schwinger

191 posts

schwinger

schwinger

@fablelevel

schwinning

schwitzerland Katılım Haziran 2026
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schwinger
schwinger@fablelevel·
"Fable-level" is officially the new AI model grift I propose "Fable's Law": "For any LLM, there exists at least one benchmark on which that model is as good as or better than Claude Fable 5." Expect to see every new "flagship" model released with that label going forward.
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Peter Gostev
Peter Gostev@petergostev·
I'm still confused why OpenAI or Anthropic don't have $500, $1000, $2000 plans. Don't they want the money?
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schwinger
schwinger@fablelevel·
@mattshumer_ So Opus can get the motion blur, graphics, physics, gameplay mechanics, and practically everything else right... but it can't generate an arm and a hand?
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Matt Shumer
Matt Shumer@mattshumer_·
Claude Opus 5 one-shotted this game. EVERYTHING you see in this demo is custom code... not a single external asset was used. AI games are going to be amazing. (sound on)
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Alex
Alex@Alex_FF·
@fablelevel I mean regardless they all still look like AI slop
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Alex
Alex@Alex_FF·
I have yet to see an AI demo that truly blows me away. It still feels like we’re in the “worst it will ever be” era. I wonder when this will change?
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schwinger
schwinger@fablelevel·
@Alex_FF idk, some of these fps games from opus look insane
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schwinger
schwinger@fablelevel·
@hsu_steve It's the same argument every time, for every occupation. "AI will enhance [JOB], not replace it." Until AI replaces it. 2–5 years. 10 years max.
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steve hsu
steve hsu@hsu_steve·
Inevitable reply is But for how long? 🤔 "we should view AI not as replacing mathematicians, but as empowering them to do their science far better and faster than ever" Centaur stage in Chess didn't last very long. Very rapidly the human partner was a big liability if he ever overruled the AI engine.
Tony Feng@tonylfeng

@thomasfbloom's takes on AI results in combinatorics are always refreshingly balanced and insightful. Being distant from combinatorics myself, I rely on his writing to inform me about what’s going on there. The story I am seeing is remarkable, and in some ways alarming. Amid much noise (as usual), there seem to be several genuinely strong autonomous results, even by the standards of top experts. In my estimation, two results in particular (Unit Distance and Double Cycle) would alone have been enough to earn a tenured professorship, at least before 2026. I know many mathematicians are pointing to the fact that even these impressive AI solutions are short, elementary, almost in the literature already, and concentrated in combinatorics. I am confident that you will soon see impactful examples (autonomously generated Inventiones level papers, by pre-2026 standards) that do not fit any of these characterizations. 2026 is a new world, where it means little how long questions have been open, or who tried and failed to solve them before. It’s undeniable that AI is exposing a striking jaggedness in human understanding of mathematics. That said, I think it’s still the case that the best mathematics being done today is done by humans, with minimal (if any) input from AI. I think this may soon change, but even after that I’m optimistic that humans will be able to add significant value to what AI can do. I think there’s a strong case to be made that we should view AI not as replacing mathematicians, but as empowering them to do their science far better and faster than ever, and that we should support them all the more for it. At the same time, mathematicians need to adapt fast to make this case.

