drillr.ai

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drillr.ai

drillr.ai

@drillrai

The MCP for fundamental stock research. SEC filings, signals, fundamentals & valuations — plus alt-data the screens don't have. 10,000+ tickers.

Katılım Nisan 2026
4 Takip Edilen11 Takipçiler
drillr.ai
drillr.ai@drillrai·
Your agent is only as good as the data it can reach. drillr is the MCP for fundamental stock research — one server, any client that speaks the protocol. Ask in plain English, get real data back instantly. SEC filings, analyst signals, fundamentals & valuations — plus alt-data the screens don't have. 10,000+ tickers, one call.
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drillr.ai
drillr.ai@drillrai·
SpaceX just filed to go public. Everyone's resharing the headline. We pointed our agent at drillr and asked the better question — which listed companies does it ripple to? One query mapped every name exposed: its rivals, its backers, and the supply chain that quietly bills it. The kind of companies you'd never have screened for. $RKLB $GOOGL $RTX
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drillr.ai
drillr.ai@drillrai·
PYPL beat. Stock fell -7.74%. This morning: down another -0.39%. No bounce. This is the 4th consecutive PYPL earnings day to close red. The Street has 0 Buy ratings out of 8. P/E is 8.69x. The cheapest cash cow in payments doesn't bottom on beats. Here's why. $PYPL
drillr.ai@drillrai

x.com/i/article/2052…

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drillr.ai@drillrai·
AMD just guided +32% next quarter. The OpenAI ramp isn't in that number. It's sitting in 3 footnotes — penny warrant, +$3.9B unconditional commitments, $4.4B WIP — none of which roll into reported revenue until H2 2026. $AMD $NVDA $AVGO
drillr.ai@drillrai

x.com/i/article/2052…

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drillr.ai
drillr.ai@drillrai·
OpenAI just missed revenue + user targets (per WSJ yesterday). CFO Sarah Friar warned capex may outpace revenue. AI-linked names sold off — $ORCL closed -4% (intraday -7%), $AMD /$AVGO -4% on the news. Tonight's 4 hyperscalers all report into this exact question: is the AI capex narrative sustainable, or is OpenAI's slowdown the first crack? 4 hours until the prints. The single-question scorecard — one for each company, on the KPI the market is most sensitive to: $MSFT — Does Azure CC growth crack 39%? Guide is 37-38%. Morgan Stanley's Brian Nowak openly forecasts ≥39%. Capacity loosening = growth ceiling lifts. $GOOGL — Does Cloud growth crack 48%? Does capex hold at $185B? Pichai literally said "capacity and supply chain" is what keeps him up. Higher capex = problem persists. Same capex + higher Cloud growth = constraint loosening. $AMZN — Does AWS growth crack 26% (consensus)? 24% was 13-quarter high. Consensus 26%, UBS bull 38% — widest spread of the four. Below 26% = "13Q peak was the peak." $META — Does capex hold at $135B? Multiple previews aligned on $135B as the yellow line — above it = "AI buildout already outpacing ad business cash generation." Breach extends the PT compression already underway in April. The cross-company tell: combined 2026 capex guide is ~$615-735B. If any name raises capex tonight without a revenue raise, FCF compression narrative gets fresh fuel.
drillr.ai@drillrai

x.com/i/article/2049…

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drillr.ai
drillr.ai@drillrai·
$GOOGL reports tonight. Everyone is asking about Cloud growth. The question that's already been answered, in 3 separate filings nobody connected: → $AVGO Q1 FY26 8-K: Google TPU + Anthropic deal "supercharge revenue visibility." HSBC: Google TPU = 78% of AVGO's 2026 ASIC revenue ($22.1B), at $13K/chip vs $5K for other ASICs. → $MRVL FY25 Q4 10-Q Note 13 (filed Dec 3): $87 warrant to "a customer" for 1.0M shares, vesting on revenue milestones, 6-year term. Customer not named. Timing + Celestial Photonic Fabric (scale-up interconnect) + Google's 4/22 TPU 8 announcement = strong inference: customer is Google. → $CLS Q1 2026 print (yesterday): "preferred manufacturing partner" for Google TPU systems. 2026 revenue guide $17B (+37% YoY). Capacity expanded 5x. Google plans to deploy ~3.3M TPU units in 2026. Tonight's question isn't only "will GOOGL beat?" — it's also: The footnotes are the leading indicator. The second-order names already ran: → $CRDO +93% from 4/2 to 4/24. $ALAB +82% over the same window. Both gave back -7%/-8% on the OpenAI WSJ news Mon/Tue. If GOOGL's print confirms the TPU trajectory tonight, the question stops being "who's next" — it becomes "is the second-order leg done, or does the print extend it?" drillr lined up the 3 footnotes — same TPU build-out, 3 different SEC filings. P.S. — the highest-conviction call in the layer map is $MU . Q2 FY26 10-Q (filed 3/19): gross margin 74% vs 37% YoY, revenue +196% YoY. Micron's own MD&A calls the HBM mix "structural." Bull case isn't a forecast — it's printed. fwd P/E 11.6x.
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drillr.ai
drillr.ai@drillrai·
24h later: WSJ reports OpenAI missed revenue + user targets. $ORCL -4% close (intraday -7%), AI infra names sold off across the board. The $250B Azure contract floor I flagged yesterday just turned into the most important question on tonight's $MSFT print: The floor is contractual. OpenAI's actual demand is not. What % of MSFT's $625B RPO is OpenAI? Hood's answer tonight is the highest-information disclosure of the year.
drillr.ai@drillrai

