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This is awesome. PTJ is a legend. Beware of all of these IPO’s that are coming. Exit liquidity. Unprecedented times

You don’t need a new trading strategy. You need to stop repeating the same expensive mistakes. This used to be tedious to determine and required a ton of journaling. Now, all you need to do is download your trading dataset and use this AI prompt to figure out your strengths and weaknesses. Use this prompt with AI: “Analyze my trading dataset and do the following: • Identify the top 3–5 patterns responsible for the majority of my losses • Quantify exactly how much each one is costing me • Ensure the sample size is statistically meaningful • Identify my highest expectancy trade types based on: DTE, ticker, position size, day of week, setup, etc. For each, show: win rate average P/L total P/L sample size Then model 2 scenarios: 1. If I completely eliminate my worst-performing patterns 2. If I only trade my best-performing patterns Show how total P/L, win rate, and drawdowns would change in each scenario. Then create a clear, rules-based trading system including: what to trade what to avoid completely position sizing rules behavioral/day-of-week constraints Format everything clearly using tables and bullet points so it’s easy to make decisions from.” Most traders are sitting on years of data…but never actually use it to build an edge. You’d be surprised how useful this is.

Most traders think exiting trades early is a discipline issue. It isn’t. It’s a clarity issue. Here are 3 tools to help you avoid exiting before the real move happens: 1. Predefined exit rules (before you enter the trade) - Targets to take profits. - An invalidation level - And conditions that would justify an early exit 2. Data on your trades What gets measured gets managed. Keep a running tally of how often price goes against you before hitting your target. What’s your average drawdown before a win? Without knowing these numbers, every pullback is going to have you second-guess yourself. 3. Acceptance of discomfort Good trades often feel wrong before they work. If you need certainty before entering or keeping a trade, you’ll keep cutting winners too early. This is precisely why data is so useful. It can give you clarity where you are likely to make mistakes so you can course correct.

This is Dr. Gábor Somlyai. A Hungarian molecular biologist & cancer researcher who followed 2,600+ cancer patients over 32+ years. His message? Cancer is driven by a variable almost nobody in medicine talks about: Deuterium. Here is his framework: 🧵

Trading using flows (following the big money prints) can help you catch big trades ONLY IF you use it along with these 4 other factors. (The more of these 4 you have, the greater likelihood of a big move in your favor). 1 - Trend (chart) Are you trading WITH the trend or against it? Flows that align with a clear uptrend (higher highs, higher lows) tend to follow through. Flows against the trend? Much lower probability. 2 - Catalyst Why would this move *now*? Earnings, news, macro events, sector momentum… Flows without a catalyst often stall. Flows with a catalyst can expand fast. 3 - Theme If you notice a certain theme, such as space stocks pumping, followed by a bunch of flows into a space name, that’s a good sign. 4 - Options premiums (Implied volatility) Generally you will see IV go up when a move is likely as people are positioning for the big move. Write these down and make it part of your checklist before you follow any flows you see pop up.

The biggest mistake killing your PnL isn’t your entries… It’s what you do after you’re right. Cutting trades too early is one of the most common issues traders face. And the reason this happens is more a matter of your psychology, not intellect. You exit trades early because… You’re staring at your PnL when you should be watching key levels and market structure. You are thinking about the last trade you lost instead of looking at each trade independently. You don’t trust yourself. So how do you stop yourself from missing out on the big runners? 1 - Have a plan going into each trade and follow it. Take partial profits at 1-2R and play with profits (this helps you stay calm, knowing your trade is already profitable). 2 - Use trailing stops based on market levels or moving averages. Avoid using your PnL as a guide as it will cloud your judgement. 3 - Avoid oversizing. Arguably the biggest issue traders routinely struggle with is oversizing. A good rule of thumb is if you’re nervous in a trade, you sized too large. You should be able to sleep at night with any trade you have. If you can’t, it’s a sign to take some risk off. That said, everyone needs to develop a system that works for them. This requires doing some journaling and understanding the trades where you do the best versus the ones that hurt you the most. Over time, you learn what your edge is so that you can exploit it. Don’t let impatience get in the way of profitability. Trades are like trains, there is always another one just around the corner. (Unless you ride SEPTA in Philly, then you may be waiting awhile).

