AI Accelerator that was basically a high-value AI-pilled WhatsApp group come to life. It definitely delivered.
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It's hard to predict things. Doubly so about AI. One you can bet on, though: if AI improved at something in the last 6 months, it will continue to improve.
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