Fred Azevedo

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Fred Azevedo

Fred Azevedo

@fredazevedo85

oldschool raw gambler 🇧🇷 https://t.co/Wn3VTtpjGw (PT/BR)

Europe Katılım Haziran 2021
209 Takip Edilen8.5K Takipçiler
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Fred Azevedo
Fred Azevedo@fredazevedo85·
DUEL 100% RTP CASTLE ROULETTE AUDITED 👉 data sets available for download Back in December I started recording every single Castle Roulette spin into my own database. Originally just to power the live stats page on rawcrew. Polled every 8 seconds, kept it running. Five months later I looked up and I had 318,981 rounds sitting there. At some point I realized this was not just a stats feed. It was an audit waiting to happen. I told Duel what I was doing. @Dollartree_1 sent me 400,000 rounds straight from their backend. Raw, no filter, no cherry pick. I crossed both datasets. Same game, same period, two completely separate sources. What I found: Out of 318,458 comparable rounds, 318,414 matched perfectly. That is a 99.99% match rate between two independent sources. Every bet type sits at or very near the expected 100% RTP. 2x at 100.17% on my side, 100.12% on theirs. 4x at 100.04% on both. 8x at 100.04% on both. 16x at 99.29% / 99.40%. 24x at 99.49% / 99.57%. 48x at 98.46% / 98.99%. Now if you saw those last three lines and thought "hold on, those are below 100%, something is off," that is a fair reaction. I want to address it directly because it is the first thing a careful reader notices. Here is why those numbers look like that. Castle Roulette has 48 positions on the wheel. The 48x multiplier sits on exactly 1 of those 48. So in 318,000 rounds it is only expected to hit around 6,600 times. The 24x sits on 2 slots, the 16x on 3. Rare events on a small sample swing more, that is just how variance works. The lower the hit rate, the wider the natural spread around 100%, even when nothing is wrong with the game. If the sample was 10 million rounds those numbers would tighten right back to 100%. With a few hundred thousand they wobble a bit. That wobble is expected, not suspicious. The statistical tests confirm it. Chi-squared goodness of fit at 2.63, well below the 11.07 threshold. P-value of 0.76. A perfectly fair game would produce this much variation or more 76% of the time. It passes easily. Runs test for randomness: 200,722 runs, inside the expected band. Passes. Repeat analysis across all six multipliers came back inside expected bounds. No clustering, no manipulation. The wheel mechanic itself is textbook provably fair. Server seed committed before the round, drand beacon as external randomness neither side controls, HMAC-SHA256 to combine them. Anyone can replay any round and verify it. 0% house edge confirmed. Now the part that matters most. I am not a research firm. I am one guy pulling data and doing my best to read it honestly using lots of AI. I could have made mistakes. That is exactly why I am sharing both raw datasets, mine and Duel's. Link in the comments. Download them, open them up, run your own numbers. If I got something wrong I want to know. Thanks to Duel for sharing their official data. That kind of transparency is what made this even possible.
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seb
seb@sebviceversa·
Duel launched Rock Paper Scissors - no house edge, just live 1v1 PvP. The whole point: 100% RTP. Nobody makes money on the round itself - it's just a fair 1:1 online matchup. You create a game, set your bet size and accepted currencies, or join an existing one. How the PF works: both players' picks get hashed (SHA256 + a client key) and locked in before either side reveals. After the round, both keys and picks are published - anyone can recompute the hashes and verify neither side changed their pick mid-game. True 1v1, no house in between. Maybe we can do RPS tournaments for now - no more giveaways, just double or lose your prize.
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antislave.com 🇺🇸
antislave.com 🇺🇸@antislave1·
Kick streamer vitaly with 4600 Viewers. Never seen a faster chat in my life. UNREAL
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seb
seb@sebviceversa·
We've tested withdrawal speeds on 28 different crypto casino operators, here are the results and withdrawal times: Whaleio - 5s Acebet - 6s Roobet - 9s Stake - 13s Yeet - 13s Metawin - 22s Goated - 26s Solcasino - 27s Shuffle - 29s Rollbit - 30s Duel - 41s Winna - 44s Wagercom - 50s Thrill - 56s Dicey - 1m 4s Cloudbet - 1m 10s Qzino - 1m 12s Toshibet - 1m 33s Gamba - 1m 49s Spartans - 2m 8s Shock - 2m 13s BC Game - 2m 18s Betfury - 3m 15s Razed - 8m 16s Gamdom - 12m 36s Coincasino - 15m 2s Rainbet - 30m 25s 500 Casino - 1h 47m 33s (stuck on-chain, low gas fee set by operator) Each test: new account, $1,000 USDT (ERC20) deposit, wagered the required AML, then withdrawn. Times may vary due to operator gas settings and network congestion. Note: no big wins or flagged activity - these reflect standard withdrawals only. Larger or flagged withdrawals may be processed differently.
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Fred Azevedo
Fred Azevedo@fredazevedo85·
Snatch doesn’t fully understand general casino affiliate terminology, which is fair because most streamers don’t. The key issue here is negative carryover, and the fact it was seemingly applied to a streamer deal. 1. Negative carryover If players beat the casino in April and generate negative NGR, that negative balance rolls into May. Before the affiliate earns again, future profits first recover the previous losses. This is standard for traditional affiliates running websites, SEO, paid traffic, comparison portals, and long term acquisition funnels. In those cases, affiliates are performance marketers. They send traffic and are paid according to how profitable that traffic is over time. 2. Why this creates drama in streamer deals Streamer deals usually work differently. A streamer is live every day, creates content, promotes the brand continuously, entertains the audience, and puts their reputation behind the casino whether players win or lose. Because of that, streamer agreements often include fixed fees, raw deals, or hybrid structures that account for constant exposure and content production. That is why the controversy here isn’t negative carryover itself. The controversy is applying a traditional affiliate mechanic to a streamer compensation structure. Personally, I don’t know many established streamers who would knowingly accept a deal where player variance can effectively reduce or offset their compensation. And if this was part of the deal, it should have been crystal clear from day one.
Snatch@TheSnatch7

