Dan Smith

Outcomes of the war on Iran are wholly uncertain. Could include anything from civil war to democratic transition, could destabilise the region, and by driving up oil prices provide the final unanswerable reasons for the green transition. dansmithsblog.com/2026/03/12/att…

"This is a difficult time to be talking about disarmament or even arms control." But it's what I do in this article, linking it world order and ecological security. #abstract" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

So Trump has dropped his previous views about regime change. What are the prospects now? #more-7349" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">dansmithsblog.com/2026/03/01/att…

A future seems to loom before in which the strong do what they can, and the weak do what they must. My reflections on the Caracas raid – background and implications. dansmithsblog.com/2026/01/05/ref…

Precisely!

This is a must-listen talk by Warren Buffet on the US National Security Strategy. His analysis: forget the silly insults, Trump just pressed the self-destruct button for US military industry and technological leadership. Fascinating! youtu.be/VSBXzK3Vf7o?si… via @YouTube

@SecRubio Rather than a tribute to Donald Trump , this renaming can be seen as an irony and provocation to all professionals and researchers who made US institute of Peace a respected international actor in diplomacy The Institute was recently dismantled by the Trump administration.

Events are showing that flaws in the peace plan for Gaza announced put it in serious danger of failing in the short term. Nothing is inevitable but the risk is clear. My 3rd assessment of the plan: bit.ly/4rv2ebu

Can the Gaza peace plan work? My evaluation of it: #more-7115" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">dansmithsblog.com/2025/10/03/eva…

World order, ecological crisis, tech revolution, demography and populism: 5 global hinge points, potentially epoch-shaping: dansmithsblog.com/2025/09/22/fiv…

Trump has just recruited political support from national leaders for his campaign to win the Nobel Peace Prize. Unbelievable but true. Norwegian report here nettavisen.no/nyheter/det-hv…

Unprecedented rise in global military expenditure as European and Middle East spending surges. New #SIPRI data on global #MilitarySpending out now. Press release ➡️ bit.ly/3GH5GNe Fact Sheet ➡️ doi.org/10.55163/AVEC8… #GDAMS2025 #MilitaryExpenditure #DefenseBudget #MilitaryBudget #SIPRI #Milex

The rules of the game are changing. In a wide-ranging conversation with Dan Smith, Director of SIPRI, we dive into Europe's struggle for strategic independence, the growing threat from Russia, and the future of transatlantic security. Can Europe truly defend itself without American protection? What price must it pay to stay safe in an increasingly unstable world? youtu.be/fzcF0fdTVQs?si…

Leaving X soon but in the meantime, My thoughts on why Trump is such a polarizing figure – loved by some, loathed by others – dressed up as an enquiry into the non-singular systemic #more-6925" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">dansmithsblog.com/2024/11/25/tru…

This new paper by @Timosmit argues that civilian #CSDP has become more geopolitical after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, but not necessarily more strategic. Civilian CSDP needs enhanced strategic direction from #EU🇪🇺 member states. Read more ➡️ doi.org/10.55163/PQCI8…

This week, the #EU🇪🇺 published guidelines to help companies comply with a catch-all control for #CyberSurveillance items in the EU #DualUse Regulation. What are the limitations of the guidelines and what steps could be taken to improve them? Read more in this new topical backgrounder from Mark Bromley and @gio_maletta ➡️ bit.ly/4eKesq0

Happy to have launched the Guidance Note on #Youth, #Climate, #Peace, and #Security earlier today! 
Join the conversation on how we can advance and integrate the Climate, Peace, and Security and #YPS agendas
 Read the full note here:
sipri.org/publications/2…

Today, SIPRI launches its annual update on the state of women’s participation in multilateral #PeaceOperations by @claudiapfeiferc ➡️doi.org/10.55163/VYHM5… 🧵Find out more in the thread below ⬇️ #WomenPeaceSecurity #WPSMonth #UNSCR1325, #WomenInPeacekeeping

This month marks 24 years since the adoption of the landmark UN Security Council Resolution 1325. SIPRI is marking the month with a series of blogs, videos and publications. #WomenPeaceSecurity #WPSat24 #WomenPeacePower #SheBuildsPeace Find out more in the thread below 🧵

For background on the link between laws of war and regulations on the arms trade, plus overview of top arms exporters and Israel, new analysis out from @SIPRIorg