Eowyn Dean【 R'dam 】
1.2K posts

Eowyn Dean【 R'dam 】
@dernhelm7
I have odd ideas sometimes. Experience design XD https://t.co/VUfjzctkl8





@m_ashcroft give it a new name doesn't have to be Ashcroft Technique seriously consider just making up a new word how about awarkeness it's like awakeness and awareness, together! you can have that one for free, lmk if you need more help 🫡







There's a recurring pattern that I keep seeing in work coming from the apocalyptic branch of the AI safety community, and it goes something like this: 1) Pick some intellectual "talent" that might be attributed to a person (e.g. persuasiveness, discernment, charisma, etc.) 2) Model this "talent" as a scalar quantity that is primarily determined by factors endogenous to the individual, as opposed to environmental/situational factors 3) Assume that this scalar quantity can be made arbitrarily large 4) Use this model to make predictions about the future of AI You can see this here with AI 2040's insinuation that "superhuman persuasiveness" is an idea we should be taking seriously It's not obvious to me at all that "persuasiveness" is a human talent, as opposed to a sociological random process that we retroactively perceive as a human "talent" To be clear, certainly it's true that a star debater might be marginally more "persuasive" than someone who's not! But I don't think a cult leader or a popular politician is 1,000x or 1,000,000x more "persuasive" than an ordinary person Rather, they're perceived being "persuasive" because they happen to be the figureheads for a complex sociological preference cascade. Their "persuasiveness" isn't really a thing you can causally influence at the individual level, and definitely not in an unbounded way In general, I think a lot of the AI 2040-style forecasting work does a poor job of dealing with this kind of irreducible complexity inherent to the universe. They usually just like to pretend it doesn't exist Not a huge fan of this pattern

a surprising amount of inner work or whatever involves this type of activity i’ve never heard anyone name, which i would describe as undoing surprisingly powerful spells you cast / wishes you made / vows you swore when you were younger that are sort of ruining your life now


OpenAI, Anthropic, Stripe and Bill Gates are putting $500 million in funding into a new organization called Intercept. Intercept's goal is to prevent the common cold and the flu, and eventually eliminate all respiratory viruses completely.




