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DoonMoon
5.3K posts


@AriZonanHODL Mom's last words were "I love you, I love you, I love you"
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@PrestonPysh @TheGuySwann Thread is an absolute murderers row of titans coming and sending well wishes to a fellow titan of Bitcoin
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A personal note. After years of public discussion/work: the podcast, social media, venture capital, everything — I'm stepping back to focus on my family.
My kids are growing fast. My wife deserves the best of me. To everyone who listened, read, grew, and built alongside me — thank you. What a blessing you all have been!
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@PrestonPysh @TheGuySwann Not a regular poster, but this deserves one.. You're a real one Preston, happier for you than I am sad that one of the pillars of great Bitcoin education and advocacy is stepping back..godspeed.
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@Giovann35084111 @BitcoinSapiens Just personal attestation - you aren't required to believe me, but nonetheless, it is true. I had an Excel spreadsheet model of log price vs log block ht. since ~2017
(using block height for time giving great linear trend on log log even on the earlier 20k Bitcoin pizza era)
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@DontyMonis @BitcoinSapiens Before me? When?
Go ahead.
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@Giovann35084111 @BitcoinSapiens "without attribution"
Seriously?
Everyone saw the power law relationship, you formalized it to great extent, thank you, but no one need give attribution for observing this relationship. I had my own little excel-monkey power law model way before u so where's my attribution? 😂
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That is the power law projections without quoting the power law. The difference?
We explain the math and the mechanisms. He does one of two things (with the second most likely).
1) Guesswork. So it is useless.
2) Uses without attribution the power law, that is a pity because it would make his prediction based on real math and physics.
Not sure why he does this.
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@HodlMagoo @isabelfoxenduke @nakamoto @DavidFBailey I thought this exactly, and then magically, a swipe of my thumb and here it was.
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"Issuing securities on top of Bitcoin—that trade permissionlessly against Bitcoin—is part of the cypherpunk vision of a completely decentralized financial system," says @nakamoto CEO @DavidFBailey
"We take the view that Bitcoin can do anything that any other protocol can do—if it's worth doing and developed in the right way."
Full interview with David Bailey and Bitcoin Inc. CEO @BranBTC in the comments 👇
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@notgrubles Hi @notgrubles..mostly silent representative here of the cohort you think does not exist 👋
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I am not exaggerating when I say the vast majority of accounts replying to me supporting BIP-110 were created in 2023 or later. I can count on clicking on their profile and it showing 2023+ account creation date. Even if there is a kernel of real organic support, it's pretty evident bots are attempting to embellish things.
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Amazing work - thank you for the diligence and vigilance @hodlonaut
@shinobi's dismissal is lame. This is very well done and a very measured accounting explaining the subtle incentives at play over years to subtly nudge bitcoin core into drastically different waters.
hodlonaut #BIP-110@hodlonaut
CAPTURE An investigation across four articles into how informal power over Bitcoin Core was assembled, exercised, and defended. Article One: The Network citadel21.com/the-network
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DoonMoon retweetledi

@Whistledown99 @hodlonaut You mean autisticly prodigious output and tenacity.. and I, for one, am very thankful for it.
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@hodlonaut you're like a child having a tantrum, it's cringe
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@BitcoinErrorLog @elonmusk @_kaitodev @garrytan @karpathy He omits that he just means the lowest of the low will have more than now for no work (ie richer) but will be financial slaves with even less recourse to climb out of their station.
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5 minutes ago, @karpathy just dropped karpathy/jobs!
he scraped every job in the US economy (342 occupations from BLS), scored each one's AI exposure 0-10 using an LLM, and visualized it as a treemap.
if your whole job happens on a screen you're cooked.
average score across all jobs is 5.3/10.
software devs: 8-9.
roofers: 0-1.
medical transcriptionists: 10/10 💀
karpathy.ai/jobs

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@w_s_bitcoin @flaming_hodl Sizable contingent running v29 and lower in opposition to v30 as well soo
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@flaming_hodl Lol comparing Core v30 to all Knots versions. The debates been raging since Core v28…but there’s a reason y’all don’t want to include Core v28/v29 here. Bad for moral.
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@adam3us @BryanBSolstin @jackmallers So no, sorry Mr. Back, it is absolutely not unrelated and is highly relevant.
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@adam3us @BryanBSolstin @jackmallers Look at the cakewalk and relatively non-controversial upgrade of taproot and how it is now being leveraged for EXACTLY this kind of non-monetary use when these methods of abuse were not envisioned at the time.
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DoonMoon retweetledi

I think this thread is posted in at least a simulacrum of good faith, so I'll give a substantive response.
It is obviously true that in the moment of crisis, leaders face tremendous pressure to do something dramatic to address the crisis, and often those decisions turn out, in retrospect, to be wrong.
In the case of the covid crisis, the problems were confounded by a determined unwillingness of scientific and public health leaders to respond to data -- in real time -- that showed that core assumptions underlying the lockdown strategy were wrong.
Here is a short list of facts about covid that undermined these leaders' core assumptions:
* covid is airborne,
* covid spreads asymptomatically,
* covid infection fatality rate << case fatality rate,
* covid has a sharp age gradient in its infection mortality risk,
* lockdowns cannot suppress covid spread or protect the vulnerable for long,
* lockdowns crush the lives and well-being of children, the poor, and the working class, and almost everyone other than the laptop class
* lockdowns cause a form of psychological terror that guarantee they could never last just two weeks
The WHO and public health leaders got all of these facts wrong in 2020, which I suppose is understandable.
What is not understandable is that these same leaders conducted "devastating takedowns" of even well-credentialed outside critics who pointed out that the WHO's core assumptions were incorrect, and accepted these assumptions as true even as overwhelming data to the contrary emerged in real time.
What is not understandable is the utter confidence that the WHO and public health leaders expressed in these ideas and lockdown policies to the public as the only way to protect the population, going so far as to call for censorship of contrary voices on social media and elsewhere.
The closest analogue I can think of is the set of "best and brightest" advisors who told Pres. LBJ that victory in the Vietnam War was just around the corner, based on a whole host of faulty information.
Leaders who come out of such situations having embraced such a litany of catastrophically failed ideas and policies have a few choices on how to handle the post-crisis era.
1) They can, in good faith, admit their failures and work to reform systems so the disaster never happens again. This would be best, though I would understand why the public would want a new set of leaders to design and implement the reforms. I personally am very happy to work with and learn from public health leaders who choose this option.
2) They can pretend to have done nothing wrong, clinging to power for as long as they can, hoping against hope that history will vindicate them, crushing public trust in the institutions they lead.
3) They can try to pretend they never recommended or adopted the catastrophically failed policies, hoping that the public has a short memory. This is the current strategy that the @WHO is taking.
4) They can appeal to the difficulty of the job of handling a crisis under considerable uncertainty, not in a spirit of reform, but rather as an excuse to avoid responsibility for their failed crisis management. This is the approach that Koopmans is taking in her thread.
I have very little sympathy for the covid crisis leaders who choose options 2, 3, or 4. Their job was to manage the uncertainty with wisdom and humanity, which they failed to do. They cannot, at this juncture, turn around and expect public sympathy because their job was hard, or expect the public to forget their failure. These leaders have destroyed public trust in public health, and should step aside as a new set of public health leaders works to fix the damage they caused.
Marion Koopmans, publications: https://pure.eur.nl@MarionKoopmans
@DrJBhattacharya I will give this 1 try. I am looking at your inciting tweets with astonishment. You probably group me in the box of lock down pushers. I wonder if you ever have been in a public health crisis advisory role, hospital outbreak management team, employer health
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