Romane Dideberg

Traçabilité des minerais et conflits armés – audition en com #RelationsExtérieures de @IPISResearch,, @dideberg @AfricaProg, @DannyBossSINGOM réseaux PRODDES & ATRAM et @Green_Europe > tinyurl.com/yfh76c8v Live ▶️ tinyurl.com/352rm2tm

#Ethiopia: The situation in #Tigray appears to be sliding back toward war. Two escalatory developments are driving this fear. First, armed clashes have erupted between Tigray security forces and a splinter faction known as the “Tigray Peace Forces.” Unlike previous skirmishes, the latest confrontation has reportedly intensified into a full offensive involving heavy weaponry—signaling a dangerous internal fragmentation with profound security implications. Second, Ethiopia’s Ministry of Finance has instructed the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia to withhold nearly 2 billion ETB that was recently allocated to Tigray’s administration. This move, beyond its administrative veneer, functions as an act of economic coercion that could further destabilize the region and erode trust in the federal-regional relationship. These developments unfold against a wider climate of militarized rhetoric between Eritrea and Ethiopia, with both governments trading hostile narratives and engaging in war-preparatory propaganda. Disturbingly, there are also growing indications that segments of Tigray’s leadership are seeking alignment with Eritrea—an actor overwhelmingly implicated in the atrocities committed during the previous war. The convergence of internal fragmentation, federal economic pressure, and renewed cross-border tensions creates a volatile environment in which miscalculations can rapidly trigger large-scale conflict. The region stands at a critical crossroads, where decisions made in the coming days could determine whether Tigray reenters another destructive war or finds a path to stability

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The controversial re-election of 92-year-old President Paul Biya for an eighth term has sparked protests in Cameroon. Read the latest from our @AfricaProg team⤵️ chathamhouse.org/2025/10/suppre…