Eric Cunningham

795 posts

Eric Cunningham banner
Eric Cunningham

Eric Cunningham

@decunningham2

Election analyst @DecisionDeskHQ, Founder/editor-in-chief @Elections_Daily. RT/follow =/ endorsement. DMs open. Email: [email protected]

Katılım Kasım 2010
1K Takip Edilen4.4K Takipçiler
Eric Cunningham retweetledi
Decision Desk HQ
Decision Desk HQ@DecisionDeskHQ·
President Trump has endorsed Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in the #TXSen Republican primary runoff. This move probably dooms incumbent Sen. John Cornyn. Coming into today, Cornyn trailed 47%-43% to Paxton in DDHQ's polling average.
Decision Desk HQ tweet mediaDecision Desk HQ tweet media
English
11
26
157
33.1K
Eric Cunningham
Eric Cunningham@decunningham2·
@JHWeissmann @lxeagle17 To add on here: both parties have become so good at gerrymandering that it's very, very difficult for a map to actually result in fewer seats. This CAN happen over a decade but in a single cycle it's borderline impossible to make up the 10-20 points needed to do that.
English
0
0
1
103
Eric Cunningham
Eric Cunningham@decunningham2·
If you want a movie that fits the greentext you’d need something like F1, except even in that one Brad Pitt spends the entire movie breaking the rules to try and get his teammate (the young rookie) the win.
English
0
0
3
190
Eric Cunningham
Eric Cunningham@decunningham2·
He’s 1/6th of the team and it takes the combined work of everyone to accomplish the goal. He doesn’t even get the nuke site killshot (that’s Goose, who does it BLIND - Maverick needed a computer) OR the final kill (that’s Hangman).
English
1
0
2
239
Eric Cunningham
Eric Cunningham@decunningham2·
@SelectStarMan @electionsjoe @StatisticUrban I mean I agree, I'm just pointing out what the people who supported top-two wanted. It was a Schwarzenegger-era attempt at electoral reform. Personally, I'd just go with approval voting, which is RCV but better.
English
2
0
3
131
Joe
Joe@electionsjoe·
I SWEAR TO GOD IF DEMS GET LOCKED OUT OF A HARRIS +3 SEAT...
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡@PollTracker2024

SurveyUSA poll | 5/8-5/14 US House 2026 | California 48th congressional district jungle primary (Harris +3 | 2024) (Top two advance to November) 🟥Jim Desmond 29% 🟥Kevin Patrick O'Neil 10% 🟦Ammar Campa-Najjar 9% 🟦Marni Von Wilpert 9% 🟦Brandon Riker 6% 🟦Abel Chavez 4% 🟦Corinna Contreras 3% 🟦Mike Schaefer 3% 🟦Eric Shaw 2% 🟦Ferguson Porter 1% ⬜️Luis F. Reyna 1% 🟦Stephen Clemons 0% Undecided 25% Link to poll: surveyusa.com/client/PollRep…

English
36
26
818
84K
Eric Cunningham
Eric Cunningham@decunningham2·
@electionsjoe @StatisticUrban Lockouts are a feature of top-two, not a bug. The entire idea of top-two is to force moderation. A lockout race (in theory) leads to the more moderate option winning. In practice, all it results in is 10-20% of voters sitting out and the rest voting incoherently
English
1
0
5
581
Joe
Joe@electionsjoe·
@StatisticUrban I'm convinced the only reason they don't do RCV is that they would have to send voters a literal book as their ballot.
English
9
0
122
4.3K
Eric Cunningham
Eric Cunningham@decunningham2·
New York City is the one American megacity (8.8m people, 36th-largest globally) and only happened because a bunch of municipalities and counties consolidated. This sort of thing doesn't happen often. All of these + the Bronx used to be their own cities.
Eric Cunningham tweet media
zedsamcat🏳️‍🌈✡️@zedsamcat

The real reason is because we absolutely refuse to draw city boundaries in a coherent way. All of these cities have a population under 1m solely due to weird borders, with the metro area of all these cities easily clearing the 1m mark

English
7
6
236
13K
Eric Cunningham
Eric Cunningham@decunningham2·
@cars0000n @SeanTrende I mean, functionally it would be quite close to minimalized national gerrymandering. You'd have maybe 10-20 competitive seats across the entire country. But since it's PR, they'd all be elected at-large, which means no local representation and no real regional campaigning.
English
0
0
1
36
Eric Cunningham
Eric Cunningham@decunningham2·
@cars0000n @SeanTrende In most states proportional representation would lock in basically 100% stable delegations with 0 competitive seats and no local representation. Even a state as blue as Hawaii or Idaho would have a 100% locked in 1-1 delegation unless a party won 75% of the vote.
English
1
0
2
115
cars0000n
cars0000n@cars0000n·
@SeanTrende Hot take but what’s the point of single member districts versus just going full PR when most people can’t even name their member of Congress? We’re in such an interconnected world plus politics is so nationalized now that sometimes I struggle to see the point in districts anymore
English
4
0
6
1.6K
Eric Cunningham
Eric Cunningham@decunningham2·
It’s hard to convince partisan voters to pick the lesser of what they see as two evils when their own guy is on the ballot. And in CA specifically, if there’s a lockout, anywhere from 10-20% of voters just won’t even vote. Many voters would genuinely rather vote for a loser.
English
0
0
1
175
Eric Cunningham
Eric Cunningham@decunningham2·
It’s not that easy! Conservative thought leaders encouraged California voters to vote for Loretta Sanchez in a Dem vs. Dem runoff in 2016. She had the support of National Review, Hugh Hewitt, Darrell Issa - she aggressively courted Rs. She lost by 23 points to Kamala Harris.
English
1
0
6
804
Eric Cunningham retweetledi
Drew Gifford
Drew Gifford@drewgiff·
Excited to launch DDHQ's new national precinct map! You can explore precinct-level data for the House, Senate, Governor, and Presidential races from 2020-2024 on one interactive map! Here's a few things you might enjoy about it: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/precinct-map 🧵(1/6)
Drew Gifford tweet media
Decision Desk HQ@DecisionDeskHQ

Sign up for FREE and explore Votes's precinct map, plus all of the other amazing election data on the Votes portal. votes.decisiondeskhq.com/precinct-map

English
4
38
198
64.5K
the seditionists
the seditionists@TheSeditionists·
@StatisticUrban And people living in that area will still vote Republican even after being poisoned by them 💀
English
1
0
7
618
Hunter📈🌈📊
Hunter📈🌈📊@StatisticUrban·
Before it was covered up, there was a lake in Pennsylvania that was an intense, vivid blue. Beautiful. Also utterly toxic, the color came from coal ash waste.
Hunter📈🌈📊 tweet mediaHunter📈🌈📊 tweet media
English
15
17
1.1K
32.4K
Eric Cunningham
Eric Cunningham@decunningham2·
Maybe we'll to a 2000s nostalgia phase at some point, but it's not gonna have the immaculate vibes 80s/90s nostalgia has. It'll be more like 60s/70s nostalgia, incorporating the inherent strife of the era as the core of it. Anti-war protests, dying factory towns, etc
English
0
0
0
150

Keşfet

@JHWeissmann @lxeagle17 @SelectStarMan @electionsjoe @StatisticUrban @cars0000n @SeanTrende @elonmusk