manfromnofarm

@TomEDewey1948 It was his signalling after Uvalde.

Never understood the Cornyn hate. He was a standard Republican who always supported the party whether it was ran by Bush, McCain, Romney, or Trump. twitter.com/NickyScatz/sta…

@RichardHanania Historically it was done to defeat local party bosses. Of course many local bosses figured out how to manipulate the primaries. In our era though the voters just aren’t that great at choosing candidates. The compromise is to raise signature requirements and filing fees.

It’s probably too much to expect parties to not try to win a senate seat. This is also why Democrats won’t denounce Platner. The real problem is the primary voter. They’re the ones who deserve to be denounced. There’s too much democracy within the parties.

@neeratanden @daveweigel Biden officials criticizing Becerra are telling on themselves. It’s just anti-Latino racism that they’re trying to pretend are substantive critiques. This all makes sense when you see how both Biden 2020 and Harris 2024 campaigns along with the Admin neglected Latino outreach.

Happy to talk on the record with any reporter that wants to call me.

@lxeagle17 @DrewSav @SplitTicket_ Democrats aren’t winning those either though.

FWIW the median Talarico vs Paxton matchup is currently at R+1 in our (to-be-released) @SplitTicket_ model. Cornyn vs Talarico was R+6. Hard to overstate how badly Rs may have shot themselves in the foot; even if Paxton wins, he's taking a ton of money away from Ohio/Alaska/Iowa.

@_alex_joshua If anything this is an argument to get rid of Clyburn. Dems lose because they’re out of step with the general public on crime, immigration, and social issues. A more conservative primary electorate like SC helps them mitigate those excesses to select a better national option.

Truthfully, keeping Clyburn around probably benefits the GOP. If he goes, South Carolina loses a lot of influence in being an early Democratic primary state. More energetic progressives are hurt because the Dem base there is disproportionately socially conservative black voters.

@DrewSav So what you functionally have is a generic Dem vs a generic Rep. Generic Rep will win end of day.

Talarico isn't exactly the ideal statewide Democratic candidate for Texas but Ken Paxton isn't exactly the ideal Republican candidate either.

@mattyglesias Yeah because no one has kids anymore outside of the college educated upper middle class professionals who buy and large staff politics and media.

As the parent of an 11 year-old, I very much understand why childcare costs are *extremely* salient among a cohort of political and media professionals with slightly younger kids but note that this is basically nowhere as an issue with the mass public.

@DannyEFreeman @jjabbott @JoshShapiroPA @politico There’s no contribution limits in PA state races. The money and time would go much further in getting a trifecta vs trying to flip 2 additional congressional races where Democrats have no hope to win. End of day unless gas blows past 5.50 a gallon Shapiro best case goes 2ws 3Ls.

"We went four for four," says Gov. @JoshShapiroPA in an interview with @politico. "I chose four candidates in what are going to be the toughest races in our state. And arguably the four races are gonna decide control of the US House of Representatives." youtube.com/watch?v=6eXzAZ…

@StatisticUrban Because Gen Z is living with their parents.

Housing affordability is a huge problem in America, one I talk about constantly. But I don't think it explains the sentiment-data gap. Owners and renters are both deeply pessimistic, while Gen Z and Millennials, those most exposed to housing costs, are the *most optimistic.*

@Noahpinion They’re on a fixed income, have nowhere to downsize to and are heavily impacted by the cost of gas and groceries.

It's old people who are the most pessimistic about the economy, not young people.

@rebeccarightnow Most people simply are not happy with their current level of consumption and want more. Much of that unhappiness is due to the cost of housing.

these people always go with “according to the metrics everything is great, so why don’t people think it’s great” and never think to question whether they are using bad metrics to capture the issue.

@BallsackSports @MariaBruno01 I remain committed to the idea that 90% of what some might call the “vibecession” is just people being mad about the cost of housing. Many of us believe that we should be homeowners by age 30 or that we shouldn’t have a roommate in our 2 bedroom apartment.

