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@diptinto

Katılım Şubat 2014
87 Takip Edilen19 Takipçiler
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A@diptinto·
@JTLonsdale @Chadwick_Moore @BillMelugin_ 1.5MM votes positioned strategically could have flipped five senate seats in 2024. Given that only a third are elected at once, they can move each cycle to maximize impact. I doubt China is that coordinated but I don’t love the thought.
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Chadwick Moore
Chadwick Moore@Chadwick_Moore·
New from me: Up to 1.5 million 'American' children are being raised in China thanks to birth tourism and a grotesque interpretation of the 14th Amendment. This decade, many of those kids reach voting age. nypost.com/2026/03/19/us-…
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A@diptinto·
@arash_tehran A list of must-read classics in Iran (among the educated elite?) would be fascinating
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Arash Azizi آرش عزیزی
This quote is from the American historian Will Durant. Fun fact (as shown in my upcoming book): Netanyahu and Khamenei both grew up reading Will Durant (who was and is widely popular in Iran, his STORY OF CIVILIZATION treated as a must-read classic in Persian translation)
Clash Report@clashreport

Netanyahu: It is not enough to be moral. It is not enough to be just. "Jesus Christ has no advantage over Genghis Khan. If you are strong enough, ruthless enough, and powerful enough, evil will overcome good."

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A@diptinto·
@histgovguy @lymanstoneky Both can be true and point in the same direction: Universities lowering standards. Universities make the choice to choice to partner with high schools and/or accept dual credit courses as transfer credits
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Histgovguy
Histgovguy@histgovguy·
@diptinto @lymanstoneky Officially, that was CB's explanation. Unofficially, they made it easier to pass because they are losing market share to dual enrollment courses, where students are basically guaranteed credit because it's awarded by the teacher rather than by an objective exam.
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A@diptinto·
@baytifirasik @pmarca II Samuel 12:21-23 reconcile the two views. David believed that prayer and worship could influence real world outcomes through divine intervention. Beyond that, he didn’t see a point in ruminating about even immense grief.
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Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸
It is 100% true that great men and women of the past were not sitting around moaning about their feelings. I regret nothing.
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A@diptinto·
@lymanstoneky …or interacts with a non-random sample of women
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A@diptinto·
@KelseyTuoc The more of your words I read, the more I wish you would run for public office
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Kelsey Piper
Kelsey Piper@KelseyTuoc·
My ancestors buried half their children. All mine are alive. My ancestors' house had a dirt floor. Mine is wood. I have indoor plumbing, I have hot water, I have never in my life hauled a full bucket half a mile and I probably never will. Do you know how rare it is, in human history, for small children to wear shoes? Mine have multiple pairs. I can speak to my relatives who live thousands of miles away, for free, at any time. Video, if we want video. With machine translation, if we speak different languages. The original Library of Congress had 740 books in it. I have more than that. If I run out of books in my home my local public library has 350,000. If I want to take a hundred books with me on vacation, they all fit on a device that fits in my purse. I have heat in the winter and AC in the summer and a washing machine and I have never, ever, ever had to scrub a dress clean by hand in the stream. I can look up recipes from more than a hundred different countries and I've tried dozens of them. I ride a clean and modern train across my city for $4, or take a robot taxi if I'm out too late for the train. I donate $40,000 every year to the cause of getting healthcare to the world's poorest people and even after the donations I never have to think about whether I can afford a book, or a pair of shoes, or a cup of coffee. There is a great deal more to fight for, of course. I hope that our descendants will look back on our lives and list a thousand ways they're richer. Maybe we ourselves will do that, if some of the crazier stuff comes true. But the abundance is all around you and to a significant degree you aren't feeling it only because fish don't notice water.
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Kelsey Piper
Kelsey Piper@KelseyTuoc·
I doubt that anyone I know steals from Whole Foods, but the milieu that the article depicted, where it's normal for perfectly well-off people to steal things because why not, was really upsetting to read about, so I actually want to try to earnestly explain why you shouldn't do this just in case there's someone out there who has never had it explained to them. When a business opens - or really, as soon as a business starts making plans to open - a defining question for the business is how it will collect payment for the goods or services it provides. If you trust the people you sell to, you can be pretty relaxed about this; send people an invoice, most of them will pay it on time, any who don't will pay it a bit late. You have to think about convenience and mistakes but not about people trying to cheat you. This saves you so, so much defensive planning to make sure you get paid. It's so much easier. But if you're selling to the general public, you do have to think about people trying to cheat you. You have to structure the physical store so that it's hard for them to steal. You have to not carry some items that you'd like to sell, because they'd also be attractive targets to steal. If people swap price tags between items, you can't use stickers. If people put things on in the dressing room and wear them out, you need to pay someone a full time salary to monitor the dressing room. The world that we all live in is much poorer than the world we'd live in if people didn't steal. The stores don't carry things that they could carry if people didn't steal. They don't use pricing and inventory systems that would be way easier and more convenient if people didn't steal. But it could be much worse! If I walk down to my local Whole Foods today, items on the shelves won't be locked behind sheafs of plastic - that is only worth it when the background rate of stealing is much higher than it is at my local Whole Foods. When more people steal, businesses have to further intensify security, or go out of business. When you shoplift, you directly and unambiguously impoverish your community. You make prices higher for everybody else, you make stores less usable for everybody else, or you make businesses not viable that would otherwise be viable. The direct impact each time is small, but it's a lot larger than the direct impact of taking some trash out of the trash can to throw on the ground, or pouring just a tiny bit of poison into your local river, and most people have a deep, instinctive abhorrence of antisocially wrecking your community like that. So don't steal. The other thing that it seems possible some people might not understand is that while you might have a social circle that is incredibly nihilistic and cynical and thinks that everybody steals, in fact this is not true. Most people do not steal. Most people, if they learn that you steal, will lose more respect for you than you had to lose. I don't know anyone who has shoplifted except 'as a kid/teenager'. It is not always the case that virtue is rewarded and vice is punished but even before you bring the legal system into it, the risk-reward tradeoff of having everybody you know know that you steal things sometimes is absolutely terrible. Who would hire someone who steals things? Who would trust them around a vulnerable person? Who would want to live in a society with someone who will delightedly and routinely wreck it for the slightest personal benefit? I hope that "Gina" turns her life around. I hope that Gina realizes that she needs to. And if you have been told that it's just a corporation or that having ethics is lame or that if you think about it, other bad things happen too, like wage theft, so that means stealing is okay, I hope you really, actually, think about whether you'd accept any of those as excuses for anything else.
Josh Barro@jbarro

