David Valentin

Very happy that our Team @LiaisonCanada polling performed very well yesterday. As of now, barring any changes from recounts, etc., Liaison is the most accurate pollster of the Ontario election #onpoli

We had it at 30% - what an interesting convergence. #onpoli

📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Liaison Strategies: 🔴LPC 45% 🔵CPC 31% 🟠NDP 8% ⚜️BQ 6% (28% in QC) 🟣PPC 4% 🟢GPC 3% → 338canada.com/20260308-lia.h… [Liaison Strategies, March 2-14, 2026, n=1,000] #canpoli

(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 45% (+1) CPC: 31% (-10) NDP: 8% (+2) BQ: 6% (-) PPC: 4% (+3) GPC: 3% (+2) Others: 4% Liaison / March 14, 2026 / n=951 / MOE 3.1% / IVR (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338Canada for polling details: 338canada.com

@Jojohally @rita_rewerts @McDavidvsMathew @338Canada @grok Hi, actually no, those are not our numbers. That is a weird bot account making up numbers from fictional polling firms (that sound like real ones) to confuse people. You can find our work at liaison.ca

@rita_rewerts @McDavidvsMathew @338Canada @grok Thanks!

Latest 🇨🇦 federal polls from active firms since Feb. 2026: 🔴LPC +7, Innovative 🔴LPC +8, Ipsos 🔴LPC +11, Abacus D. 🔴LPC +13, Angus Reid 🔴LPC +13, Nanos 🔴LPC +13, Research Co. 🔴LPC +14, EKOS 🔴LPC +14, Léger 🔴LPC +14, Liaison 🔴LPC +15, Mainstreet 338canada.ca/p/338-sunday-u…

Latest @LiaisonCanada federal poll: Liberals Maintain 14-Point National Lead press.liaisonstrategies.ca/federal-tracke… Find out more at nationalnewswatch.com

Nunavut MP Lori Idlout is crossing the floor, according to the NDP

A new poll suggests Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow has widened her lead over potential challengers following John Tory’s decision not to run again. #OliviaChow #Toronto nowtoronto.com/news/toronto-m…

📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Liaison Strategies: 🔴LPC 44% 🔵CPC 30% 🟠NDP 9% ⚜️BQ 6% (28% in QC) 🟣PPC 4% 🟢GPC 3% → 338canada.com/20260301-lia.h… [Liaison Strategies, Feb.23-March 7, 2026, n=1,000] #canpoli

@shreyamehta876 Yes, I would be shocked if the numbers were anything less than sky high

@davidvalentin Wow, 59% actually followed the crackdown closely didn't expect it to break through that much here. Do you think the numbers would be even higher now after everything that's happened since?

A month ago we asked Canadians what they thought should take priority with Iran. 59% were following the crackdown back in late January. press.liaisonstrategies.ca/canadians-spli…

@ATondowsky Easier and better to just do a survey in March (which was already scheduled) than to impose a July subsample onto the February polling. Stay tuned...

@davidvalentin Would that put Chow at (right now) over 50%?

Last July we asked John Tory voters who they would vote for if he didn't run... Back then, 1 in 5 told us they would back Chow (likely due to name recognition). #TOpoli

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Latest @LiaisonCanada federal poll: Liberals Down 2; Lead by 10 press.liaisonstrategies.ca/federal-tracke… Find out more at nationalnewswatch.com

📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Liaison Strategies: 🔴LPC 43% 🔵CPC 33% 🟠NDP 9% ⚜️BQ 6% (28% in QC) 🟢GPC 3% 🟣PPC 2% → 338canada.com/20260222-lia.h… [Liaison Strategies, February 16-28, 2026, n=1,000] #canpoli

New Liaison Strategies poll 🔴LPC: 43% (-2%) 🔵CPC: 33% (-) 🟠NDP: 9% (-) 🔷BQ: 6% (-) 🟢GPC: 3% (-) 🟣PPC: 2% (-) ⚪OTH: 2% (-) (+/- change from last Liaison poll)

A new Liaison Strategies poll has Ford’s overall job approval at just 30%, with 66% disapproving. Meanwhile, 71% disapprove of the government’s handling of the of the cost of living and housing affordability #onpoli #cdnpoli qpbriefing.com/news/a-hard-lo…

@Prominent_Bryan @BlaineBadiuk I hear you and have flagged this for the team!

@BlaineBadiuk @davidvalentin please find a better color gradient. This is genuinely unreadable

And the award for worst color presentation of a poll goes to Liaisons Is that inclusive and supposed to make us feel like we're all color blind?

Happy one year anniversary of Liaison Strategies being the most accurate polling firm in Ontario 🏆 People can talk talk talk (or tweet tweet tweet) but the record is the record. Thanks to all of you who have followed our journey and stay tuned for more! #onpoli

“Polls are for dogs,” said Premier Ford, after a new Liaison poll found his popularity has dropped since the fall, despite frequent ads propping up his government. The PCs have just a four-point lead over the leaderless Liberals.