
Earn35t Guy
7.2K posts


@Devon_Eriksen_ “Bus drivers are geniuses” is about the most bullshtty bullshtt you’ll ever hear
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America is not an all-star team. America is a country. With a native people. And a culture.
And this, not your hypothetical all-star team, is what needs to be safeguarded.
American is not special because it contains geniuses.
America is special because the behavior of the average, non-genius heritage American creates a civilization where progress is possible.
It is understandable for you to overvalue talent, because of everything you have built, and helped others to build.
But you could only have built it in America.
And that is not because of America's supply of geniuses. It because you can build here, without getting beaten to death with rocks for witchcraft. Without bribing eleventy-billion bureaucrats. Without being shut out of every opportunity because they have to be given to the Glorious Leader's third cousin. Without being killed by the preexisting elites simply so they can take your stuff.
Need I belabor the point, or do you get the idea?
Yes, Ayn Rand was directionally correct, but she didn't have the whole picture.
The Great Work is not built by the Great Man. It is built by the Great Team, led by the Great Man, in the Permissive Place.
Genius, even genius with drive, is helpless by itself. In all likelihood, the greatest mind in human history spent his life whacking at the dirt with a stick trying to make crops grow, and died at age 32 of a fever that could have been cured by five dollars and thirty-seven cents worth of antibiotics.
Because he did not live in the Permissive Place.
So, recruiting all-stars is not paramount. Because all-stars or geniuses, are not the bottleneck. Geniuses are everywhere. I know plenty of geniuses. Some of them are driving buses or coaching high school football.
The permissive building environment is the bottleneck.
When you try to make America into an all-star team, the inevitable result is you being required by law to kidnap and molest a seal. Because people are not generic, blank-slate talent-in-a-can. They bring their culture and values with them.
As well as all their relatives.
And yes, they will, in fact, vote for the left. Because cultural indoctrination trumps individual intelligence every damn time.
They will vote for President Mamdani, and so will their wife and their brother and their cousin and their dear old mama who barely speaks English.
They will believe the promises and they will vote for the takers.
So you can't afford to bring them here, because without America, there is no Mars.
Yes, I am fully aware that you wish to explain how I don't understand how difficult hiring is, how expensive payroll is, how urgent the need.
The problem is that everybody else wants to use that same excuse.
A basic rule of thumb for evaluating moral actions is the question "What would happen if everyone else did the thing I am doing right now?"
Except we don't have to ask that question. Because we are living the answer.
Elon Musk@elonmusk
This is essentially true. However, it is possible to filter for exceptional people from any country. The problem for the left is that exceptional people mostly won’t vote for them.
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@mikepat711 Good summary.
Garages and signs are the true tests of intelligence. If they can’t solve them, forget Optimus
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Biggest model-related issues with FSD today. Not including nav or some other stuff. Focusing specifically on things it has no clue how to do because the tech isn’t there yet.
1) Car can’t figure out how to navigate out of parking garages and many parking lots.
2) Car parks in handicap spots, curb side pickup spots, pregnant mother spots, reserved parking spots.
3) Car backs out of spots in direction that has it going the wrong way down a one way parking lot.
4) Car can’t recognize most school zones.
5) Car can’t figure out which toll booths/rows to drive into in certain garage exits. Usually gets this right out of luck, but doesn’t understand context here.
6) Car can’t understand stop (except right turn) signs.
7) Car can’t read signs warning about upcoming construction or merging lanes. Usually not a problem, but can cause last-minute staging often.
8) Context window is too small when looking for parking in crowded places. Car seems to forget it’s supposed to be parking. Especially bad in cities where you’re trying to find street parking
I actually can’t think of anything else.
Anyone have any others? Focus specifically on things that the tech doesn’t understand yet. I don’t care about the wrong turn it makes by your driveway or the fact that it went around a trash truck on a double yellow road and you think that’s wrong because you’re an idiot.
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@TeslaBoomerMama Xi couldn’t care less about the merger. They already assume any and all data transmitted back to USA will be used for military purposes. It’s the USA that might have a problem but even that is far fetched. Eg. Boeing, a major defense contractor, has several JVs in China.
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@Scobleizer 💯
“government protection only works if builders build.”
So true. If builders stop building, workers stop working, protections will only backfire
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I am an authoritarian.
Told Bill Gates to turn off Google to get the employees to fix search. Noticed Microsoft employees do more Google searches than all of some other continents.
He refused, said it is better to have access.
But China hasn’t approved our autonomous driving AI that just drove me and kids for 1,400 miles.
So I understand why the FCC is banning humanoids from China.
That said government protection only works if builders build.
