TheOneWhoLikesOrange

@Bluntz_Capital @CredibleCrypto would love your thoughts if you have time.

I did some EW counting. Controversial, yes. But invalid ?

@CredibleCrypto Beautiful 5 wave too! Do you think that's the B wave now with a C still to come @CredibleCrypto ?

A follower asked me a question about the $FLR chart and I noticed that it had a perfect LTF triple tap base formation and bullish retest, which is exactly what I was referencing in the quoted tweet on $CRV. Like I say I've seen countless example of PA develop and play out in my nearly 10 years here, so when I share an idea that suggests something it's usually based off of years of experience seeing things play out exactly that way. We know there are no guarantees in markets, but these types of patterns do occur and repeat frequently (even if they don't have a 100% hit rate). Being able to recognize these structures over time is what gives us an edge vs those who do not have that experience.

@TimstaMills @CredibleCrypto What larger wave would that 5-wave be part of, do you think ?

@CredibleCrypto Nice but zoom out to dtf and I think we have one more (Wave 5) down to go to tap range lows first yes?

Our range low/base has held so far, the local supply zone above (red) will now need to be reclaimed for continuation higher. This could take a couple of weeks to play out but any consolidation at these levels is healthy and just means a more sustainable rally if/when we do clear the supply zone above. This is also predicated on no violent drops from $BTC which is still technically holding it's relevant support zone as well. $CRV

@iluminatibot @grok is this accurate?

The Oil Lie Oil isn’t rare, it’s also not made from dead dinosaurs. It’s the 2nd most common liquid after water and is the Earth’s lifeblood. The scarcity myth was a Rockefeller lie to dramatically increase the oil price. The system tells you that oil is liquefied dinosaurs (biotic theory) so you believe it's scarce and pay whatever they want. Lie. Oil is abiotic—a liquid mineral generated by the Earth's own engine through high-pressure and high-temperature processes in the mantle. It is the lubricant for tectonic plates. Depleted wells from the 70s have been found to be fuller today than before. Why? Because the Earth's system pumps it from the subsoil. It doesn't run out; it regenerates. By extracting it on a massive scale, we are drying out the Earth's gears. This is why there are more earthquakes and creaking faults: we are stripping the oil from the engine. The fossil theory (coined by the Rockefellers and the Smithsonian in the late 19th century) is the greatest economic hack in history. If oil came from organic matter, it would have a biological signature (nitrogen, phosphorus, etc.) that would degrade. Crude oil is pure polymeric hydrocarbon. The Thomas Gold Thesis: This expert (whom the system tried to discredit) proved that methane and oil rise from the depths of the mantle. Hydrocarbons are primordial constituents of the Earth's formation. By calling it fossil, they tell you it's a resource that's running out. If Humanity knew that oil is like tap water for the Earth, the geopolitics of the parasites would go down the drain in a single day.

@unclebobmartin Plonk

My thoughts on the Iran issue. Thank God that there are leaders who understand the threat and are taking the necessary action to address it. I've been waiting for this for 47 years. I remember, all too well, the day the American hostages were taken, and the 444 days of their captivity. I remember, all too well, the Iranian diaspora, and the horrors that the regime imposed upon it's own people and upon the world. And when it is gone, and buried, with a stake through its heart, I will smile and say: Good Effing Riddance.

@CredibleCrypto Ubud library

Recommendations for must-see/do things for a first timer in Bali? Will be around the Ubud area and planning the trip now so any recs/insights are appreciated.

@CredibleCrypto @AltcoinSherpa If there's one main thing I learnt from you @CredibleCrypto then it's that patience, immensely thankful for that!! (And a whole heap of TA of course)

@AltcoinSherpa Yup sometimes just have to sit on our hands and it’s often easier said than done 💯

Sounds about right lol. Some of the most difficult trading conditions in a long time imo. Don’t be discouraged if you’ve been struggling with your trades lately- sometimes the markets are on easy mode and sometimes they’re simply more challenging. Current environment is the latter imo. It won’t always be this way though- your job is to keep your wits about you until then.

@Trader_XO @josedonato__ You can create autonomous agents that follow the TDD cycle. Results are amazing. TDD is micro scale, SDD macro. They are not exclusive at all.

Was always a proponent of Test Driven Development Was talking to @josedonato__ about this approach with using AI Coding agents But SDD makes alot of sense - Spec Driven Development And equally... Context Engineering > Prompt Engineering.

#BTC 3D BBW20 seems to have a local minimum - some people say that increases the chance of volatility. What's brewing ?

@i_am_jackis You just nicely categorised my perception, thanks ! Simplicity is king.

Even if #BTC were to drop to 70K or so I don't view it as a typical bear market. Rather a macro range of the entire 2025. But I suppose it comes to a definition I rather view it as a temporary bearish momentum / pause of a macro trend (which I'm playing on the downside), but unlike 2022 or Q1 of this year, this drop isn't driven fundamentally or by a broader risk leg but rather exchange of hands between OGs and institutions TA wise it is also a Monthly range to me I also don't view #ETH as being in a bear market cause we never really gotten a bull market either. To me it is a macro range all the way to 2021 with local upward & downward momentums Where both would enter a bear market to me would be a combination of fundamentals + TA loss of their ranges --- Alts on the other hand (in the broader scale) are and have been in a bear market since March 2024 It is defo a unique situation I'm not forcing this view upon anyone, just sharing with what perception I see & understand the market and yes it does have bigger implications

@TimstaMills @BCBacker Never trust a C until it shows you who it really B ?

