Stefan Schubert

76.1K posts

Stefan Schubert

Stefan Schubert

@StefanFSchubert

I run The Update newsletter. Book: https://t.co/I5zN3WGe0p

Katılım Ekim 2014
2.4K Takip Edilen47.6K Takipçiler
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Stefan Schubert
Stefan Schubert@StefanFSchubert·
People love sharing the OkCupid chart where women find most men unattractive, and the rumour that one in ten children has a different father than they think. But some stories are too juicy to be true. update.news/p/women-dont-t…
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Stefan Schubert
Stefan Schubert@StefanFSchubert·
Academics definitely should criticise other academics’ priorities if they think they’re misguided. We need research efforts to be rationally allocated and that requires a frank and open debate about it.
Rudi Bachmann@BachmannRudi

I don’t understand this: Since when is it OK for economists to tell other economists what to do? If you don’t like what other people are doing, do it yourself better. I have always loved the “let a 1000 flowers bloom” approach in Economics. These fights are for sociologists.

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Stefan Schubert
Stefan Schubert@StefanFSchubert·
@Noahpinion A problem with the discourse is that people don't distinguish between what would happen if we didn't respond and what will happen given our response
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Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion·
There's a good reason for techno-anxiety. New technologies initially cause negative externalities, and each one requires social adaptation -- often wrenching change, sometimes including war -- for the positive effects to dominate.
Séb Krier@sebkrier

Techno-anxiety is a remarkably consistent and repetitive pattern: 1482 book by Johannes Trithemius: "In Praise of Scribes: De Laude Scriptorum": williamwolff.org/wp-content/upl… 1858 New York Times editorial on the epistemic risks of the telegraph: nytimes.com/1858/10/25/arc… 1986 WaPo article on the use of calculators in school: washingtonpost.com/archive/local/… 2008 Atlantic piece on whether 'Google is making us stupid': theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…

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Alex Imas
Alex Imas@alexolegimas·
Thank you @ezraklein for covering my piece on what will be scarce with advanced AI, and what this can mean for the future of work. nytimes.com/2026/05/03/opi… I would also recommend this piece for why *current* jobs may hold together for longer than people think by @lugaricano: siliconcontinent.com/p/why-desk-job… And this by @pawtrammell on an alternative scenario where labor share goes to zero: philiptrammell.substack.com/p/is-labor-a-l…
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Stefan Schubert
Stefan Schubert@StefanFSchubert·
@bswud I’d also probably view voting for Reform and the Greens a bit differently than voting for the Lib Dems, who are more mainstream
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Ben Southwood
Ben Southwood@bswud·
@StefanFSchubert It vaguely looks as though years of conservative govt increase voting for the main parties whereas years of Labour government reduce it, but that’s tea leaves not clear. 1970-4 and 2019-24 seem pretty clear trend breaks though, esp given what we expect in 2029
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Aella
Aella@Aella_Girl·
it's weird that 'innocence' has such a positive valence. Not being innocent - being exposed to the world, knowing more, having experience - feels *good*. Are pro-innocence people those who feel like exposure to the world has been negative for them?
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Stefan Schubert
Stefan Schubert@StefanFSchubert·
Claude has increased its number of daily users almost 10x this year, according to @Similarweb Meanwhile DeepSeek and Grok are fairly flat.
Stefan Schubert tweet media
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Hunter📈🌈📊
Hunter📈🌈📊@StatisticUrban·
Even though Europe has about 220 million more people than America, America has significantly more large urban areas. European cities are denser and more spacially compact, but American metropolitan regions tend to contain more people.
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Gregory Cochran
Gregory Cochran@gcochran99·
@StefanFSchubert @robertosaezm Although brain volume is correlated with IQ, other factors seem to matter more, and it would be possible for IQ to increase while brain volume was static or even declining. It looks as if this has happened during the Holocene.
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Roberto Sáez
Roberto Sáez@robertosaezm·
"cognitive differences between Neanderthals and amHs would have comfortably fit within the range found among modern human populations—which are generally not considered evolutionarily significant" Neanderthal brain and cognition reconsidered pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…
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Stefan Schubert retweetledi
Alex Godofsky
Alex Godofsky@AlexGodofsky·
"Luxury beliefs" has always been a solution in search of a problem. It tries to resolve the supposed paradox of left-wing people supporting policies with bad outcomes, but there is no paradox, they just support the bad things even when the bad things will hurt them.
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Stefan Schubert
Stefan Schubert@StefanFSchubert·
@robinhanson Good points, agree. Fwiw I think academic papers do this a bit more than, e.g. substacks (because academics are more incentivised to do it). E.g. they write research agendas others use.
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Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson@robinhanson·
While thinkers usually don’t want to directly admit that they seek to impress, sell, or support, we don’t actually much mind observers inferring such motives in us. Few actually much respect those who try to figure stuff out together. overcomingbias.com/p/figure-stuff…
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Stefan Schubert
Stefan Schubert@StefanFSchubert·
Sweden has rent control, but one difference vs the UK is that it’s very difficult for landlords to exit the market (except through selling to another landlord) due to strong tenancy rights. The rental market can collapse much faster in the UK, where it’s easier to sell up.
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Stefan Schubert retweetledi
Matthew Yglesias
Matthew Yglesias@mattyglesias·
I really wish we could get clearer terms about this: — “AI will kill everyone” is a doomer position. — “AI will be so useful it makes human labor obsolete” is an optimistic position!
Matthew Yglesias tweet media
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Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson@robinhanson·
One way I see myself as like a philosopher (even if philosophers don't agree), is that I'm pretty unhappy when people talk about important topics using sloppy concepts. Please folks, hold yourself to higher standards re the concepts you use!
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Keşfet

@Noahpinion @alexolegimas @marthagimbel @ezraklein @lugaricano @pawtrammell @bswud @Aella_Girl