Patrick Tucker

Russia’s war on Ukraine continues but this spring and summer, key trends have changed to favor Ukraine. A clip from my recent short documentary for @DefenseOne . Watch full version: youtu.be/eZB1vQGDUcA?si…

Russia plans to mobilize 500,000 personnel this autumn to address front-line shortages and potentially open a new offensive axis. Conscripts will either "plug holes" in the East or train for a new front amid intense winter infantry combat. kyivpost.com/post/80585

Footage of the Iranian ballistic missile strike on Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan last night. At least two missiles hit the base, killing two American service members.

⚡️ Zelenskyy addresses protests following Fedorov's dismissal. "Of course, I hear what people are saying. I spoke with Mykhailo Fedorov for a long time today. I also spoke with Oleksandr Syrskyi today. Decisions regarding the army will be developed. I thank everyone who cares about Ukraine," the President said.

U.S. military says 2 troops are dead and 1 is missing after Iran attacks a base in Jordan pbs.org/newshour/world…

NEWS: Volodymyr Zelenskyy is considering sacking Ukraine’s commander-in-chief, Oleksandr Syrsky, who is known as “the Butcher”, as he seeks to navigate a path out of the biggest military leadership crisis of his presidency. ft.com/content/1b34ca… via @FT

The Trump admin is hobbling the ability of foreign media to report on the US. Taking steps like China and Russia do to restrict US reporters. No justification for it, but to force foreign reporters to parrot the White House line.

Yup defenseone.com/technology/202…

In April, pro-Kremlin blogger Ilya Remeslo predicted Putin would soon lose power in "something like a palace coup." 3 months later, it's Remeslo facing prosecution: the authorities arrested him today on charges of spreading "fake news" about Russia's army. meduza.io/en/feature/202…

‘Makes no sense’: Firing of Ukraine’s defense minister sparks protests, outcry among allies defenseone.com/policy/2026/07… my latest for @DefenseOne

Trump declassified US intelligence documents unintentionally showing that Russia sought to undermine Joe Biden and deepen social divisions ahead of the 2020 US presidential election. The documents say that Putin oversaw influence efforts involving state media, intermediaries and intelligence-linked actors, but Trump largely avoided mentioning Russia in his accompanying remarks, focusing instead on China and election security ahead of the midterms.

BREAKING!!! Senate Majority Leader John Thune is stepping in as a cosponsor of the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia Act of 2026, giving bipartisan Russia sanctions push a major leadership boost The bill now has 60+ Senate backers! 👇

Andriy Yermak – the former head of Zelenskyy's presidential office who is facing corruption charges – met with Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi at a frontline command post. It's a very bad sign when the anti-reform faction comes together like this. pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/…

Today is the 12th anniversary of when Russia shot down a civilian airliner over Ukraine and killed hundreds

Ukraine will build 5M drones in 2026. NATO must learn how: deputy commander defenseone.com/threats/2026/0… via @DefenseOne @TomNovelly

This was really the Tulsi Gabbard school of persuasion: Put out a bunch of documents, claim they say things that they obviously don’t, presuming that your target audience won’t bother to read them. More from @RadioFreeTom theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/07/…

Hoax

This is really incredible. Docs released by Trump tonight confirm RUSSIA tried to spread claims Biden was engaged in criminal activity vis-a-vis Burisma and that it advanced those narratives "with US officials" and planed a "high-profile corruption scandal... at the peak of the 2020 US presidential campaign."

And pay close attention to this view, from the national intelligence officer for cyber, who took a different view of China's actions than the rest of his colleagues.

Belarusian opposition Coordination Council decides to pursue talks with Lukashenko Artyom Brukhan, the speaker of the Council and deputy leader of its key faction, the Pavel Latushko Block, has prepared a resolution to hold a joint round table with the Lukashenko regime aimed at "overcoming the political crisis and strengthening the independence of the Republic of Belarus." The stated goals of the initiative are "organizing a national dialogue," "ending repression," and "protecting sovereignty." However, the draft resolution has not yet been adopted. Other members of the Council have proposed amending it to include clauses on "the status of Belarus as an aggressor country and the right of the people to resist occupation." The Coordination Council did not specify how exactly this dialogue would be conducted or whether Alexander Lukashenko himself has agreed to it. Political analyst Dmitry Bolkunets commented on Brukhan's initiative to SOTA: "Lukashenko is fully prepared for the round table proposed by the esteemed members of the Coordination Council. Anyone wishing to participate can head there today. At the border, they will be met by Lukashenko’s representatives, immediately placed under round-the-clock guard, provided with free housing and food, and assigned an individual cot. Then, everyone wishing to speak and present their position will be given the opportunity. They will be listened to carefully and asked clarifying questions. There will be plenty of time for this. In between the sessions, they will be able to engage in some form of labor. The daily routine will also be organized at a high level. In the morning, waking up to the sounds of the national anthem; in the evening, lights out on schedule. Before going to bed, participants can look forward to a mandatory broadcast of the day's news from the country and the world." A total of 2,113 people participated in the elections for the Belarusian opposition Coordination Council. As a reminder, Ilya Ponomarev’s "Congress of People's Deputies" previously declared Russia a "terrorist state." Alexander Lukashenko. Photo: official website