Nicholas Zukin 🐑🔥🌮

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Nicholas Zukin 🐑🔥🌮

Nicholas Zukin 🐑🔥🌮

@extramsg

Traffic Rants, Mexican Food, Portland Politics, Barbacoa Research, and the Blazers -- but not necessarily in that order. Reformed hacker. Restaurant consultant.

Portland, OR Katılım Şubat 2009
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Nicholas Zukin 🐑🔥🌮
If you're interested in travel to Mexico, what I've been cooking or eating, etc, check out my Instagram. I reserve twitter for traffic rants, Blazers fandom, retweets of interesting news items, and the occasional trolling these days and little else. instagram.com/nickzukin/
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@FT_Merchant05 You can't average nearly a triple double and have the highest scoring average and it just be a matter of playing good at the end of a season. Stupid claim.
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Agent 0
Agent 0@FT_Merchant05·
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is still the MVP. Luka playing great near the end of the season should not move needles. Consistency > stretches of games
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Run It Back
Run It Back@RunItBackFDTV·
Luka Doncic hasn't outplayed SGA, Cade Cunningham or Jaylen Brown, according to Lou Williams 👀 "He hasn't had the impact and done the things that these other guys have done." Lou says the MVP race comes down to numbers 📊 @MichelleDBeadle | @ChandlerParsons | @TeamLou23
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Adam Schwarz
Adam Schwarz@AdamJSchwarz·
Reporter: Why didn't you notify Japan that you were going to attack Iran? Trump next to the Japanese PM: "Who knows better about surprise than Japan? Why didn't you tell me about Pearl Habour? You believe in surprise I think much more so than us."
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@Shield_44 @JonSnow50616798 @IVANM31 @HistoryBoomer You can always drill down, but we were looking at broad statistics. Obviously a gang member or police officer or woman living with an abusive husband will have higher risk. But that doesn't help when looking at a city or state and making a judgment about relative risk.
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Henry
Henry@Shield_44·
@extramsg @JonSnow50616798 @IVANM31 @HistoryBoomer Well that's certainly a fair example of where per capita would give better comparison. Notion of density probably not too useful in loosely populated areas due to variance. Also still doesn't contend with fact that aggregate rate doesn't tell us an individuals or subgroups risk.
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Carl
Carl@HistoryBoomer·
For the statistically illiterate. A million people in a state with 50 murders every year, your murder rate is 50 per million. Add a million immigrants who do 1 murder a year, total murders goes up to 51, but that's among TWO million people. Your rate is 25.5 per million. The number of murders goes up, but each person in the city is actually safer. More murders does not automatically mean more danger. Population size matters. If we kidnapped the entire population of Japan and brought them to America, our number of murders would go up (Japanese people commit about 250 murders a year), but we'd become a much safer country (the Japanese murder RATE is far lower). Oilfield Rando's argument (more murders automatically means more danger) is bad math.
Oilfield Rando@Oilfield_Rando

David’s argument is that bringing foreigners here (some of whom commit crimes) will make it less likely for American criminals to commit crimes. Foreigners can only supplement US crime. Not reduce it. David is a shameless, despicable ideological prostitute.

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@Shield_44 @JonSnow50616798 @IVANM31 @HistoryBoomer It's pretty easy to show that per capital is better. eg, there are counties in Texas that are 1000 square miles with a population under 500 people. If a narco war broke out in that county and killed 100 people, under your metric, you would have to say that NYC is more dangerous.
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Henry
Henry@Shield_44·
@extramsg @JonSnow50616798 @IVANM31 @HistoryBoomer No it does not. Probability of victimization depends on a wide range of factors and is not i.i.d. Most murder is also not random. Jon's idea of crime density is a much better proxy for relative safety. Exposure is not a '1' per person as your crude per capita rate implies.
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Nicholas Zukin 🐑🔥🌮 retweetledi
Jessica Riedl 🧀 🇺🇦
Jessica Riedl 🧀 🇺🇦@JessicaBRiedl·
No, America's wealthy pay similar effective tax rates to Europe - and even 100% tax rates would not fix the budget. The current debt was heavily influenced by the Great Recession & Pandemic (and the federal response) and persistent, structural spending in excess of revenues.🧵
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Nicholas Zukin 🐑🔥🌮
@HistoryBoomer @unherd @sarahditum Those of us in the PNW have known how awful she could be for a long time. She always exhibited the worst characteristics of what later was called "woke". I don't mean her progressivism, but her embrace of left wing Inquisitions and demagoguery in the name of the cause.
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Carl@HistoryBoomer·
Cathy's right, this @unherd piece from @sarahditum is excellent. She traces how Willing to Cross Boundaries Lindy became Obey Dogma Lindy (great links to 2009 The Stranger and 2013 Jezebel articles that shed light on a decade+ of crazy). Fitting in with the tribe has always been the game.
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Cathy Young 🇺🇸🇺🇦🇮🇱@CathyYoung63

