dorian hernandez

175 posts

dorian hernandez

dorian hernandez

@dorianhern37304

Katılım Eylül 2025
25 Takip Edilen1 Takipçiler
dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
@jarbymccoy @PoliticalKiwi This seat was harris +8, but more realistically its like +13-14 for an average democrat in an okay year. I can see this flipping in a bad year if she doesn't get her popularity up in her district.
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meatball
meatball@jarbymccoy·
@dorianhern37304 @PoliticalKiwi was closer to +20 but yeah I’m sure a progressive who doesn’t court endorsements would be bad in centrist brains. progressives can’t win anywhere and if they do it’s only +30!
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Jesse🔸⏹️
Jesse🔸⏹️@PoliticalKiwi·
Dems turn in a pretty weak +12 overperformance over Harris turnout in NJ-11. Given the turnout edge, it seems Mejia didn't do well in persuasion. This is v unsurprising to me. Check out her endorsements from the primary. I've underlined the ones that are negative signals.
Jesse🔸⏹️ tweet media
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dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
Final prediction in NJ-11: Meija + 21
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dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
@MiguelMadeira11 @lxeagle17 Black americans mostly do not give a shit about Africa unless they are african immigrants. The majority of jewish americans strongly support israel. I don't agree with the question at all, nor do I agree with the free palestine crowd much, but its not the same as real hate.
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Miguel Madeira
Miguel Madeira@MiguelMadeira11·
@dorianhern37304 @lxeagle17 B seems antisemitic; is like saying "is is ok the boycott businesses of Black Americans to protest the killing of albinos in Tanzania"
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dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
@SpecialPuppy1 @lxeagle17 Essentially none of the free Palestine crowd thinks the holocaust was good, nor would they physically hurt jews . Right wing antisemitism and left wing "antisemitism" are two completely separate things, gen z just eats up the latter. I am not free Palestine btw.
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dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
@cafreiman Rent control isn't in anybodies mind. Everybody cares about COL, nobody wants to talk about it outside of elites and some twitter circles.
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Chris Freiman
Chris Freiman@cafreiman·
Here’s hoping that the left embraces the consensus opinion among experts that rent control is bad, just as it’s embraced the consensus opinion among experts that tariffs are bad.
Jack Whitcomb@jack_whitcomb_

WOW

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dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
@BobaCalifornian This is a common fallacy in political predictions. US Politics don't really exist outside of 3 presidential cycles ago. 2012 has no bearing on 2028. Just because something didn't flip and has a history of going with x party doesn't mean it can't flip now.
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dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
@x00ge_ii63 Go read some psychology about the life outcomes and preferences of people who have less than 90 IQ or the bottom 25% of the population. Its not pretty. But thats not why communism doesn't work as well as capitalism.
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tadano! 🪄
tadano! 🪄@x00ge_ii63·
are all human beings just too fundamentally stupid for communism
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dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
@ClaireOfRuralia @LinkofSunshine Most people who voted yes are probably just *average to above average income earners, perhaps with a college degree who grew up in the states. If you include inflation, a million in the future is like 600k now which lowers the standard even further.
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dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
@Joeytheman03 Steyer sounds like hes not a bad person, but hes not going to fix california with what hes proposing. We don't need more reasons for high earners and businesses to leave like more taxes. Hes right on increasing housing supply, but he sounds adamant on keeping rent control around
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dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
Congrats to Hungary for getting rid of Orban.
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dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
@MarcoFoster_ @KyleKulinski Agreed but a bit less, but a simple non-vote for republicans in 2026 or 2028 and an admission that kamala would have been better is enough.
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Marco Foster
Marco Foster@MarcoFoster_·
Kyle Kulinski: “I want to see all of these right wing pundits say he’s a war criminal pedophile rapist and he’s the most corrupt president we’ve ever had and he fucking belongs in prison and Kamala Harris would have been way way better than him”
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dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
@ferald_gord Steyer doesn't seem to want to challenge rent control or some of the down the line things that democrats/left wing people do that also cause low construction. That being said, im happy that abundance is in fashion at the top of the ticket.
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dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
@Aishafierce4 Why is this a big deal? Everybody steals from everyone, who cares. She isn't hurting anybody.
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dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
@Nav2367 @LindorEnjoyer @_giacomo_volpe_ If i don't like it I can just move somewhere else, but I am not. Because the "instability" is largely on the news, not relevant to my life. Society is still largely stable, trump is a blip in the grand scheme of things.
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dorian hernandez
dorian hernandez@dorianhern37304·
@Nav2367 @LindorEnjoyer @_giacomo_volpe_ I can walk outside and know that theres a 99.9999% chance that nothing of the extreme bullshit variety is going to happen to me like some insurgency group killing everyone. I have food, shelter, endless entertainment and I have the freedom to do most things I would want to do.
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