Flynn Maxwell

If you enjoyed reading this essay, please hit me up with L/RT button! With 50+ reactions on this post, I'll drop another SLEEPER! LIKE/RT =TAIL! #1 PLAY of the DAY! 1u K.Durant R+A o10.5 [DraftKings, MGM best odds] 1.86 -Let's start today's journey with one, I'd say, pretty underrated PROP, which has great value! -Without Booker playing, KD's touches with the ball, and overall his USGR are up to the roof - to be more precisive, in the L2 games, Durant is averaging above 41% of the USGR, and today he will play against one of the WORST, if not the WORST, defense when it comes to AST. Allowances per game -Denver is allowing the #1 MOST assists to the opposing teams & they're letting the #15 MOST rebounds to the opposing teams - these numbers might bump a little bit because this game will be their 2nd leg of the B2B, so I expect to see a lot of clumsiness at the defensive end of the floor. At the same time, they might struggle a little bit with their shooting % knowing that players usually don't perform that well in the 2nd leg of the B2B games, especially not when their main players played over 40 minutes. -Durant's playing time is UP to the roof as well, and if we exclude that game against the Spurs where he got injured, he played 35+ minutes in 5/L5 games, and he managed to exceed this line in 5/L5 games - averaging RA points in that span, also, in that span, he is averaging 19 pAST & rebounding chances per game -Sometimes, Denver knows to throw a double-teaming on the opposing best players, which might happen with KD tonight, especially when AG is OUT of the game, which might increase our chances for the AST. a lot! -With Booker being out, Durant managed to exceed this line in 10/L14 games last season, averaging 12RA points per game -This season, KD managed to exceed this line in 8/L11 games he played @ HOME games WITH 30+ minutes on the floor, in that span he averaged 11.5 RA points per game, while he had 10/L11 games WITH 10+ RA points per game -When it comes to rebounding segment, I expect KD to guard Gordon, which means that he will ALWAYS be in a PERFECT spot for hunting the boards - he will either be in a roaming position when Gordon is outside the 3-point arc, so he can attack the glass and hunt for the boards without any contest, or he will be below the rim, where usually Gordon is operating at the offensive end of the floor -Last season, he played against the Nuggets 3 times, and he managed to exceed this line in all three games where he recorded - 15,13, and 16 RA points - in those games, he averaged 23,66 pAST & REB. chances. Also, in two of those three games, Booker WAS OUT! -He managed to exceed this line in 9/L10 games against the Nuggets in the Suns jersey, averaging 14.3 RA points in that span, the only under came when he recorded 10 (5-5) RA points -If we look at the HIGH-USGR players against the Nuggets this season, we can see that they were surpassing their RA lines by a wide margin: Murray 23 & CJ 15 & Muprhy 11 & Jones 12, Simons 11 & Sharpe 10 & Grant 9, Fox 12 & Monk 16, Poole 13 & Coulibaly 11...