This isn’t a “vibecession”. This is 95% of Americans seeing their money and earnings become worth less and less year over year as they burden the costs of inflation and our deficit spending while the rich get richer. Americans are seeing their quality of living decline despite them working harder and being more productive. We have less job security, fewer benefits, fewer protections, and significantly less purchasing power proportional to our work productivity. That wealth is being siphoned to the top, while it’s becoming increasingly harder for working class Americans to accumulate assets. No, I did not say impossible. No, not everyone is feeling the pressure yet. But fewer and fewer people are insulated by their bubbles of success. We’re seeing the power of the working class stolen from us decade by decade. Opportunity is harder to come by. Hard work and budgeting isn’t enough for everyone. The game is becoming more difficult. People are becoming visibly strained. They’re not bitter humans, they’re genuinely overwhelmed. Developing autoimmune diseases from chronic stress. There’s not as much leisure time. People are being worked to death, and forced to work more each year to keep up with the rising costs. You think people got raises when the gas prices went up? Tariffs? No, they shoulder the cost, pick more work, just to have the same purchasing power they did before. 2 jobs for each partner in a household to make rent is not unheard of. People are nearing their breaking points. This doesn’t mean this is my experience. This doesn’t mean it’s everyone’s. But go out in the world and talk to people. Go work these jobs. This experience is being more and more shared. There are people working themselves into the ground just to stay alive. There are people having anxiety attacks on the clock from the shear stress. All we do is work, work, work, and it’s yielding less and less results. Not everyone is spending $28 on lunch everyday. I personally skip lunch and breakfast, and eat a ham and craft cheese sandwich when I become home. That’s just become “normal”. Lunch is a luxury at a lot of these workplaces. The part time low wage jobs and contract work (I.e DoorDash) skew the unemployment rates.

@EthanMYoung_ @jongeeting Sad!

Penn explored plans for a $200 million office and lab building at 33rd and Chestnut streets according to documents obtained through a public records request. The University ultimately decided to scrap the project. thedp.com/article/2026/0…

@Whateve73162134 @Monkeys15142745 @PollTracker2024 Fortunately for us all I think AOC would take no at the first loss. Her supporters though…?

@Monkeys15142745 @dtakesin @PollTracker2024 Couldn't take No for an answer.

A person close to AOC told Axios that she is still genuinely undecided on whether to run for president. She's also considering a Senate bid in 2028. "The way she will evaluate the decision is really around where she believes she can make the most change," the source said. Ocasio-Cortez also is skeptical of early 2028 primary polls that are positive for her, including one this month showing her first among possible contenders, the source added.

@Monkeys15142745 @PollTracker2024 William Jennings Bryan the free silver populist that Democrats nominated 3 times for President. He obviously lost each time.

@dtakesin @PollTracker2024 I’m interested in the story who is this? But I agree AOC is not ready for that role, she needs the senate.

@BozoVinny I get all that but Talarico unlike 2018 Beto has said a lot of weird ass shit. If you gave me 2018 Beto vs Paxton I would comfortably say that 2018 Beto is favored. Talarico being a weirdo will make this a competitive race that he’ll likely lose.

I politely disagree. Nobody really ever had Beto winning vs Cruz, but Talarico has had a consistent tie to lead in most polls against Paxton. The Generic Ballot is projected to be larger then 2018, with a much worse economy, with a terrible candidate who isn't an incumbent.

@Wilson__Valdez The media will treat Trump and Republicans with kid gloves until Democrats can win a majority of the White vote again. It is due to this factor that general public and media perception is that the Republican party is the natural party of government in our era.

For all the whining from RWers, the media has basically been Trump's best friend throughout his rise starting in 2015. In the 2016 election they positively LOVED him. Treated him as hilarious. And treated his opponent as a pariah (because EMAILS). Since then, they have continued to be much harsher on Democrats for comically less grave 'faults'. Yes, they report on Trump, but there is never any sort of sustained campaign on things that really matter (corruption, lies, violence and of course his age/health), anywhere near to the degree that there is when they latch on to some Democratic pol (or god forbid, Democratic infighting).

@BozoVinny Beto was in a better position at the time than Talarico is now. I know everyone is in love with Talarico because of a mistaken familiarity with him due to his virality but its time to touch grass folks.

Ted Cruz secured an 8 point win on a R+3 Generic Ballot in 2024, In 2024 Paxton is an equally bad if not worse candidate, on a potential double digit year. Talarico is currently in a better position then both Allred and Beto were in. Doesn't mean he's favored but still.

@OrganizerMemes We should not be pro-Palestine or Pro-Israel. We should be pro taking away the keys by which I mean nukes from Israel and leave the region thereafter.

Probably the most impactful thing you can do with your extra cash rn is donate to the North Carolina Dems If you care about the senate, redistricting, abortion and trans rights, empowering young leadership, supporting the most pro Palestine state party