If you started trading around 2020 chances are you developed a lot of bad habits. This is especially true if you were copy-trading accounts on X. (Not too dissimilar to what’s going on right now). By the end of 2020 the market was on easy mode and you could blindly pick YOLO calls and make a killing. Subscription services geared toward copy trading ramped up big time. Everyone was posting screenshots of their insane gains. Life was good. And as soon as the Fed started QT all that changed. Accounts started blowing up left and right because they never had to learn the essentials of trading: ✅Proper position sizing. ✅Minimizing account drawdowns. ✅Understanding the macroenvironment and how liquidity affects the market. ✅Managing your emotions when things aren’t going your way. It was brutal. The smart traders realized the holes in their game and started truly learning what it took to be consistently profitable. ☑️They focused on high-quality setups. ☑️They learned about GEX, option flows, and reading charts. ☑️They put a priority on their mental health so they could remain sharp. The challenge? It’s time-consuming to do this. Over 70% of traders have a job outside of trading. Many also have families. They can’t and don’t want to spend 8 hours a day on X monitoring the news flow. This is why we created Trade Flow Lab. Not for the beginner who’s just looking for quick plays. But for the serious trader who wants… To continue to hone their own trading system. To learn new skills from other traders who have been in the game for decades. A place where market information is curated by experts 7 days a week so that they can condense their research into a few hours a day. You know there is more to life than trading. The money you make is not just to run up the score card… (okay maybe a little). But it’s really about what that extra time and money can do for you… That new car your family needs. Taking extra time for vacation and not feeling guilty about it. Helping to take care of your parents. That’s why we’re in this game. Trading should ENHANCE your life, not get in the way of it.

Don't sleep on this if you're trading $spy or $spx today. Moves can accelerate over $7350.

$NEXA 来週に決算がありますが、いい数字が期待できそうです でも重要なのはガイダンスであり、もし力強い見通しであれば、大幅な上昇が起こるように見えます🤔

The highest-level traders all handicap themselves on purpose to make themselves MORE profitable.⁣ ⁣ Here's how…⁣ ⁣ We interviewed 10 of our traders.⁣ ⁣ The most profitable ones all said the same thing, and it’s not what you’d expect:⁣ ⁣ They keep their options accounts small.⁣ ⁣ These are people with 7-figure portfolios… trading with just $25–35k.⁣ ⁣ Why?⁣ ⁣ Because they don’t need more.⁣ ⁣ That’s enough to generate returns and then move profits into common stock (if you know how to deploy it effectively).⁣ ⁣ Rolling profits into common stock allows you to be more patient, allow for drawdowns, and to let your wins ride.⁣ ⁣ This isn’t just math.⁣ ⁣ It’s psychology.⁣ ⁣ Smaller accounts force discipline.⁣ ⁣ They make drawdowns survivable.⁣ ⁣ They keep you from getting cocky and blowing up account after account.⁣ ⁣ Once you’re profitable, the game shifts.⁣ ⁣ It's less about making money…⁣ ⁣ And more about not losing it.⁣ ⁣ As we often say in TFL:⁣ ⁣ Your primary job isn’t to chase big wins.⁣ ⁣ It’s to eliminate really bad days.⁣ ⁣ Because big drawdowns don’t just hit your account...⁣ ⁣ They wreck your decision-making.⁣

Look, pro-homeschooling people are piling on this guy but he's not wrong at all. I know of families who are straight-up failing to teach their children beyond a 2nd-grade education. Like 16-year-old kids who don't know what the Capital of the US is, have never heard of Toronto, and could not perform a basic algebra problem. While it's true that there are many excellent homeschooling families whose instruction far exceeds that of any public school, the fact is that the American system of "school your kids however you want" does also yield a lot of severely stunted kids who get stuck playing "catch-up" for the rest of their lives. My wife was homeschooled, we might homeschool, I'm not averse to the practice per se, but it's a fact that there's a whole world of multi-generational homeschoolers who are not and will not rise above a 2nd or 3rd grade education level by their own volition. Should the state intervene in these cases? I dunno, the answer to the question is not as "easy" as many make it out to be. The idea of barely getting through 'Mary Had a Little Lamb' at the age of 16 should be appalling, and it IS happening in some American homeschooler families.