Dylan

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Dylan

Dylan

@dy1antweets

Low-stakes bettor & horse player. Developing power ratings + predictive models for NFL, CFB, CBB & more. All plays tracked transparently.

Katılım Aralık 2018
1.1K Takip Edilen753 Takipçiler
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson@wheatonbrando·
Heck of a 1st round! +67u in 2 wks, ton of huge wins! ✅ Sengun 15r any +900 ✅ Ausar/Tobias 8rpg +1500/1300 ✅ Pistons ML +1100 ✅ Cade rd1 pts lead +2200 ✅ Shannon escalator ✅ Tatum 10rpg +21, 15r any +200 ✅ CJ mineshaft ✅ Det/Orl G6 mineshaft ✅ Kornet DD On to rd2! 💰
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Dylan
Dylan@dy1antweets·
My projected spreads for tonight’s NBA games: Knicks -7.9 vs. 76ers Spurs -7.4 vs. Timberwolves No bets for me tonight, staying on the sidelines.
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Dylan
Dylan@dy1antweets·
@Stuckey2 Sorry for your loss, Stuck. My thoughts and prayers are with you and your family.
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Stuckey
Stuckey@Stuckey2·
Lost my best friend yesterday and it hurts so bad so excuse my ramble Like so many, my love of sports came from my dad since I could barely talk. He lived for his kids. I was so blessed he paid for all of my schools and yet he was still all in when I decided to leave my career to help start action. He listened to every single one of my podcasts and always needed to know what I bet so he could follow along. He was a huge Duke basketball fan and I loved rooting against his teams for some reason aka he would give me 20 bucks every time they lost which didn’t happen often in the 90s (I will never have a higher ROI since I never had to pay). He was under the basket when Laettner hit his famous shot at the spectrum. I was only 6 so don’t remember but I apparently cried and didn’t talk to him for 2 weeks. Fast forward 25 years when I married a UK girl and he never stopped joking I only did it to get him back for that Laettner shot. Man beat cancer twice but the third time was too much. He didn’t have the heart to tell us the third time it spread everywhere but he at least went peacefully. Football and college basketball weekends will never be the same without being able to call him but I’m so happy G Jr. got to meet the G the 4th even though I’ll be perpetually sad he won’t get to watch him grow up. Love you forever pop
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Dylan
Dylan@dy1antweets·
Early thoughts on the Truist Championship at Quail Hollow:
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Dylan
Dylan@dy1antweets·
@jaredsmithbets I was tweeting about this yesterday and earlier today too. From 2019–2025, the average line drop from Game 6 to Game 7 was -5.61 points. The adjustments for this weekend’s Game 7s were wild.
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Dylan
Dylan@dy1antweets·
Last wager of the day. Playing the same angle that won the prior two NBA Game 7s. The Game 6 closing total was 218.5, making this a 9.5 point adjustment to 209 in Game 7. That’s bigger than what oddsmakers have historically done, and it’s too much. I’m on the over for 0.5 units
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Dylan
Dylan@dy1antweets·
Sunday MLB Recap Giants/Rays U8 ✅ +0.5u Dodgers -125 ✅ +0.5u Red Sox -168 🚮 -0.84u Mariners -105 🚮 -0.53u -0.37 units on the day, -0.42 units on the season.
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Dylan
Dylan@dy1antweets·
Took the Canadiens +136 over the Lightning in Game 7 @DKSportsbook Think this line is cheap, I project this closer to an even matchup than the market suggests. I like the over too, but not confident enough in the Game 7 pricing adjustment. Risking 0.5 units.
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Dylan
Dylan@dy1antweets·
Now this is a hot take. This is the kind of content I like to see on Twitter. Reckless takes are what keep this app going.
rjhawk@84clutchjumper

@Espngreeny Scheffler little run about over...he might win 1 more major but his best golf is behind him

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Dylan
Dylan@dy1antweets·
Adding one more MLB wager for the day. Risking 0.5 units on the Seattle Mariners -105 over the Royals. I see significant value in this number. Best odds available @BetOpenly
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Dylan
Dylan@dy1antweets·
Going back to the well with the angle I played last night in Celtics/76ers. From ’19-25, avg G6 to G7 total decrease was -5.61. G6 closed at 210.5, making this a 9 point adjustment 😳 I’m fading the move, betting oddsmakers are overcompensating. Risking 0.5 units @BetOpenly
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Dylan
Dylan@dy1antweets·
The totals for Magic vs. Pistons and Raptors vs. Cavaliers are currently 8+ points lower than the Game 6 line, a full possession beyond the usual Game 7 adjustment. Both overs are worth a look.
Dylan@dy1antweets

Game 7 unders in the NBA & NHL are famously profitable. This Celtics/76ers total caught my eye. Closing totals: G1: 217 G2: 218.5 G3: 215.5 G4: 212.5 G5: 214.5 G6: 214.5 From ‘19-25, avg G6 to G7 drop was -5.61. Tonight sits at 205, a 9.5 pt move. Books may have gone too far?

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Dylan
Dylan@dy1antweets·
One more MLB pick my model likes and @trendscenterapp shows strong supporting research. Giants/Rays UNDER 8 (+100) @BetOpenly I think this total should be 6.5, my biggest edge today. 60%+ system with a large sample size supports it. Count me in for a 0.5 unit.
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Dylan
Dylan@dy1antweets·
This system, profitable over the last 22 years across 445 games, is active today in Dodgers vs Cardinals. I show a sliver of value on the Dodgers versus my model, and took a stab on -125 at @BetOpenly to win 0.5 units Research via @trendscenterapp
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Dylan
Dylan@dy1antweets·
@GiddyUpBets Love this. Would get more 👀’s on racing too I think.
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GiddyUpBets
GiddyUpBets@GiddyUpBets·
3 weeks no and prob a waste. It’s 4 weeks that needs to happen. Make the first Saturday of every month a “Super Horse Saturday” April - Preps May - Derby June - Preakness July - Belmont August - BC Preps September - Travers? (Maybe just keep last Sat August before Labor Day) October - BC Preps November - BC Preps December - Breeders Cup (lengthen the season) I know this has flaws in breeding world but can work Stretch out the calendar getting more public known horses running more on more modern spacing.
Jim Snow 2.0@crechem

@GiddyUpBets With CDI saying they're going to make it 3 weeks after the Derby, is that going to be enough to make a difference? Let's face it, it's the least prestigious and least interesting of any of the TC races.

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