People hate the tone of this piece, but my view is you don't need a journalist to tell you wrong things are wrong. (She does also call her thieving friends nihilists.) It's weird to be surrounded by thieves though -- if people I know steal from Whole Foods, they don't admit it.

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A@diptinto·
@CoreyWriting @DanFriedman81 The buildings are infrastructure won’t vanish. A long decline is a greater danger to infrastructure than a rapid one ending in bankruptcy and better governance
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Corey Walker 🇺🇸
Corey Walker 🇺🇸@CoreyWriting·
@DanFriedman81 We shouldn't let one of the country's most prestigious cities fall into the abyss. Chicago is also the defacto capital of the Midwest and the most prominent non-coastal city. Chicago isn't Detroit. It's incredibly important as a distribution hub due to its centrality.
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Daniel Friedman
Daniel Friedman@DanFriedman81·
There are a lot of proposals and plans for how to save Chicago. But mine is: What if we don’t? Let Brandon Johnson do what he was elected to do. Let him crash the plane into the mountain. Let the city default and the school district default. Let the pensioners not get paid. What happens if a city goes bankrupt and defaults on all its obligations? I don’t even know! I am curious to find out. Honestly, I think the city completely running out of money and straight up being bankrupt and unable to pay is the only way it can possibly unwind its legacy costs.
Austin Berg@Austin__Berg

NEW: The Washington Post editorial board is backing four key reforms to change Chicago’s financial trajectory. 1. Independent oversight of the budget. 2. Change state law to allow for municipal bankruptcy. 3. Implement $1 billion in efficiencies identified by EY in an analysis last year. 4. Change election timing to double turnout in municipal elections. Details on all four in the replies ⬇️

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A@diptinto·
@mattyglesias Arguing that you’re a type of educator and for no taxes on teachers is more likely to work
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Ruxandra Teslo 🧬
Ruxandra Teslo 🧬@RuxandraTeslo·
No that's not the case. There are quite promising treatments with good chance of success that we could try in small n trials, but high costs imposed by regulations + delays make that unfeasible for all but the very rich. @sytses wrote about his experience
Ruxandra Teslo 🧬 tweet mediaRuxandra Teslo 🧬 tweet media
Isaac King 🔍@IsaacKing314

...Am I reading this correctly that this person claims cancer has been effectively cured for a while now, but you're not allowed to buy the cure due to regulatory barriers?