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@TeslaBoomerPapa @DoctorJack16 Trump unfortunately appeared to have taken an opportunist approach believing (or wishing) what Bibi told him to be true that this was going to be an easy win once khamenei was taken out. Now he’s finding out that there’s no free lunch
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@DoctorJack16 "Fool me once , shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me"!
He got fooled a dozen times by the Iranian pretending to "negotiate" when all they did is drag things out for 3 months to get Trump caught by the Mid-Terms pressure !
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3 Months after I've argued that all the Iranians are going to react to is when we bomb them into oblivion, Trump is finally getting it!
"Negotiations" with pre-medieval monsters like the Iranian will never succeed!
Trump considering a ‘massive attack’ on Iran after 13th night of U.S. strikes
cnbc.com/2026/07/24/us-…
Santa Barbara, CA 🇺🇸 English

Imagine being Elon Musk for a moment.
You work harder than 99% of people, when you don’t have to, pouring everything into advancing humanity, reshaping what it means to truly live, delivering global internet access so brilliant minds in the most remote places can join the conversation, ushering in an age of abundance that lifts everyone, saving lives, and making life multi-planetary.
Along the way you give people with quadriplegia and paraplegia the ability to control computers with their minds, restore sight to the blind, slash soul-crushing traffic, and far more. As a side quest, you defend free speech and push back against the woke mind virus.
Yet every time $TSLA dips, a small but loud mob of emotional critics, blinded by ego and lack of accountability, comes out with pitchforks. The media lies about you constantly. Short sellers who would sell their own mother for a profit say and do anything. Fund managers blame you when their clients get emotional and they miss their quarterly bonus. Governments, politicians, and the legacy institutions your companies are disrupting wish nothing but ruin on you.
That kind of weight has to press heavily at times.
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@alojoh The balls by which Elon is holding many long term TSLA holders are the astronomical capital gains tax
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@DoctorJack16 That’s not what he said. He was questioning the sudden change in logic from “get unsupervised to market ASAP to save lives because it’s already safer than human” to “hold the deployment till we are 100% perfectly safe” which is impossible to do and nonsensical
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@SawyerMerritt @Tesla So applying my decoder for Elon timelines: self-driving working on the Tesla Semi probably around (2 to 3 years or whatever it takes years later)…definitely be working in (whatever it takes) years
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Elon on FSD on the @Tesla Semi:
"We expect to get self-driving working on the Tesla Semi probably around the end of this year or early next year. I just don't want it to be a distraction on the march of nines of safety for self-driving on the Model 3/Y and Cybercab. It will definitely be working next year."

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@sudoingX @mkratsios47 You have a point but missed the point here. The point was, K3 took a shortcut, and was not a first class model trained from scratch. Orders of magnitude less work
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the distillation panic is a strange look from an industry that trained itself on the entire scraped internet. every frontier lab built its models on data it didn't own, and most are in court over it right now. "they learned from our model" hits different when your model learned from everyone's, without asking. glass houses, top to bottom.
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We have information that Moonshot AI distilled Anthropic’s Fable for the development of its K3 model.
To do this they developed a sophisticated internal platform to conduct large scale distillation against U.S. models, allowing them to quickly switch between multiple methods of access to avoid detection. Moonshot AI has also acquired GB300-equipped servers and has accessed GB300s in Thailand, likely to train its AI models.
The United States strongly supports the free and fair development of AI, including a thriving competitive ecosystem that spans frontier models, specialized systems, open-source frameworks, and open-weight models. Legitimate AI distillation used to create smaller, more efficient models plays a vital role in this open innovation ecosystem. However, large-scale, covert industrial distillation aimed at stealing proprietary U.S. technology and undermining American research is unacceptable.
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@SawyerMerritt “Soon” means it’s been put on the wishlist. It’s less certain than “two weeks” which means within a year in reality
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You will soon be able to select a specific parking spot in FSD so you won't need to disengage to pick your favorite spot. It will remember your favorite spot too.
Elon Musk@elonmusk
@BobDerise @wholemars It’s coming soon
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@aelluswamy What are the odds that if one wishes to try one, he will get one within an hour? My estimate is 10^-10
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Robotaxi now available across Miami, Tampa and Orlando in Florida. Try it out and let us know if you have any feedback.
Tesla Robotaxi@robotaxi
Robotaxi now in Tampa & Orlando!
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@earn35tguy @JOBhakdi No Bush was a war monger and a tyrant. He put boots on the ground in two unwinnable wars, and he knew it.
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Trump is committing political suicide with Iran.
Everyone knows it , and everyone sees it , and no one has a good explanation for why.
it is also clear that Trump, latest after week 2 of this adventure, KNEW it was a disaster.
That means is he is willing to sacrifice himself, his legacy, trillions of dollars, many American lives, the GOP, MAGA and Americas empire for …. something.