Unlike @sarahditum, I am not a big fan of Lindy West's output circa 2009. But this is a very good piece on her new persona. unherd.com/2026/03/how-li…

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Senator Rand Paul
Senator Rand Paul@SenRandPaul·
"So, today, Markwayne Mullin, I’ll give you a chance. Tell it to my face. Tell the world why you believe I deserved to be assaulted from behind, have six ribs broken, and a damaged lung. Tell me to my face why you think I deserved it."
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Sam Stein
Sam Stein@samstein·
On the Strait of Hormuz we've gone from: 1. Don't need help 2. We need help 3. Why aren't folks helping? 4. Helps on the way 5. Not telling you who is helping 6. Helps not actually on the way but we don't need it anyway 7. We may just abandon it and leave it to everyone else
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Variety
Variety@Variety·
Josh D'Amaro, in His First Day as Disney CEO, Tells Employees 'Creative Excellence Will Remain Our North Star' variety.com/2026/tv/news/j…
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Will Manidis
Will Manidis@WillManidis·
we live in age of great moral panics about things that don’t matter at all and zero moral outrage over some of the most egregious societal sins we’ve ever seen
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Boze the Library Owl 😴🧙‍♀️
Growing up in the ‘90s, you could get a cultural education from watching classic films and brilliant kids’ TV. Today those have been replaced by illiterate livestreamers & conspiracy-addled tiktoks. They haven’t seen Casablanca; they haven’t heard of King Arthur. It’s bleak.
Valerie❤️‍🔥❤️‍🔥@Valistryingg

Genuine question, what do kids and tweens watch these days? What’s their High School Musical, Hannah Montana, Cheetah Girls, Wizards of Waverley Place, Camp Rock, Sonny with a Chance, That’s so Raven, Lizzie McGuire,Suite Life,etc? We had so much, and they seemingly have nothing?

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Land of Lowlights
Land of Lowlights@LoLowlights·
Jalen Green decide to celebrate St. Patrick's day by shooting today's date 😭 9 Points 3-17 FG ☘️
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Jon Snow
Jon Snow@JonSnow50616798·
@IVANM31 @extramsg @HistoryBoomer Is the entire city "my relevant area", or is it the places I'm actually at most of the time? Why is the relevant stat not "crime per square mile"?
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Animal Gourmet
Animal Gourmet@animalgourmet·
Los cabuches son las flores de biznaga comestibles y una joya culinaria de Cuaresma 🌺 Aprende a cocinarlos: buff.ly/CV97u2M
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@JonSnow50616798 @HistoryBoomer You're doing a shit job of it. What you're talking about aren't "total crime". They're relative increases in crime and concentrated crime that results in high per capita crime in certain areas and so on. If that's your argument, say that. The "total crime" argument is BS.
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Jon Snow
Jon Snow@JonSnow50616798·
@extramsg @HistoryBoomer No, I'm explaining why people care more about total crime than per capita crime. Crime isn't doled out equally. If I live in the ghetto, I'm not happy that break-ins triple just because we more-than-tripled the population. Those break-ins aren't going to be in rich areas.
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@JonSnow50616798 @HistoryBoomer You're changing your argument not defending your previous one. It's called moving the goal posts. If you want to argue in good faith and be taken as credible, admit your previous argument was dumb and then express these concerns.
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Jon Snow
Jon Snow@JonSnow50616798·
@extramsg @HistoryBoomer If I'm a subway rider, I'm not going to like a 3x increase in subway stabbings just because we got 3.1x people in the city. If I have a nice car, I'm not going to like a 3x increase in auto theft just because we got 3.1x people in the city. Crime is not doled out equally.
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Jon Snow
Jon Snow@JonSnow50616798·
@HistoryBoomer Bad way of looking at it, because total crime is a more important stat than per capita crime.
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