Dylan
15.6K posts

Dylan
@dy1antweets
Low-stakes bettor & horse player. Developing power ratings + predictive models for NFL, CFB, CBB & more. All plays tracked transparently.




Last wager of the day. Playing the same angle that won the prior two NBA Game 7s. The Game 6 closing total was 218.5, making this a 9.5 point adjustment to 209 in Game 7. That’s bigger than what oddsmakers have historically done, and it’s too much. I’m on the over for 0.5 units


Circa is going to close 200 on the Game 7 total A 21-point adjustment from Game 1 Crazy

Took the Canadiens +136 over the Lightning in Game 7 @DKSportsbook Think this line is cheap, I project this closer to an even matchup than the market suggests. I like the over too, but not confident enough in the Game 7 pricing adjustment. Risking 0.5 units.

Going back to the well with the angle I played last night in Celtics/76ers. From ’19-25, avg G6 to G7 total decrease was -5.61. G6 closed at 210.5, making this a 9 point adjustment 😳 I’m fading the move, betting oddsmakers are overcompensating. Risking 0.5 units @BetOpenly



Might add a couple more throughout the weekend, but kicking off the @cadillac_champ with a small outright ticket on Cam Young. Using a 30% Profit Boost on @DKSportsbook. Risking to win 1 unit.

@Espngreeny Scheffler little run about over...he might win 1 more major but his best golf is behind him





Game 7 unders in the NBA & NHL are famously profitable. This Celtics/76ers total caught my eye. Closing totals: G1: 217 G2: 218.5 G3: 215.5 G4: 212.5 G5: 214.5 G6: 214.5 From ‘19-25, avg G6 to G7 drop was -5.61. Tonight sits at 205, a 9.5 pt move. Books may have gone too far?






@GiddyUpBets With CDI saying they're going to make it 3 weeks after the Derby, is that going to be enough to make a difference? Let's face it, it's the least prestigious and least interesting of any of the TC races.



