Chris Y

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Chris Y

Chris Y

@desertnode

ʕ•̫͡•ʕ*̫͡*ʕ•͓͡•ʔ-̫͡-ʕ•̫͡•ʔ*̫͡*ʔʕ•͓͡•ʔ

www Katılım Ocak 2023
220 Takip Edilen101 Takipçiler
Chris Y retweetledi
Doug Casey's International Man
The 10-year Treasury yield is perhaps the most important financial benchmark in the global fiat system, as it drives valuations and market trends worldwide. It is widely—and erroneously—regarded as the risk-free rate of return. The 10-year Treasury yield can be thought of as a key barometer of the US dollar-based fiat system—a critical measure akin to its beating heart. Bond yields move inversely to bond prices. When bond prices fall, bond yields rise. A rising 10-year Treasury yield signals trouble for the US dollar because it means investors are selling Treasuries, which pushes up the US government’s borrowing costs. That is why the 10-year Treasury yield is a major pain point for the US government. The 10-year Treasury yield was 3.97% when the war started. Now it is around 4.60%, an increase of roughly 63 basis points. I expect the 10-year Treasury yield to keep climbing over the coming weeks and months—until it forces the Fed’s hand. At that point, the intervention will be sold as “stability,” but the mechanism will be familiar: suppress yields by debasing the currency. At today’s debt levels, every 1 basis point increase in the government’s average borrowing cost adds roughly $3.9 billion in annual interest expense. So a 63 bps rise is not trivial—it translates to nearly $250 billion in additional yearly interest costs, materially widening a 2025 budget deficit that was already around $1.8 trillion. Higher yields mean the US government must pay tens or even hundreds of billions more in interest on its debt. At the same time, the global economy faces even greater added costs because Treasury rates serve as the benchmark for borrowing worldwide. That is not an insignificant move. However, given all the headwinds I have discussed, I suspect the 10-year Treasury yield is headed much higher because investors will demand higher yields to compensate for rising inflation. Further, if Hormuz remains closed, drastically higher oil prices are all but certain. Higher energy prices mean higher prices across the economy and higher official inflation rates, which means investors will demand still higher yields to compensate. The problem is that interest on the federal debt is already over $1.2 trillion and is now the second-largest item in the budget. The US government cannot afford yields going much higher because the interest expense would push it toward bankruptcy. I am not sure how—or even if—the US government can manage this situation. Something has to give, and we will not have to wait long to find out what. The Iran war may prove to be more than another foreign policy disaster. It could be the trigger that exposes the fragility of the entire dollar-based financial system.
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Chris Y
Chris Y@desertnode·
@SecScottBessent We need to send Scott over to Gaza so they can throw him off a roof
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Chris Y retweetledi
Thomas Massie for Congress
I did not see this coming, but my election has become an inflection point for our whole country. Today we make history. Will you be part of this historic day by voting, calling friends who can vote, posting to social media, or making a donation? Spread the word fellow patriots!
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Furkan Gözükara
Furkan Gözükara@FurkanGozukara·
Expand this patriots list (top 112): 1. Thomas Massie 2. Dan Bilzerian 3. Ana Kasparian 4. Tucker Carlson 5. Candace Owens 6. Marjorie Taylor Greene 7. Cenk Uygur 8. Dave Smith 9. Ian Carroll 10. Jake Shields 11. Zohran Mamdani 12. James Fishback 13. Ron Paul 14. Elon Musk 15. Joe Kent 16. Norman Finkelstein 17. Ro Khanna 18. Harrison H. Smith 19. John Cusack 20. Jeffrey Sachs 21. Krystal Ball 22. JP Sears 23. Matt Gaetz 24. Daniel Davis 25. Ryan Dawson 26. James Li 27. Lauren Boebert 28. Medea Benjamin 29. Rashida Tlaib 30. Hodge Twins 31. Health Ranger 32. Shaun King 33. Jimmy Dore 34. Ryan Matta 35. Megyn Kelly 36. Mehdi Hasan 37. Hasan Piker 38. SNEAKO 39. Ryan Grim 40. Jamaal Bowman 41. Max Blumenthal 42. Greg Stoker 43. Kyle Kulinski 44. Jeremy Scahill 45. Rand Paul 46. Bassem Youssef 47. Nina Turner 48. Lawrence Wilkerson 49. Cori Bush 50. Ray McGovern 51. Katie Halper 52. John Kiriakou 53. Michael Rectenwald 54. Kurt Metzger 55. Danny Haiphong 56. Daniel McAdams 57. Glenn Greenwald 58. Chris Ahuja 59. Stew Peters 60. Kim Iverson 61. Guy Christensen 62. Aaron Maté 63. Rania Khalek 64. Darryl Cooper 65. Jose Vega 66. Robert Barnes 67. Emma Vigeland 68. Shiva Ayyadurai 69. Ali Abunimah 70. Susan Abulhawa 71. Scott Horton 72. David Icke 73. Suzzanne Monk 74. Susan Sarandon 75. John Mearsheimer 76. Theo Von 77. Jill Stein 78. Carrie Prejean Boller 79. Chris Martenson 80. Ben Meiselas 81. Buckley Carlson 82. Abby Martin 83. Mark Ruffalo 84. Owen Benjamin 85. Judge Napolitano 86. Ilhan Omar 87. Sabby Sabs 88. Myron Gaines 89. Chris Hedges 90. Christopher Helali 91. Saagar Enjeti 92. Scott Ritter 93. Marcia Cross 94. Baron Coleman 95. Douglas Macgregor 96. Owen Shroyer 97. Ethan Levins 98. JAKEGTV 99. Alastair Crooke 100. Tim Dillon 101. Erik Warsaw 102. Patrick Henningsen 103. Bernie Sanders 104. Clayton Morris 105. Natali Morris 106. Danny Jones 107. Blakeley Bartley 108. Clint Russell 109. Kanye West 110. Alex Jones 111. Jackson Hinkle 112. Nick Fuentes
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Chris Y@desertnode·
@nntaleb Well said, I think it applies perfectly here
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
There is a Levantine expression to the effect that a predicament doesn't get corrected unless it gets bigger. AIPAC and allies are helping the system by going too far.
Zosia@zosiambtc

@nntaleb If Massie looses it will be a pyrrhic victory. The people that want Massie to lose should be careful what they wish for.

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Quiet Skeptic
Quiet Skeptic@quietskepticX·
Love to see it. @scotthortonshow winning the Rogan YT views for the week, despite being most recent and on a Friday. …beating Gad Saad’s pseudo intellectual trash (in the prime Tuesday slot) by 90k is just icing on the cake. Spotify will catch up. Everyone go watch!
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Chris Y retweetledi
Bl➃ze
Bl➃ze@InvisibleBlazee·
It’s a great month to be a horror movie fan.
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Altcoin Sherpa
Altcoin Sherpa@AltcoinSherpa·
$ZEC I think this is a screaming buy at $470 and $420 if it comes...
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⋆
@lowkeyalbert·
-No girlfriend -Gym 5x a week -Same 3 friends -One delusional crush -8hrs work -Life is good
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Chris Y retweetledi
Sophie
Sophie@Iinda1509·
The coolest thing in 2026 is Iran
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Chris Y@desertnode·
Iran confirmed to be using Bitcoin for ‘maritime cargo insurance’ AKA toll for safe passage through the Strait The future is now
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DaVinci
DaVinci@BiancoDavinci·
Similarity between Apple stores and Soviet-era architecture.
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