David Spratt

Authoritarianism is undermining #climate action – and time is running out as warming accelerates and tipping points draw near. But as globalisation fades, national governments must assert their role in leading a climate emergency response: johnmenadue.com/post/2026/02/c… @johnmenadue. Briefing paper: breakthroughonline.org.au/_files/ugd/148… @BreakthroughCCR

let me get this straight a team will not be playing in the FIFA World Cup because they are currently being bombed by the FIFA Peace Prize winner

@drcwhos @AlanKohler @swrighteconomy Serious.

Serious game theory economics or a scam @AlanKohler @swrighteconomy ?

@LucyTurnbull_AO @Judith54Nunn ASLCG folks are advocating policy changes. Chris Barrie, Ian Monroe, John Blackburn & others all articulating urgency of changes. #auspol aslcg.org/wp-content/upl…

Hey Minister @ALeighMP now’s the time to get @AlboMP to release that ONI report into impact of climate change on global/Australian economies. We need a paradigm shift in debate now that the Iran war has disrupted energy security. Fossil era is over. @AngusTaylorMP @mattjcan

Former defence and security leaders say accelerating renewable energy is now a national security priority, Ian Dunlop and David Spratt write. #auspol #Energy #ClimateSecurity #Renewables @djspratt johnmenadue.com/post/2026/03/f…

Continuing fossil fuel dependence, let alone the government’s current support for expansion, intensifies climate change, creating a growing threat to Australia’s economic and national security. Read the full story: johnmenadue.com/post/2026/03/f…

@QuentinDempster Public statement in Sydney Morning Herald and Financial Review today

Australia’s security and defence leaders take out an ad: climate change is the biggest threat to our national and economic security👇👀 👍✅ aslcg.org

Government continues to withhold climate risk report thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/… via @SatPaper #ASLCG #ClimateRisk #NationalSecurity #auspol26

Oil wars drive energy and cost-of-living shocks — and climate change will make them worse. Today ASLCG released an open letter warning Australia’s dependence on imported oil is a serious economic and national security risk. Accelerating clean energy and electrified transport will reduce exposure to global energy shocks. Read the open letter. aslcg.org/wp-content/upl…

Around 47% of global #sulphur, 43% of #urea, 27% of #ammonia and 24% of #phosphate fertilizer global traded supply is at risk. The industry is in paralysis, and the full implications are not yet known

🚨🇦🇪🇺🇸 Prominent UAE billionaire Khalaf Ahmad Al Habtoor just published an open letter to Trump. It's brutal. "Who gave you the authority to drag our region into a war with Iran? Who gave you permission to turn our region into a battlefield?" Al Habtoor's a major figure: billionaire, former diplomat, outspoken political voice in the Gulf. When he talks, UAE leadership's listening. His questions: * Was this your decision or Netanyahu's pressure? * Did you calculate collateral damage before firing? * You placed GCC countries at the heart of danger they didn't choose * Your "Board of Peace" initiatives were funded by Gulf states. Now we're getting attacked. Where did that money go? * You promised no wars. You've conducted operations in 7 countries: Somalia, Iraq, Yemen, Nigeria, Syria, Iran, Venezuela * 658 airstrikes in your first year back = Biden's entire term (which you criticized) * War costs $40-65 billion for operations, possibly $210 billion total * Your approval rating's down 9% in 400 days * Americans were promised peace. They're getting war funded by their taxes The sharpest line: "Before the ink has dried on your Board of Peace initiative, we find ourselves facing military escalation that endangers the entire region. So where did those initiatives go?" Al Habtoor's not some random critic. He's establishment. Connected. When UAE elites start publicly questioning Trump's decision-making, that's America's closest Arab allies saying "we didn't sign up for this." The letter ends: "True leadership is not measured by war decisions, but by wisdom, respect for others, and pushing toward achieving peace." @KhalafAlHabtoor

Step 1. End AUKUS. Step. 2. Close US bases in Australia. Step 3. Develop an independent foreign policy and a military that is separated from the US.

QatarEnergy declares Force Majeure Further to the announcement by QatarEnergy to stop production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and associated products, QatarEnergy has declared Force Majeure to its affected buyers. QatarEnergy values its relationships with all of its stakeholders and will continue to communicate the latest available information. #QatarEnergy #Qatar

BREAKING: QatarEnergy just declared Force Majeure. Three words that mean: we cannot deliver, and legally, we do not have to. This is no longer a supply disruption. This is a contract collapse. Force Majeure is not a precaution. It is a formal legal declaration that an unforeseeable event beyond QatarEnergy’s control has made fulfillment impossible. Every affected buyer just had their contract voided. The gas they were counting on is gone, and they have no legal recourse to get it back. 82% of Qatar’s LNG goes to Asia. China relies on Qatar for 30% of its LNG imports. India 42 to 52%. South Korea 14 to 19%. Taiwan 25%. Japan is already rationing to spot markets. Asian benchmark prices jumped 39% the day production stopped. Force Majeure just made that permanent until further notice. Indian companies have already cut gas supplies to industry by 10 to 30%. That is not a market adjustment. That is factories running at reduced capacity today, across the world’s most populous continent, because Iran sent drones into Ras Laffan. Here is the number the market still has not fully absorbed. Two weeks to restart a liquefaction train after a full cold shutdown. Then two more weeks to reach full capacity. That is a minimum of four weeks at zero, assuming no further strikes, no security complications, no inspection delays. The war is still running. There is no security guarantee. There is no restart timeline. There is no floor. Every LNG contract in Asia just became a spot market problem. Every spot market problem just became an inflation problem. Every inflation problem just became a central bank problem. This started as a war in the Middle East. It is now inside every factory, every power plant, and every gas bill across Asia. Price that chain. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

Just noticed a notable uptick on my annual 2026 projection in the climate dashboard: dashboard.theclimatebrink.com Thought it might be a bug, but it turns out that the ENSO plume model was just updated with a much higher likelihood for El Nino development: iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/…

"There is greater acceptance now that there is a detectable acceleration of warming". Great article by John Muyskens and Shannon Osaka in today's Washington Post: washingtonpost.com/climate-enviro…

The Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration on the climate emergency: “There have been 30 global climate policy-making COP conferences since 1995 – where petrostates have veto power – and the rate of warming has just accelerated by half.” breakthroughonline.org.au/_files/ugd/148…

@ryankatzrosene @pmagn Not what Jim Hansen is saying and he has never been wrong on any big call he has made as far as I can see.

Most scientists would not agree with the statement that "we're currently on track for RCP8.5". Several recent estimates place it closer to 2.7C by 2100 (which is more aligned with SSP2-4.5). That said... as Zeke notes "these central estimates can obscur the large uncertainty in the climate system response due to climate sensitivity and carbon cycle feedbacks; its possible that current policy warming could be as high as 4C if we roll 6s on the proverbial climate dice" (which would be akin to a radiative forcing of roughly +7W/m2).

"using the ‘middle-of-the-road’ SSP 2-4.5 as a reference, the dataset indicates that the population experiencing extreme heat conditions... is projected to nearly double if the 2.0 °C threshold is reached, increasing from 23% (1.54B people) in 2010 to 41% (3.79B) by 2050, with the largest projected populations affected in India, Nigeria, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Pakistan and the Philippines."