Daryl

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Daryl

Daryl

@darylspelman

🔎 Hunting for the world's best listed companies 📊 Business quality across thousands of stocks 💡 Company & industry insights

Hong Kong Katılım Ekim 2010
181 Takip Edilen83 Takipçiler
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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
Where I agree - $MSFT software is too vital to enterprises and too embedded to be disrupted - OpenAI exposure in Azure is a concern, but OpenAI isn’t going anywhere and AI compute demand is only going higher Where I disagree - Valuation is not fair value. You’re able to buy one of the best companies ever built for a modest fwd p/e of 22x Sometimes the markets are irrational and give you bargains. I am adding here
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Top Percentile
Top Percentile@t_percentile·
April 2026 Market Review: A Strong Rally Without Full Conviction 📈 S&P 500 +10.4% 🔇 Volume remained muted 🤖 Leadership driven by AI + semiconductors Full April review below 👇 open.substack.com/pub/toppercent…
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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
@fiscal_ai $SPOT has dramatically improved their economics over the last 2 years. It's an impressive turnaround from being barely profitable
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Fiscal.ai
Fiscal.ai@fiscal_ai·
Spotify went from €50M in Free Cash Flow to €3.2B in three years. Are investors still underestimating their margin potential? $SPOT
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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
The RNOA of Berkshire is very good (which tells you good things about the underlying businesses). The ROE is fairly mediocre. The fact that the 10-yr share price CAGR is 12.5% while the RNOA is typically around 30-40% gives an idea of how much a drag this excess cash has created. It's a decent return but could have been much better with the cash invested into something (including their own stock). I'm not suggesting they go gung-ho and get levered up. Just return some of the clearly excess cash they haven't been able to invest. Let's see whether Greg Abel takes a different course now. He's definitely going to come under more pressure than Buffett ever would have to do something with it.
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Angelo Giuliano 🇨🇭🇮🇹
Angelo Giuliano 🇨🇭🇮🇹@angeloinchina·
@darylspelman @KobeissiLetter Sure but also less equity means also a higher risk ratio.. ROE should not be considered the ultimate ratio as many companies obsessed about it tebd to be too much leveraged. Buffet philosophy goes quite against this as he prioritize safer bets.
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Berkshire Hathaway announces its cash balance is now up to a record $397 billion. The company sold a net -$8.1 billion worth of stocks last quarter, marking its 14th-consecutive net quarterly sale.
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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
@DeepIceValue Seems highly likely as $GOOGL increasingly monetises their AI investments, while $NVDA has to trim their chip prices as more competitors enter the market (including Google)
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Deep Value Investing
Deep Value Investing@DeepIceValue·
As I expected $GOOG will overpass $NVDA for the biggest company in the world.. It is just 5% away from doing that..
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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
@anandchokshi19 For me the trade is to buy $MU It has the same AI memory capex exposure as SanDisk but is exposed to HBM memory where the technology is more advanced, fewer players to compete with, higher entry barriers and where new capacity expansion is more limited
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Stocks World
Stocks World@anandchokshi19·
BREAKING: SanDisk (SNDK) CEO David Goeckeler said the company has signed five long-term supply agreements worth $42,000,000,000. He also said the company would launch a $6 billion share buyback. The stock has surged more than 360% so far this year, making it the top-performing stock in the S&P 500.
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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
@StockSavvyShay Memory is such a critical part of the recent rally. I prefer $MU for the exposure to HBM rather than just commoditised NAND
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Shay Boloor
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay·
I don’t think people realize how much operating leverage $SNDK has right now. Revenue nearly doubled sequentially from $3B to ~$6B while OpEx only moved from $413M to $448M. This is what happens when an underappreciated memory asset gets pulled into a supply-constrained AI capex cycle with almost no spare capacity left.
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Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay

HERE’S FRIDAY’S FOX BUSINESS SEGMENT • $MU becoming the picks-and-shovels for “AI that remembers • $SNDK catching the second-order storage wave • $RKLB building an end-to-end space logistics  • $PL monetizing continuous Earth data from orbit • $ASTS turning space into a global cellular network The 2026 memory story is that AI demand is shifting from stop-start training runs to always-on inference making memory less cyclical and more foundational infrastructure.

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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
Biggest month since Nov 2020 since the midst of covid (65 months). The concern is how light the volumes been. Still plenty to worry about: - Elevated inflation - Hormuz still shut - AI capex cycle dependent on handful of mega caps What will be the impact of all the money waiting on the sidelines?
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Omer Cheema
Omer Cheema@OmerCheeema·
Iran conflict has the fastest V shaped recovery in S&P ever. Most recoveries in recent times have been fast. Is it the speed of information flow?
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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
@CNBC $AAPL’s an amazing earnings machine. I still prefer $GOOGL, $META, $AMZN and $NVDA which all have better growth runways.
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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
@StockMKTNewz @TipRanks Great that the street is such a reliable lagging indicator… So useful to know what’s happened in the past
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Evan
Evan@StockMKTNewz·
Morgan Stanley today raised its price target on Apple $AAPL up to $330 from $315 while maintaining its Overweight rating Wells Fargo raised its target on Apple $AAPL up to $310 from $300 while maintaining its Overweight Rosenblatt raised its target on Apple $AAPL up to $276 from $268 while maintaining its Neutral Barclays raised its target on Apple $AAPL up to $253 from $248 while maintaining its Underweight
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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
@burrytracker That Buffett guy seems to know a thing or two. I might start following him. Anyone know his twitter handle?
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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
@TheLongInvest Or you have high conviction and are happy to accept volatility for longer term total returns. Just ask Warren Buffett
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The Long Investor
The Long Investor@TheLongInvest·
If all your positions rise together You are too heavily concentrated Likewise If all your positions decline together You do not have enough protection and diversification
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Polymarket Money
Polymarket Money@PolymarketMoney·
April was historic for U.S. stocks with the Nasdaq up 15.3% for its best month since April 2020 and the S&P 500 up 10.4% for its best month since November 2020. The rally was led by mega-cap tech with $GOOGL surging 34% for its best month since 2004.
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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
@PolymarketMoney Amazing April but look at the volume needle. It’s only a 6th percentile level. Where the conviction?
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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
@JesseCohenInv @Investingcom - Inflation remains elevated - Still no resolution in Hormuz - Stock trading volumes still exceptionally light as traders sit on sidelines - Global tech rally dependent on elevated capex from a handful of companies => significant market risk remains
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Jesse Cohen
Jesse Cohen@JesseCohenInv·
Stocks Rise After Best Month In Years. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are at new record highs. $SPY $QQQ The AI trade is going strong. Record Big Tech earnings. Oil prices are falling. What can go wrong?
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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
@Hedgeye But its hitting records on tiny volumes. Most traders sitting on the sidelines. This is not a rally with strong foundations!
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Hedgeye
Hedgeye@Hedgeye·
The S&P 500 hit a new all-time high
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Daryl
Daryl@darylspelman·
We’ve just come off the back of a massive month (+10.4% / biggest move in last 65 months) but on tiny volumes. Market doesn’t know how to deal with the ongoing uncertainty driven by Iran. Traders are sitting on the sidelines. Doesn’t mean the risk is gone, just because the market isn’t pricing it.
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Barchart
Barchart@Barchart·
CBOE Volatility Index $VIX falls to its lowest level in 3 months 📉 No Fear left in the market 🫡
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Keşfet

@fiscal_ai @KobeissiLetter @DeepIceValue @anandchokshi19 @StockSavvyShay @CNBC @StockMKTNewz @TipRanks