David Vining

(1) You only get a war if both sides think they have a chance of winning. But the US just lost decisively to Iran, so it's finally common knowledge, even within the US, that it can't possibly win against China. That means it won't fight. It will instead invade Latin American countries like Cuba. (2) The study showing that China dominates US military supply chains was funded by the US military itself, not a rival nation state. There are many like it; look at the recent CSIS study (csis.org/analysis/unite…) which says US missiles run out within a week. Again, can't fight your factory. (3) Third, Trump himself recently all but admitted that the US is withdrawing gradually from Taiwan and won't travel 9500 miles to fight a war (x.com/visegrad24/sta…). (4) Boston started as a city and then joined up with other cities/colonies. Yes, it got independence in a war, but dozens of countries have gotten independence nonviolently, including India, Singapore, and many more. Those independence movements happened as the British, French, and Soviet empires withdrew. And now the American empire is withdrawing, so many new places may become independent. (5) Now, will every place in the world have security issues when America leaves? Maybe, though it might turn out differently. Many countries will just have to bend to a new regional hegemon as the American Empire withdraws from Eurasia and leaves them hanging. Roughly speaking, that hegemon may be Russia in North Asia and Eastern Europe, Iran perhaps for West Asia, China for East and Southeast Asia, and TBD for South Asia as India still has Pakistan to deal with. (6) Not every country will easily fold into that regional hegemon. As the American Empire withdraws, various countries will likely go nuclear, like Turkey, Japan, Germany and possibly South Korea, Poland, Brazil, and Australia. Both for military protection and for energy given the fuel crisis. The Iran war will accomplish the opposite of proliferation. (7) Anyway, in this world, many things will change, and much will be unpredictable, and possibly much conflict will ensue, but the Internet remains. That's the constant we can count on. Not American policy, not even the continued existence of the USA as we know it. Only 36% of Democrats are "proud to be American", the US has $175 trillion in compounding debt, and even Elon couldn't fix the budget deficit. (8) I suppose we differ on what we think is realistic. I know the Internet works, I know we've built improbably gigantic things from the Internet, and I know the US government doesn't work. So I think the Internet may outlast the American empire, just as Christianity outlasted the Roman empire, and we should rebuild from the Internet. But regardless, I hope I'm wrong, that the US magically somehow fixes all its issues. And of course I wish you the best. Be well.

@Cindybinmo I’ll be exposing the swamp for 7 more months before you get to unwrap your present from the globalist billionaires.

NEW AD: Low T Talarico is too WEAK and WEIRD for Texas. #TXsen

@TonerousHyus @CaesarRapper Young black people are not the same as the old ones too.