x.com/i/article/2049…

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drillr.ai@drillrai·
@amitisinvesting For everyone showing up at 4PM ET tomorrow 👇 If any one raises capex tomorrow without a corresponding revenue raise, FCF compression gets fresh fuel. If revenue raises along with capex, demand is real. Per-name watchlist ↓
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amit
amit@amitisinvesting·
$AMZN $GOOGL $META $MSFT earnings all tomorrow at once going to be one of the craziest days all of us will experience in 2026 all those trillions moving back and forth on revenue and eps beats or misses lol & most of our friends and family will just go about their lives and have no clue what’s happening at 4PM ET 😆
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drillr.ai
drillr.ai@drillrai·
Worth noting POET's own 20-F has warned about this every year since 2020 — risk factors literally say "customers may cancel POs without significant penalty." The cancellation right was always there in standard PO terms. MRVL didn't even need to invent the breach-of-confidentiality argument; it was a clean exit baked into the contract structure.
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Finn Stockinger
Finn Stockinger@FinnStockinger·
Why did $MRVL really walk away from $POET? Many investors believe today’s nearly 50% crash was triggered solely by a slip-up during a CFO interview. Let’s be realistic: in the semiconductor industry, you don't terminate Tier-1 partnerships over "chatter" if the product is indispensable. The NDA breach was merely a legal backdoor - a convenient excuse to exit a contract without massive penalties. The real reason lies in the events of the past week. 1⃣The Polariton Acquisition (April 22) Just one day before sending the termination notice to POET, Marvell announced the acquisition of Swiss-based Polariton Technologies. Polariton does not do what POET does, but it makes POET's role in Marvell’s stack redundant. ➡️ $POET (Optical Interposer): A packaging platform. It allows for the integration of various optical components (lasers, modulators) onto a single chip at scale. ➡️ Polariton (Plasmonics): The creators of the world’s fastest plasmonic modulators. These are 10x smaller and significantly faster than traditional silicon photonics. ⬇️The takeaway: Marvell no longer needs POET’s "motherboard" because they just bought the "engine." By acquiring Polariton, Marvell can now integrate optics directly into their own DSPs (Digital Signal Processors), bypassing POET’s architecture entirely. This is Vertical Integration at its finest - the giant prefers owning the IP over licensing it from a micro-cap player. 2⃣ The Governance Crisis As investors, we must call out the management's communication timeline: ➡️The termination notice was received on Thursday (April 23). ➡️The company remained silent throughout Friday (April 24), allowing the stock to pump 29% on false speculation. The news was only disclosed on Monday (April 27) before the bell. Failing to report a material event for four days is unacceptable and exposes the company to significant regulatory risk. This destroys trust far more than the loss of a single contract. 3⃣Validation vs. PR Spin Today’s mention of a new $5M order from another customer feels like desperate "damage control." Compared to the projected scale of the Marvell/Celestial AI partnership, $5 million is a drop in the bucket. It isn't market validation; it’s a PR distraction from the fire in the boardroom. ⬇️The Outlook: POET’s technology may still be brilliant, but the company has lost its primary leverage. Other Tier-1 players now know POET is backed into a corner, which drastically weakens their negotiating power. I am not making a "hot" decision today, but the investment thesis based on a "partnership with a giant" has officially evaporated. I will watch tomorrow’s session to gauge the level of capitulation, but my confidence in management is currently near zero.
Finn Stockinger@FinnStockinger

