oblivion

@SunBeltPolitics @MWpatriot01 @Crankyoldboomer completely irrelevant but I like your pfp. Goldwater goes hard.

@MWpatriot01 @Crankyoldboomer In fact, even if you want to go to the six in 2017, the GOP didn't even have a candidate in one and only overperformed in two: GA-06 and UT-03. Both high-propensity anti-Trump seats. They underperformed by ~10-15% in the other three. Should be noted we also have non-specials.

There really is not a ton of evidence that suggests 2026 is going to be a blue wave other than special election results.

@MWpatriot01 @Crankyoldboomer To add on: Special elections are low turnout affairs, with ideologues / engaged voters being the ones who typically vote.

Yeah, they have. But special elections are not always indicative of midterms or presidential elections for that matter. For example Republicans did very well in special elections in 2018 then in November it was a blue wave. Democrats also did very well in special elections in 2024 and we know how that turned out in November.

@earlyvotedata tbh, i thought the field would have winnowed by now… I was convinced the ICE drama in Maine would have compelled the Dems to unite behind a one candidate to hone the drama.

It just keeps getting more and more chaotic.

@GrantMa25066011 Here’s hoping this will actually materialize in November. Voting is the only poll that counts.

Bro I’m getting so much mileage out of this image it’s insane.

@PolPredictions Already planning on voting, hahaha! If I don’t vote, I have no right to complain about the trajectory of the country. Also, quick question: since the backlash against the ICE raids in Maine, do you think that will negatively impact Collins?

@dissolve_1 Thank you!! Much more to come as things change and November gets closer! Remember to stay involved and vote!

U.S. Gubernatorial Forecast: July 2026 🔴GOP: 19 (27) Seats (+1) 🔵DEMS: 17 (23) Seats (-1) 🔵 DEM Flips: 0 🔴GOP Flips: 1 Kansas Check out my latest article on the 7 most competitive gubernatorial races: x.com/PolPredictions…

@Eli_Watz @ClownWorld I respect your determination, though. I wouldn’t last constantly jumping professions.

I get bored easily. Depending on where you work and your responsibilities, security can be different every day. I’ve seen cool things, and I’ve seen really sad things, but only a handful of really scary things. I’m basically a reporter/medic/investigator/damage assessor/supervisor. We don’t go hands on. I don’t want anything to do with that, that’s why we have cops that never want to do their job. 🌚

I’m curious… how many jobs have you had in your lifetime? I think I’m at 12+ now. 🤔

@Eli_Watz @ClownWorld Bro’s a jack-of-all trades lmao

Farmhand at an apple orchard Starbucks Pool water tester and stock clerk Sandwich and pizza cook Part-time CNC cleaner Burhan/Machinist/Forklift operator building air conditioner parts for Carrier Part-time automotive mechanic Packager and logistics for a tarping company Ran my own precious metal trading business (mostly silver), sales & jewelry cleaning services Inventory auditor Gaming journalist Playtester and design consultant for Bungie (Halo 3 & Halo Reach) Fiber optics draw tower operator/Assembly/Forklift operator Part-time shipping & receiving/Forklift operator Wrote gaming commentary for a couple of small entertainment sites Bodywork technician/Part-time autonotive mechanic Porter/Lot Operations Manager/Used Car Manager for the largest Hyundai dealer in New England (Moved to Florida) Lowes overnight stock clerk Private airline security specialist (I searched 737s for bombs and screened all employees out on the Air Operations Area)/Senior Lead/Automotive Fleet Mechanic Security officer for Disney World (I know practically every inch of the property, all the parks, all the hotels, all the places people aren’t supposed to go, or know about)/Perimeter security for the NBA during the 2020 Finals Sergeant of security for Margaritaville’s cottages (I met Jimmy Buffet right before he died) Site Security Manager at a busy timeshare resort Back to Disney World as a plain clothed security officer Book author/Independent AI researcher (recursion studies mostly) Security officer at Seaworld (Fucking worst security operation I have ever seen…) Third shift site security manager for an absolute shithole nightclub spot (I wanted the downtime to work on AI, but this place is fucking chaos… 😑) 26, or more if you consider rideshare or sidework.

@earlyvotedata Been reading a lot of news lately on the Wisconsin governor democratic primary. Seems like Hong is favored to be the nominee. How do you think she’ll fare against Tiffany?

@earlyvotedata honestly, with everything that’s going on in this country, Republicans seem to not be doing so bad in the generic polling thus far. But then again, candidate quality + turn out are better indicators imo…

@ChristianHeiens Thoughts on the Dem Senate fiasco in Maine?

I get to spend the next five hours sitting in JFK airport. Ask me anything.

@earlyvotedata What happened to Jackson being the “strongest” candidate narrative?

Seeing Democrats still losing even after swapping their candidate is priceless.

@earlyvotedata Waiting game now. In the mean time, assemble your campaign staff - you shall take the political establishment by storm, Wise One.

He will....but what if he doesn't...

@earlyvotedata Only way it’s safe D is if you’re Platner’s replacement. LMAO

I feel like all those election models that had Maine lean Democrat with Platner should probably apologize now.

@redsteeze I did nazi that coming!

Platner is in such a state of grief, that he's probably going to leave his door unlocked and his windows open tonight.

@earlyvotedata I’ll be the keynote speaker at your nominating convention. I’ll electrify the crowd by promoting your no nonsense agenda. Lol.

@dissolve_1 Let's do this!

I, too, am overwhelmed by the countless calls from Mainers encouraging me to consider this race. I'm in.

@earlyvotedata How to ruin your chances at winning a Senate race. Starring: Graham Platner, Bernie Sanders, Ro Khanna Featuring: Fight Agency, Maine Democratic Party, Tune in to the next episode coming soon!

The strategy here: Gain “consultation” by volunteers over the next 2 days. “Consider” options over the weekend. On Monday force Democrats to allow Platner to choose his successor or he stays on the ballot.

@earlyvotedata Do you think Republicans have effectively held this seat - even if Platner’s replaced?

Platner should just stay in and force Democrats to come back to him. He literally holds all the cards here.

@NC_Patri0t With what’s happening in Maine, do you think it’s effectively a hold for the GOP - even if Platner ends up being replaced?

500 FOLLOWER SPECIAL QNA POST. Ask me anything you want, and I’ll answer. Can be about something other than politics if you want.