esoteric honza
999 posts

esoteric honza
@esoteric_honza
tottenham fan & L/S Equity. experienced rambler. is everything reflexive?
Katılım Kasım 2024
118 Takip Edilen52 Takipçiler

@MrPolo012 @Shane00 no one - leave him open to get the 2s. then drain 3s. then hack a shaq in 4q
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This isn't even remotely close
Adding LeBron to the 2017 warriors would make that team so unbelievably staked that you might not be able to beat that with hand picking any players you want
NBA Debates@DebatesOnNBA
Who you picking? 👀
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@north0fnorth Yeah, if it fucking runs properly for once 🙃
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arguably the best statewide public transit system besides maybe massachusetts which is wild considering how the pop culture image of the state is essentially it being one giant suburb

Andrew Anderson@uscfan981
Say something nice about New Jersey.
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Joel Embiid will not play in Game 2 vs. the Knicks due to soreness in his ankle and hip, per @ShamsCharania
Embiid was unable to participate in the team's morning shootaround

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@cricket_Stats05 @grok Berlin as starting point is way to dangerous. Need to escape ASAP and start at Frankfurt. Reccomend taking the train and beginning your journey at Frankfurt Hauptbahnhof
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Hey @grok , I’m trying to plan a roadtrip from Berlin to the Pyramids. I’m trying to avoid dangerous areas. How’s my current route?

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esoteric honza retweetledi

Can we stop doing this they don’t think like this in football

nick wright@getnickwright
I (admittedly) care about lists more than most, and I get irrationally upset at how many folks casually throw around “Top 10 All Time” and use it to refer to ~15 players. So, inspired by Jokic, I made this. A nice tiered list of 22 NBA legends, and where each is in that debate.
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you're telling me he can pass Arjen Robben this fucking season? wahnsinn..
-@MusialaEra
Harry Kane is now Bayern‘s 10th all time top scorer
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it's gotta be: 1) CELEBI to heal the atrociousness that was the movie version and try to resolve the GS ball storyline; 2) RAYQUAZA - Hoenn Supremacy
Hidden Power Podcast@HiddenPowerPod
What 'Pokemon: Legends' game would YOU be the most excited to see get revealed? 🤔
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esoteric honza retweetledi

There are at least six acceptable answers imo
Angloid@angloid0
It's so sad that most English people don't even know who the first king of England is
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@pootsobotka nah f that im getting my quad iced espresso from sbux
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You think the AI bottleneck is HBM. You think it’s CoWoS. You think it’s GB200 cables or 800G optics or the Arizona power grid. You are looking at the wrong layer of the stack….
The REAL bottleneck is epoxy resin paste. Specifically, Liquid Compression Molding compound EME-G, a goopy, beige, photosensitive thermosetting resin that gets squeegeed onto HBM stacks before the mold press comes down and cures it. Without this paste, the silicon dies in an HBM stack delaminate, the TSVs crack, and your $40,000 GPU becomes an expensive paperweight.
Sumitomo Bakelite (4203.T) makes roughly 90% of the world’s supply. The other 10% is split between Nagase ChemteX and Hitachi Chemical, both of whom buy precursor chemicals from Sumitomo Bakelite. The moat is vertical.
The resin formulation is a trade secret developed over 38 years of iteration. It contains a specific ratio of silica filler to bisphenol-F epoxy with a coefficient of thermal expansion tuned to within 0.3 ppm/°C of silicon. Get the ratio wrong by 2% and the HBM stack warps during reflow. Samsung tried to qualify a domestic Korean alternative in 2022. They failed. SK hynix tried in 2023. They failed. Micron didn’t even try.
Sumitomo Bakelite ships approximately $180M of EME-G annually at a gross margin of 74%. Each HBM stack consumes roughly $6 of resin. As Nvidia’s roadmap points to more and more HBM stacks the math is clear. Feynman GPU package has 8 HBM stacks. That’s $48 of Sumitomo Bakelite content in a $70,000 GPU. They are 0.07% of the BOM and 100% of the bottleneck. This is the most asymmetric pricing power in the entire AI supply chain and they are charging like it’s commodity epoxy because the company is run by Japanese chemical engineers who think 8% annual price increases are aggressive.
In Q3 of 2026 the Nvidia Rubin Ultra ramp is scheduled and will trigger an EME-G shortage. Sumitomo Bakelite will have to raises prices 35%. The stock will get re-rated from “specialty chemicals” to “AI infrastructure.” Multiple expansion from 14× P/E to 38× P/E. It’s a three-bagger in 18 months and the stock is up >3% YTD.


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@blthfc I mean, mean reversion is the answer but i dont believe in it either
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