dude
110 posts


This time we should protect market integrity!
Endless times we can see how UMA rocks manipulate market outcomes (farming UMA tokens rewards and simultaneously trading on polymarket).
Two big problems with this market:
1.) Vague rules and inconsistent polymarket clarification.
By rules we have: Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
By polymarket team clarification: Footage that was not broadcast live, even if filmed during the relevant events and released during market timeframe, will not qualify toward resolution.
They subverted their own rules. There is a BIG difference in meaning:
(broadcast) OR (streamed live) != (broadcast live) or (streamed live)
Polymarket's clarification is trying to manipulate the semantics - we need urgent attention to this.
2.) A lot of evidence of live translation, or at least of broadcast.
We have a lot of evidence of live translation of time-frame that clarify to market resolution on YES side.
And we also have overwhelming amount that clarifies that video fragment is broadcasting and should resolve to YES.
WHAT DO WE NEED TO DO?
"If you believe you've witnessed potentially manipulative or prohibited trading activity on Polymarket, we want to hear from you."
Send letter with complaint here - Integrity@polymarket.com

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@massywhale @PreetTyagi18 @ParetoPrincipl @Polymarket @Kalshi "why did two different markets with different rulesets resolve differently"
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Michael Saylor might have just quietly announced his Bitcoin sale
From the 8-K filing: 'Strategy expects to fund the Repurchases with available cash reserves, proceeds from sales of securities under its at-the-market offering program, and/or proceeds from the sale of bitcoin.'
There is now a 77% chance MicroStrategy announces a bitcoin sale this month

Michael Saylor@saylor
Strategy to repurchase $1.5 billion principal amount of 2029 convertible notes. $MSTR $STRC strategy.com/press/strategy…
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@JanCzarnocki @OGDegen @Polymarket @UMAprotocol The rational argument is at least 100 troops entered Iran and set up a makeshift airfield to support a rescue mission. In what world does this not obviously qualify? Betting on no is just idiotic. Why would you bet against reality?
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@OGDegen @Polymarket @UMAprotocol Are they citing any rational arguments to support their case? Or it’s just outvoting?
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If the "US forces enter Iran by...?" is resolved as YES because of these rescue operations, this means that @Polymarket and @UMAprotocol has a serious and structural problem. I can't see how the prediction markets are about to progress if this kind of issue keeps popping up.
It is obviously contra legem (Latin phrase from Roman law meaning against the spirit of the law) and the intent of this contract to qualify a rescue mission as the instance of "enter". That is because anyone purchasing this contract surely had in mind the ground attack on Iran. It is obvious.
Why is this the case? Simply because the rescue operation IMMEDIATELY LEFT after it entered. You could say that the rationale behind using the verb "enter" instead of any other was to delineate the class of events that qualify as a sustained, deliberate, and persistent ground assault, with the objective of capturing or holding certain tactical objectives. This is surely not the case with the rescue mission, which LEFT.
The alternative to such common sense, and according to the spirit of the law understanding, is to enlist, casuistically, all of the instances of what something means and what the exemptions are - meaning a paralysis in terms of new market creation and governance.
For transparency, I am holding NO on this contract, but it doesn't matter given the objective rationale above.
#CuQEL6F" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/event/us-force…
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@sethmoulton "Trump Jr will insider trade this market"
How are you a real person?
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There is an ongoing search and rescue operation for a missing American service member whose plane was shot down over Iran. Their safety is unknown.
They could be your neighbor, a friend, a family member. And people are betting on whether or not they'll be saved.
This is DISGUSTING.
Quick reminder too that @DonaldJTrumpJr is an investor in this dystopian death market and may have access to intelligence that isn't public yet.

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@GollumGekko1 its real and the earlier (much lower) fee structure is said to be a bug per @mustafap0ly
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$100 to $100,000 in only 1 year on Polymarket.
I literally can't believe I hit this milestone. Thank you to everyone who supported me from the start.
To anyone still out there: never doubt your dream
My profile, if you are curious about my next trade:
@XPredicter1?via=xp" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@XPredicter1?v…

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