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draftballr

@draftballr

draft infrastructure. built by @databallr

Katılım Şubat 2026
48 Takip Edilen10.5K Takipçiler
nxte
nxte@Nxte9x·
@Fiizop how’d he scam 3.5 offense bruh
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draftballr
draftballr@draftballr·
Who would you rather take in this years NBA Draft? Mikel Brown Jr or Keaton Wagler?
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draftballr
draftballr@draftballr·
“The Wizards have the #1 pick. Have AJ Dybantsa record a 42 inch max vertical.”
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draftballr@draftballr·
@pmmbasketball “You’re looking at this through a straw.” What a line lmao
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PMM@pmmbasketball·
“boozer will be a good person” “boozer will get 25 once in a while” how did we end up here man
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draftballr
draftballr@draftballr·
He said “Every Time”
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sami
sami@PatRileyBurner·
Dailyn Swain rim pressure numbers are insane. His unassisted rim makes numbers up there with dharp, aj, dmitch, 51.6 FTR, 25 dunks made and elite efficiency +6.8% rTS. Easy indicators to tell what translate to NBA
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optimistic_stars_fan
optimistic_stars_fan@Dallasite4Lyfe·
@draftballr This is why it’s important to use film because even with this we can all see he’s still a rim rocker
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draftballr
draftballr@draftballr·
Yaxel Lendenborg with the fourth lowest max vert at the NBA Draft Combine. Does that move him on your board?
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draftballr@draftballr·
You're right that this is a more recent example of the analytics #1 not getting picked, so i shouldnt have said 'last guy'. Was it the right decision? Ant has obviously proven way more in the playoffs on good teams, and LaMelo's been injured and on terrible teams, but Expected EPM has LaMelo +3 above Ant right now. (Not sure I actually buy that)
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Sam Vecenie
Sam Vecenie@Sam_Vecenie·
Could have been due to miscalibration of Australian NBL at the time as compared to other Euro leagues, but I’m telling you from having lived it that the models also loved LaMelo and he was seen on the same tier as Hali from a model perspective. For instance, KP had him ahead of Hali in the stats-only model he has. And he was not alone espn.com/nba/insider/st…
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draftballr
draftballr@draftballr·
GM's are in the privileged position of making difficult decisions for their teams that carry a lot of uncertainty. There's risk either way. The last person who took the "safe" #1 pick (DeAndre Ayton) over the clear #1 analytics guy (Luka Doncic) was out of a job quickly.
Nathan Grubel@DraftDeeper

I’m with you, that’s what my board says too. But we both know how tough it is for a front office and ownership group under the gun to pass on someone like AJ, or even Darryn. That doesn’t make it right, but it’s just a reality of how these things play out. The optics of a potential miss on Boozer while passing on the others is an automatic fire from the owner.

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draftballr@draftballr·
The models guy in that draft was Tyrese Haliburton, who actually has the highest 5 year RAPM out of that class and went 12th overall. The rest of the top of the draft that year was pretty weak: LaMelo/Wiseman/Okoro/Pat. Lamelo shot 37/25/72 splits in Australia but had good counting stats. Wiseman had 3 game sample so there was enormous uncertainty. Okoro and Pat were roleplayers. Ant had the ball handling, elite shot creation with an awesome 3 point rate and is a legitimate super athlete. He didn't shoot well from 3 in college but as we know there's plenty of variance in a short college season.
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Sam Vecenie
Sam Vecenie@Sam_Vecenie·
@draftballr FWIW, I would say the last time that happened was not in that draft but in the Ant draft, and Rosas ended up being right (and also still out of a job quickly for different reasons lol). Ant was pretty clearly not the models guy.
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draftballr
draftballr@draftballr·
Added the biggest defensive differences between them at the bottom. STL and BLK rates can be thought of as something similar to physical tools because prospects rarely improve them going forward. PG has been an elite disruptor on defense in the NBA and his college profile suggested he had strong potential in that area.
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Jonathan Givony
Jonathan Givony@DraftExpress·
AJ Dybantsa's closest physical comp in the DX database: a 20-year old Paul George. Same height in shoes (~6'10), similar weight (~215), nearly identical wingspan and standing reach.
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draftballr
draftballr@draftballr·
This is a billion dollar decision for the Washington Wizards. Boozer should be in the conversation to be taken at 1. When a player is #1 in the draft models by this wide a margin, you better be sure he's not the guy. If he is, it will have been obvious in retrospect.
Jonathan Givony@DraftExpress

Don't sleep on Cam Boozer at No. 1. Some really smart people around the NBA have him there, especially those running team draft models, which can be extremely influential in war rooms.

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Matt
Matt@sixringsofsteeI·
Darius Acuff is a All-Pro corner in another lifetime
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