Bad news for bears: It’s been "only" 1,087 days since the last 20% drawdown. History says it can go much longer. After 1987, #SP500 rallied 4,494 days before the next 20% drop. Post 2009, it ran 3,999 days. So bears can either wait for their year or just buy $SPX and forget.
A guy at my club just said “we should do dinner sometime” and I replied “absolutely.”
It’s the suburban male version of “let’s keep in touch.”
We will die having never eaten a single bite together.
@lukebjax@TronCarterNLU If you were anywhere near Bryson or “major” groups it certainly bottle necked at times. Maybe the free food market took people out of the VIP areas. Plus, those are all corporate anyway and it was a Friday. Crowds look better today.
I’m worried about “pro golf-starved” Charlotte - those hospitality boxes on 14-18 were completely empty yesterday/today. Guess it was humid/hazy + it’s a weekend crowd?
The USGA is the big winner so far this week. Golf fans are going to be FROTHING for a proper major at Oakmont.
Signs of upside exhaustion in growth sectors has made the market vulnerable to pulling back in the near-term, a scenario aligned with seasonal norms. equityclock.com/2024/02/20/sto… $SPY $QQQ $VTI $OEF
I’ve never butterflied a Turkey for thanksgiving. But I saw a guy on YouTube do it and seems like it might be the move. Do I go full Spatchcock? I’m using an oven. Any advice?
Highest 5-day RSI for S&P 500 of the year and well overheated at 90+
Goldman Sachs: CTAs are sellers over the next week.
All they need is a catalyst...
$SPX $SPY $QQQ $NDX $DIA
NBER looks at 6 indicators to determine if we are in a recession or not.
Short answer is there's absolutely no recession now or in the near future.
Very strong industrial production, consumption, and wholesale/retail sales the past 3 months leading the way.
There are times when the "Magnificent 7" all trade about the same... then there are times when there is a clear differentiation between what's working and what's not. This is one of those times. $NVDA $AAPL
Our Northern Michigan Golf Trip is complete, here are the rankings:
1. Arcadia Bluffs - Bluffs Course
2. Belvedere Golf Club
3. Boyne Highlands - Arthur Hills
4. Bay Harbor Golf Club
5. Grand Traverse Resort - The Bear
6. Boyne Highlands - The Heather
7. Boyne Highlands - Donald Ross Memorial
8. Arcadia Bluffs - South Course
9. Treetops - Premier
10. Boyne Mountain - Alpine Course
11. Boyne Highlands - The Moor
12. Crooked Tree Golf Club
Rained Out: Forest Dunes Golf Club, The Loop (Black)
Technically, yields are in an uptrend, and upon breakout count as high as ~5.40%. The good news is that real yields are at levels that have consistently provided yield relief and a peak in nominal rates. Who prevails, history or trend? We tend to use both sequentially. $TLT