Will we ever know for what?
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@earn35tguy @chamath @cine_mck Copying is copying. If u just look at all the tech companies in the US. They all copy each other. I have been in tech for the last 25 years and have seen the tech evolution since the dotcom days. US tech are just as guilty.
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Tricking the US Government to protect frontier labs’ business model by using a China boogeyman is a mistake.
It is protecting the equity of 5,000 people who are investors in OAI and Ant at the sale of everyone else. This would be a terribly stupid decision.
Let the market sort this out!
The events of the past few weeks may simply mean that the frontier labs’ business model is not good and that their revenues aren’t sustainable.
That’s ok. It’s ok to have a business model that worked for some time then all of a sudden didn’t (remember Groupon)!
This still leaves a lot of value for a lot of other American companies:
- CPUs
- GPUs
- hyperscalers
- neoclouds
- rack manufacturers
- electricity and power
- skilled trades
- application layer AI
None of this value goes away. In fact, if the model layers’ costs decrease by 10-100x, competition would accelerate and I would argue that the value to everyone else will go up more than what is lost.
Let the free market sort this out vs allowing two companies whose stock is owned by less than 5,000 people decide this for America.
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@smdcapital @ekapob Retail investors are like Elon’s many b*tches. What are you gonna do if Elon moves on? He’s your only hope because you are all in TSLA. If you do that you are powerless
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$tsla on wednesday, elon needs to prove without any doubt that he is not holding back robotaxi and optimus in order for spacex to merge with tesla
how can he possibly do that?
obviously, he CANNOT COMMENT whatsoever on the topic - he will deny that they’re considering it (as is basic M&A protocol, you do not pre announce or hint at any possibility of acquiring a public company otherwise their valuation will pump up before your official bid is made)
so instead, the only possible way he can “prove” it is by giving concrete, SHORT-TERM timelines and demonstrate that there is immense momentum behind the scenes and is IMMINENT
it must be drastically different from previous calls wherein they share plans over 6-12+ months out
some examples:
-detailed robotaxi timelines, plans and fleet sizing over the next 60 days
-addressing WHY all plans previously shared had failed to materialize and why there have been zero comms
-an unveil date of optimus 3 and plans for production happening next quarter MAX and expecting SALES numbers for early 2027
IF he does not do this without any doubt, it will provide further evidence that MY thesis that i’ve held for months will be true - and will mean the stock is DEAD
why? the ceiling is capped by a spacex merger premium
think about it:
spacex will continue to sell off into october due to lockup expirations, along with the market having a 10% correction
tesla will head toward low $300’s during this timeframe as well
therefore, it’s likely that a merger won’t happen until 2027, OR it will happen when both companies are low market cap
a 20-30% premium (per RBC expectations), will put a bid price at or slightly under $400
“shareholder voters will reject it!”
no they won’t lol. because if you reject it, the stock goes to $250
elon has you all by the fucking balls, just like the comp vote, where he LIED ahead of the vote to get you excited and then DISAPPEARED after
i told you for MONTHS this was coming
i ate shit from all of you and now i will be the only tesla “bull” who was waiving the red flag in real-time trying to save as many of you from ruin as possible
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Don’t forget the decoder when Elon starts talking about roadmaps
Earn35t Guy@earn35tguy
Using the decoder, here are the highlights of Elon at today’s call x.com/cernbasher/sta… 🧵
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@mikepat711 @grant_melson @TeslaBoomerMama @JeffreyC1409 Elon has been taking loyal investors for granted, like “what are you gonna do” granted
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Tesla has mislead investors over the last year, whether intentionally or not. People who are pissy today are not pissy because they aren’t patient. They are pissy because they feel like they are being bullshitted. Normal people don’t like being bullshitted to. The “on one side” people you’re referring to are the ones who are so koolaid drunk that they will take any garbage and turn it into gold because their entire identity is tied to Tesla, and admitting they are imperfect is too painful for them.
Everyone I see complaining right now continues to read the long-term signals, build their position, and have no plans to bail. Their complaints are about Tesla’s bullshit comms and their need to improve.
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Never seen the Tesla community this divided. 🥺
On one side: people who read the signals, stay patient, and keep building.
On the other: people who feel misled, blame Elon while attacking anyone who still believes.
Genuine question: How did we get here?
We used to be the ones who held through the noise.

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@MattBellomo777 @JOBhakdi Bush was for peace in the Middle East, too
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What do you mean we’ll never know for what. He’s trying to bring peace to the entire Middle East and remove cancer, the cancer of Iran when this is over, which it will be, Iran will be decimated. There will be world peace in the Middle East. That’s what he’s doing it for he doesn’t care about his legacy. He cares about the next 20 years.
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