$POET down nearly 50% - Sell or Not to Sell? A crash this sudden is rare. What actually happened? Reports are surfacing that $MRVL canceled all $POET orders originally placed via Celestial AI. ➡️The stated reason: NDA breach. Last week, POET’s CFO confirmed the Marvell collaboration in a Stocktwits interview. If he disclosed confidential info knowing an NDA was in place, it’s a massive blunder. But here’s the thing: Did we actually learn anything new from that interview? Thomas Mika basically confirmed what the market already suspected and what was already sitting in the 20F filings. Did that really "hurt" Marvell enough to kill the orders? The whole situation feels off. I’m not seeing major formal notifications of an NDA breach yet. Until we get official PR, we’re just guessing. But when a company has a history that isn't exactly "crystal clear" and its valuation is based purely on future partnerships, this is what happens when bad news hits. ➡️Can this bury $POET? It’s definitely not good. When you only have a few Tier-1 players as potential customers, losing one significantly weakens your leverage with the others. ➡️Then there's the "stink": The technology is exactly the same as it was 2 days ago. The product didn't change. But the company’s credibility did. Future contractors will now demand better terms because they know POET is backed into a corner. ➡️Why did Marvell pull the plug now? They didn’t have to cancel; they wanted to. In business, an NDA breach is often just a convenient exit. Marvell has been hiring for roles that suggest they want to build this internally (vertical integration). They might simply want to own the space rather than depend on POET. ➡️ If they see POET as a threat they need to build against, that’s actually a backhanded compliment to the tech. ⬇️ My move: I haven’t sold a single share, but I’m not buying yet either. I’m waiting for official communications. This isn't a great spot for any investor to be in, and everyone has to make their own call. You couldn't have predicted this one.

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drillr.ai
drillr.ai@drillrai·
The trigger was the CFO interview. The cause was on file 5 months earlier. MRVL's Dec 3, 2025 10-Q (Note 13): a warrant issued to "a customer" — 1.0M shares at $87, vesting on revenue milestones with MRVL's silicon photonics over 5 years. That customer is now equity-incentivized to ramp MRVL's stack, not POET's. Cancellation was structural — the CFO interview just pulled timing forward 1-3 quarters.
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amit
amit@amitisinvesting·
this $POET story is just incredible - only photonics stock to do nothing all year - short report 2 weeks ago takes it down to $6.80 - CFO confirms a $MRVL order on a podcast a few days later - stock jumps from $6.80 to $17 - Marvell comes out and says that was a breach of confidentiality - stock down 45% in a day the crazy thing about this is that the CEO of POET owns…7,000 shares. what do people think? is it a buy the dip because their optics tech will be used somewhere else? CFO leaking news is just a never touch stock? the south koreans are HEAVY in this name, many of them have been forming groups for the past year and sharing their DD. last week was a huge win for them which created more fomo on this name across the world but today feels like a material reason for the stock to be down over the short report from a few weeks ago. still has $430M in cash but barely any revenue and with a big order getting canceled…the hope of that revenue growth seems to be the reason the stock is getting hit. how are people thinking of this one?
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drillr.ai
drillr.ai@drillrai·
POET Technologies had its worst trading day on record yesterday. → Open: ~$14 → Intraday low: $7.00 → Close: $7.20 → -47.4% on the day The headline says "CFO blunder." The actual story is in Marvell's 10-K Note 13 — filed 5 months ago. When Marvell announced the Celestial acquisition on December 2, 2025, they ALSO issued a warrant to "a customer" for 1.0 million shares at $87, vesting on revenue milestones over 5 years. That customer is now equity-incentivized to consume Marvell's photonic stack. Why pay POET to ship optical engines into your product when triggering this warrant runs through Marvell's own silicon photonics engine? POET losing this customer was structurally inevitable from the moment that warrant was signed. The CFO's Stocktwits interview was the trigger, not the cause. Full breakdown — every filing date, the warrant math, the $0.3M revenue vs $5.5B integrated stack mismatch👇: $POET $MRVL $NVDA
drillr.ai@drillrai

x.com/i/article/2049…

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drillr.ai@drillrai·
Yesterday $MSFT and OpenAI announced "the next phase" of their partnership. MSFT plunged -5% intraday, then closed -0.37%. That intraday → close shape is the tell: someone started reading the actual terms during the trading day. We pulled MSFT's last 6 quarters of SEC filings on drillr.ai. The "exclusive" word disappeared from MSFT's own filings two filings ago. The $250B Azure contract has been booked in RPO since January 28. The AGI clause was already gone in the October Note 17. Most of yesterday's "news" was already in MSFT's filings 6 months ago. The market traded a surprise that wasn't a surprise. Full breakdown — every disclosure timeline, the RPO walk, the AP-bound capex tell, the OpenAI HLBV math 👇:
drillr.ai@drillrai

x.com/i/article/2049…

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