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schwinger
schwinger@fablelevel·
@AndrewCurran_ Anthropic and OpenAI should merge. Imagine how insane that would be.
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Andrew Curran
Andrew Curran@AndrewCurran_·
I think Fable 5.1 is ready, but Anthropic are saving it for OpenAI's next release. They will keep crossing swords like this from here on out. Soon it will make a lot more sense why Opus 5 was so performant, and why the Fable-class was preemptively moved to credits for most users.
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schwinger
schwinger@fablelevel·
@Polymarket Lecture 1: How to shill for foreign interest groups. Lecture 2: Advanced conspiracy theorizing.
schwinger tweet media
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
NEW: Arizona State University will offer “advanced podcasting” courses as part of its new Content Creation major.
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schwinger
schwinger@fablelevel·
@karpathy @lakshyaag These people are nuts. Remove your bio entirely and they'll think you're dead 🤣
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lakshya
lakshya@lakshyaag·
@karpathy did you quit Anthropic? 😮
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schwinger
schwinger@fablelevel·
@mattshumer_ So unnecessary. All you need for GPT-6 is "do a Call of Duty"
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Beff (e/acc)
Beff (e/acc)@beffjezos·
Mira Murati wrapping up her speech at the FAI event: "The fate of civilization cannot depend on a few thousand people"
Beff (e/acc) tweet media
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schwinger
schwinger@fablelevel·
@elonmusk @brivael If your goal is to extend and preserve consciousness across the universe, couldn't we just make a conscious AI and shoot it into space? Consciousness isn't the thing to defend here. It's humanity.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
Peter is not correct about me in this case. I have always known that dangers from Earth will also pose dangers to Mars. Obviously so. However, the immense difficulty of traveling to Mars means that there is a much higher likelihood of mitigating risks originating from Earth. A clear example of major risk reduction would be a deadly pandemic. Since it takes 6 months to reach Mars, there is an automatic 6 month quarantine! Even traveling at the speed of light, a deadly computer virus or AI attack can potentially be stopped due to Mars being ~4 to ~20 light-minutes from Earth. This doesn’t mean that a Mars civilization eliminates all risk, but it absolutely greatly reduces the risk of consciousness being extinguished. Moreover, Mars is a stepping stone to extending consciousness broadly within our solar system and ultimately to millions of stars within our galaxy, which would extend the probable lifespan of consciousness as we know it by many orders of magnitude. That said, what I personally find most motivating is not the risk reduction aspect of extending life beyond Earth, but rather the inspiring nature of exploration and being out there among the stars! Perhaps we will meet aliens or find the remains of long-dead civilizations that lasted millions of years …
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Brivael Le Pogam
Brivael Le Pogam@brivael·
Peter Thiel a raconté un moment assez fou. En 2024, Elon a compris quelque chose de simple et brutal : même s’il réussissait à mettre des humains sur Mars, le socialisme et le woke mind virus le suivraient jusque-là. Mars n’est plus seulement un projet technique. C’est devenu un projet politique. Et tant que le logiciel de civilisation est cassé sur Terre, la main quest reste locked. Du coup il a basculé. Il traite maintenant le problème à la racine. Voici à peu près l’arbre de quêtes actuel. Main quest : Humanity on Mars (locked) Side quests actives : - Expose the woke mind virus - Break legacy media - Restore free speech - Defeat censorship - End globalist narratives - Protect children from indoctrination - Rebuild healthy relationships - Restore truth - Dismantle bureaucracy - Free Europe from centralized control - Reward builders and innovators - Rebuild institutional confidence - etc. C’est long. C’est sale. Mais c’est le seul chemin. Parce que les mauvaises idées ne restent jamais sur Terre. Elles te suivent partout. Elon a décidé de les affronter ici. Et il ne lâchera pas.
Brivael Le Pogam tweet media
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schwinger
schwinger@fablelevel·
So... is Opus 5 Fable-level?
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schwinger
schwinger@fablelevel·
@gdb Cool, but why is Polymarket reporting this?
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andrew chen
andrew chen@andrewchen·
Holy wars 1980s: Emacs vs vi 2005: Rails vs LAMP 2010: iOS vs Android ... 2026: Codex vs Claude!
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schwinger
schwinger@fablelevel·
@mattshumer_ Unfortunate but somewhat expected. They gave us Opus 5, not Fable 5.1. Fable is supposed to be a tier above Opus, in both cost and performance.
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Matt Shumer
Matt Shumer@mattshumer_·
Claude Opus 5 really disappointed me with this result. I had it attempt to create the same type of educational 3D video I had Fable 5 create (see the quoted post) and the result is definitely a caliber below. Watch both, you'll see what I mean.
Matt Shumer@mattshumer_

Claude Fable made this Pixar-quality educational video in one shot. It's a preview of what I'm doing next: I've joined Alpha School to push the limits of what AI can do for learning. We're going to transform education for 1B kids.

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