@BCBacker C leg? It's the end of the C or the B of the ABC.

Crypto Reaching Must Hold Support Levels for Hopes of C-Leg Rally for Bitcoin, XRP & Altcoin Market youtu.be/02G6XlvG2Q4

A bullish sub 74K scenario for #BTC. Leading diagonal (5-3-5-3-5). Invalidation at 32K. Can we exclude it 100% ?

My hypothesis: we are wrapping up the C of a nice ZigZag W4 of the cycle. The C is heading into its W4 before we get a nasty dip with W5. Then it's time to look for bounce signals that would indicate the start W5 of the cycle. Invalidation of this theory 98.8K #BTC

@CredibleCrypto #FXS 👀

This PA lately has been gnarly to trade, might be time for some spot and chill 😌

@CasiTrades @TimstaMills Isn't it a hard rule in EW that W5 goes beyond W3 ?

@TimstaMills We measure W5 with a .5-.618 extension... because of the high W4 recovery, this extension is not coming in at a new low. It's targeting the .618 retracement instead. I do agree that in normal situations, the W5 would be lower than W3.

🚨XRP Pauses After the Chaos. Wave 5 or the Start of A New Trend? 🚨 After last Friday’s massive wipeout, the market rebounded nicely, but is now stalling... This is to be expected after such an extreme move. In EWT, this kind of pause is a Wave 4. The market consolidates and prepares for the final wave of the impulse. Remember, markets rarely pivot directly from massive Wave 3 moves. Typically, we see an exhausted final move down (Wave 5) to complete the impulse before the new trend begins. 📈 🚨Unfortunately, we’re not yet seeing the strength that would invalidate that final wave down. Price is stalling right around the Wave 4 resistance levels. If this were a deep V-shaped recovery, we should’ve already seen a strong breakout above key resistance ($2.82). That breakout hasn’t come. So at this point, I’m leaning toward the market needing one more wave down for full exhaustion and a change of sentiment. Across exchanges, data remains a complete mess! Each chart shows a different low from the crash, which makes analysis incredibly difficult right now. Some pairs printed lows under $1, while others held much higher. It’s crucial to chart the exchange you’re actually trading on to get the most accurate levels. There’s no “universal” XRP chart! On Binance USD, price wicked as low as $0.77, a 72% drop from the local highs, breaking below the .786 Fib. I don’t believe we’ll revisit that extreme, but a test of the .618 retracement around $1.46 or even the golden pocket near $1.35 are very possible for the next wave down. That level is where multiple technicals align. The Wave 5 extension, macro golden retraces, and Wave 2 target... If price targets that, it could set the stage for a massive reversal! Potentially the start of the long-awaited Wave that could target $6.50 to $10.00. 🚀 ✍️That’s the silver lining in all this chaos. While the crash was absolutely devastating, it may have actually shifted the count from a shallow Wave 4 to a deeper macro Wave 2, which sets up for the most powerful impulse in the cycle! #CryptoMarket #Crypto #XRPCommunity

@CredibleCrypto Enjoy the wedding boss. This can be recovered from. A missed time with best friends not. 🥂

So a few things and then I’m gonna try and get back to my night and deal with all this once I’m back in town: 1. Today was probs the biggest loss I’ve taken in my 7 years here. That being said- it’s all on me, and there is no point in moping around or complaining about it. It is what it Is. All I can do is get back up, grind harder, and learn from it like I do every loss. There is no other option. 2. While many alts got completely obliterated, a few haven’t broken structure and actually look decent overall. Not surprisingly, these were majors like $ETH, $XRP etc. 3. BTC went below 108k, which invalidated the last local impulse we had to the upside, but the larger impulse and structure from the 74k lows remains intact. This is all to say: if you took some major losses today, I feel your pain. I’ve never been hit harder myself. But in this space there is plenty of opportunity and as long as you don’t give up there is a chance to make it all back and more. You just have to work your ass off. I’ve done it before and I’ll do it again, and so will you. And second, HTF structure on Bitcoin and most majors (ETH, XRP) still looks fine- this was but a minor setback for these majors and the macro ideas of mine have not changed. Alts that broke structure on the other hand might take a bit longer to recover- but the cycle goes on and expectations for these coins has not changed. With that, going to sign off for the next couple days until I’m back in town- I don’t have access to any of my funds anyways so there is not much I can do at this time unfortunately. Take a couple days off if you need to rest after this, any I’ll see you with some more updates soon.

@TimstaMills @CredibleCrypto Seeing the same, with potential to hit below 100K

@CredibleCrypto You can count 5 waves down (A Wave) from the top of weekly supply and then 3 up (B Wave) after a bit of consolidation and now we have two of 5 down of the C Wave complete imo...

$BTC still chopping around on lower timefames. We had a nice rally but are now up against weekly supply- which is the real test. I've highlighted local, ltf demand and weekly supply here. Thinking we may chop around in this region for a bit before a decision on direction is made.

@TimstaMills @CredibleCrypto Would love to know too

@CredibleCrypto Meanwhile wth was that wick up all about...

Didn't quite get to our local range highs, which means we may not yet be ready for that full on reversal. Still technically holding green but if we lose if then back to being patient a little longer. $CRV

@CredibleCrypto Love the updates boss!

No long on $BTC for now, want to let the dust settle. Will see how things look on it tomorrow!