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Eno Sarris
224.7K posts
Eno Sarris
@enosarris
Words @TheAthleticMLB, slinger of Stuff+ @fangraphs, ERA is not predictive,🇺🇸🇯🇲🇩🇪 Rates & Barrels, FSWA HoF, AL-LABR points record, underwear model, beer
NorCal (GA/NY/FL before) Katılım Mayıs 2008
2.9K Takip Edilen93.7K Takipçiler
@hollywood26_ Yeah that’s an interesting point. You want one winner, not a carousel.
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@enosarris I'm kinda fading them all, similar to how I feel about the Red Sox options because there's just too many. I really don't want to pick the one on the brewers that gets screwed like Patrick did last year or even worse like Tobias meyers did. They're just too good at making SPs
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Might be Brandon Sproat? Might be Robert Gasser? Could be Logan Henderson still? Brewers rotation battle fascinating. If Henderson not ready imo it’s Gasser, but this (from yesterday’s podcast) doesn’t help a ton!
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@bglaeser8 Ashby went down to 22 pitches last appearance I think he’s out
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@enosarris Probably go with a 6 man to start.
Mis, Patrick, Harrison, Ashby, Sproat, Woodruff
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@JoshuaHowsam If it didn’t line up with prospect reports I might not care…
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Ooof. That location+ score for Bastardo is...not good.
Eno Sarris@enosarris
Might be Brandon Sproat? Might be Robert Gasser? Could be Logan Henderson still? Brewers rotation battle fascinating. If Henderson not ready imo it’s Gasser, but this (from yesterday’s podcast) doesn’t help a ton!
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With Henderson down I’ll guess Sproat. Wide mix, better locations.
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@enosarris Damn, I thought this said Bryce Elder at first
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@TopangaJeff @enosarris Arraez is going to have every opportunity to fail at second before that happens, plus the Giants have a first baseman
Ridge Wood Heights, FL 🇺🇸 English
@porkblds @TopangaJeff Some days I think it’ll happen. Webb was like second in league in grounders to second, you don’t want Arraez there those days
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@165Goals yeah man I really don't understand how that happened. Must've decided Fitts was in for some reason. I think you could almost just give Leahy the Fitts ranking. I like Leahy, not sure he'll be great. Average-ish K% likely imo.
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Eno Sarris retweetledi
From Fox:
World Baseball Classic championship game viewers (in USA): 10.8 million
Comparisons among U.S. viewers:
2025 World Series average: 15.5 million
2025 NBA Finals average: 10.2 million
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@gsteve27 I think Erceg has best shot there. but if I had one spec... Sewald best stuff in a very bad pen.
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@enosarris Great edition of the pod. If I may ask I’ve been listening would u still say Lucas E has a better shot of taking the closers role in KC over Robert Suarez. Have room for one spec add and I’m torn
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@Lowetide not at all for Crochet imo but Pepiot's reduced stuff worries me a little. I think I moved him down a couple ranks. Still, he's already pretty much proven he has decent floor.
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@enosarris Mr. Sarris, how worrisome are the early showings for Crochet and Pepiot this year? Thanks.
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@MichaelSalfino oh my god. of course we have to use numbers from the past what else would we use. holy shit. we're picking out the signal from those to be predictive. I'm saying that stats that are more descriptive than predictive are useless to me.
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@enosarris Again, you're describing stuff and describing results to predict the future. But you say descriptive data is useless in projections.
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These are my questions. I suspect the answer is "no" that pitch shape has little correlation to results. We never hear about that. There's a gestalt to pitching -- changing speeds, tunneling, a delivery that makes picking up the ball difficult. Movement means something, sure.
Jon Anderson@JonPgh
What’s good, what’s bad, how does that change by pitch type, by velo? Does anything reliably correlate to actual results? And it’s 3 dimensional so each dimension plays off the others.. Hitters adjust and get better against certain shapes… so everything changes all the time Is it useful enough for the average person to benefit from?
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@MichaelSalfino what. the model is trained against xwoba to find the elements that are most predictive.
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@enosarris So descriptive stuff tested by descriptive results?
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@enosarris And again, my question was: Does this fastball or sweeper or changeup shape/movement generally correlate with xwOBA or whatever actual stat you want to use to test it or not?
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