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A@diptinto·
@Noahpinion @jasonfurman Grok 4.2 is only behind Opus 4.6 on LMArena and only behind GPT 5.4 on TrackingAI’s offline IQ albeit tied with Gemini 3.1 and Opis 4.6. xAI has challenges but has succeeded on model training in ways that Meta has not.
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A@diptinto·
@queens_parents Inheriting rent control from parents: Tax free Inheriting owned apartment bigger than a studio: Taxes due
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A@diptinto·
@TheStalwart The challenge is that the name inspires readers to interpret it as analogous to domestic law
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Joe Weisenthal
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart·
“International law doesn’t exist.” Maybe the most midwit take there is?
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A@diptinto·
@lymanstoneky Conception decisions plus any difference in miscarriage risk due to bombing imposed environmental factors
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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬
Iran has a more-or-less functional vital registry system and as a result in a few years we will have some incredible data about how bombing campaigns influence conception decisions. We can guess that airstrike locations are more-or-less exogenous to local fertility trends.
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A@diptinto·
@kevinroose Also striking that Apple and Meta reinforce Google’s market power instead of supporting the younger companies
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A@diptinto·
@MichaelSLinden In 1990, 15% of the population lived in states without an income tax. It’s 20% today, even subtracting out WA where the majority of the effect has yet to be realized.
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Michael Linden
Michael Linden@MichaelSLinden·
Millionaire Tax Flight is not a real thing. Of course, you can find instances of rich people moving (and, of course, they say it was because of taxes), but anecdotes aren't data. And the data is clear. Rich people don't move out of state because of taxes.
Steven Fulop@StevenFulop

This is a warning for NYC as well - People can resent the wealthy, but the math doesn’t change: a small number of taxpayers fund a large share of the system. The “tax the rich” soundbite ignores how mobile people are today. When they leave, the ripple effects go far beyond taxes - philanthropy, investment, and hiring tend to follow where people live.

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A@diptinto·
@MattZeitlin Many people gravitated to WA because it lacked an income tax. It reminds me of JC Penney trying to kill coupons. Everything you say is true but it will hit WA especially hard.
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Matthew Zeitlin
Matthew Zeitlin@MattZeitlin·
i think a lot of assumptions about tax flight were made in a different political and technological environment. billionaire types are much more on edge, the taxes being conceived are often *new* (ie not just raising existing rates), and you can work from anywhere now
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A@diptinto·
@lymanstoneky Three things: 1. They didn’t test any models from the frontier labs 2. The models are dated 3. How often do humans give the wrong answer when given an open-book test on 700 pages? One must build systems around models to mitigate just as we do around people
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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬
Yeah... I have to say it's seeming increasingly like LLMs may not be able to do one of the tasks they most obviously should be able to do.
Abdul Șhakoor@abxxai

BREAKING: 🚨 Someone just tested 35 AI models across 172 billion tokens of real document questions. The hallucination numbers should end the "just give it the documents" argument forever. Here is what the data actually showed. The best model in the entire study, under perfect conditions, fabricated answers 1.19% of the time. That sounds small until you realize that is the ceiling. The absolute best case. Under optimal settings that almost no real deployment uses. Typical top models sit at 5 to 7% fabrication on document Q&A. Not on questions from memory. Not on abstract reasoning. On questions where the answer is sitting right there in the document in front of it. The median across all 35 models tested was around 25%. One in four answers fabricated, even with the source material provided. Then they tested what happens when you extend the context window. Every company selling 128K and 200K context as the hallucination solution needs to read this part carefully. At 200K context length, every single model in the study exceeded 10% hallucination. The rate nearly tripled compared to optimal shorter contexts. The longer the window people want, the worse the fabrication gets. The exact feature being sold as the fix is making the problem significantly worse. There is one more finding that does not get talked about enough. Grounding skill and anti-fabrication skill are completely separate capabilities in these models. A model that is excellent at finding relevant information in a document is not necessarily good at avoiding making things up. They are measuring two different things that do not reliably correlate. You cannot assume a model that retrieves well also fabricates less. 172 billion tokens. 35 models. The conclusion is the same across all of them. Handing an LLM the actual document does not solve hallucination. It just changes the shape of it.

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A@diptinto·
@LukaszSzubelak @mattyglesias As long as the tax rate function has a closed form integral, the math is simpler. To figure out total taxes under the current system requires building a small spreadsheet using breakpoints and marginal rates. It’s harder to keep it all in your head.
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Lukasz Szubelak
Lukasz Szubelak@LukaszSzubelak·
It sounds elegant on paper, but the real problem is everyday transparency. With brackets you can look up your rate in seconds. A continuous function means every extra dollar changes your marginal rate by a tiny amount. Most people would have no idea what they actually pay on the next paycheck
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