Here we go — another drama unfolding. Today’s story involves @Drunk_ , the Head of Marketing at Winna. From the first day I met him in person until now, I’ve come to the conclusion that he’s nothing more than a skilled actor and manipulator. This is the guy Winna hired with zero actual marketing or management experience. When he first offered me this deal, on top of the weekly payments, leaderboard split and a lot more promises that were never fulfilled, he also offered me a revshare percentage deal. I’ll be honest, I wasn’t entirely familiar with the term, so I asked him for clarification. He explained that I would receive a percentage of the total losses from my players at the end of every month. That was the ONLY explanation he gave me, and of course, I accepted. Now tell me why, after just two months of this partnership, he suddenly decides to terminate it and claims that I owe THEM the revshare percentage because my players got lucky, beat the house edge, and actually profited on a casino. (see picture) When I pointed out that this was never explained or agreed upon in our deal, he doubled down and insisted that this is a “very standard and basic” arrangement between casinos and streamers, and that “everyone knows about this already.” (see picture) Funny thing is and what made it really suspicious is that as soon as I threatened to go public, he immediately chickened out and said he would pay whatever is needed. My guess is he probably tried to scam me and pocket the money himself without Winna knowing. This guy can't be trusted. Overall, it was a horrible experience with him. I was getting paid $8,750 a week by Winna while depositing $5-10k every single day. I was literally getting verbally abused by this guy in my chat for cashing out more than I get paid in a week — well no fucking shit, I deposit way more than I’m supposed to. The constant whining whenever I was winning, threats to drop me if I didn’t purposely lose money on stream, nonstop complaining about my players getting lucky and always putting the blame on me, leaderboard delays, and him never being active when needed — it was all extremely exhausting. I won’t lie, personally I’ve never really had any major issues with the site itself. I’m sure Winna can do better by hiring more capable people with actual marketing skills. This guy clearly doesn’t know what he’s doing. @Winna, you can do better.

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Fred Azevedo
Fred Azevedo@fredazevedo85·
there are actual deals with carryover, so it is not entirely impossible to "owe" the casino money, but even in carryover deals you will have the money discounted from revshare alone and not from your fixed fee carryover is when you carry over the results from one month to another, but again... this would be applied mostly to traditional sources, not a streamer deal
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Snatch
Snatch@TheSnatch7·
Here we go — another drama unfolding. Today’s story involves @Drunk_ , the Head of Marketing at Winna. From the first day I met him in person until now, I’ve come to the conclusion that he’s nothing more than a skilled actor and manipulator. This is the guy Winna hired with zero actual marketing or management experience. When he first offered me this deal, on top of the weekly payments, leaderboard split and a lot more promises that were never fulfilled, he also offered me a revshare percentage deal. I’ll be honest, I wasn’t entirely familiar with the term, so I asked him for clarification. He explained that I would receive a percentage of the total losses from my players at the end of every month. That was the ONLY explanation he gave me, and of course, I accepted. Now tell me why, after just two months of this partnership, he suddenly decides to terminate it and claims that I owe THEM the revshare percentage because my players got lucky, beat the house edge, and actually profited on a casino. (see picture) When I pointed out that this was never explained or agreed upon in our deal, he doubled down and insisted that this is a “very standard and basic” arrangement between casinos and streamers, and that “everyone knows about this already.” (see picture) Funny thing is and what made it really suspicious is that as soon as I threatened to go public, he immediately chickened out and said he would pay whatever is needed. My guess is he probably tried to scam me and pocket the money himself without Winna knowing. This guy can't be trusted. Overall, it was a horrible experience with him. I was getting paid $8,750 a week by Winna while depositing $5-10k every single day. I was literally getting verbally abused by this guy in my chat for cashing out more than I get paid in a week — well no fucking shit, I deposit way more than I’m supposed to. The constant whining whenever I was winning, threats to drop me if I didn’t purposely lose money on stream, nonstop complaining about my players getting lucky and always putting the blame on me, leaderboard delays, and him never being active when needed — it was all extremely exhausting. I won’t lie, personally I’ve never really had any major issues with the site itself. I’m sure Winna can do better by hiring more capable people with actual marketing skills. This guy clearly doesn’t know what he’s doing. @Winna, you can do better.
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Fred Azevedo
Fred Azevedo@fredazevedo85·
@Dollartree_1 brazilian streamers have live roulette emulators man shit is crazy out there
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Dollartree
Dollartree@Dollartree_1·
I'm not saying that those $700 > $200k limbo videos aren't real.. but theres a good chance (most of them) aren't real An indian in the Duel Discord showed us a fake stake site where he had a fake balance, and it was guaranteed that every 8-9th limbo bet was a 100x They stream these fake sites in discord vcs and act like they just won huge.. but then end up needing $100 for fees/swaps or some other retarded reason I mean.. this scam is easily avoidable simply by not sending money to random people in a vc, but I still thought this was pretty interesting
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Fred Azevedo
Fred Azevedo@fredazevedo85·
@BumfuzOnKick @menacedotcom so the guys deleted their website, not to come back ever again, and they will pay everyone - but no one can actually check what they are owed?
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Bumfuz
Bumfuz@BumfuzOnKick·
What I'd like to know is if @menacedotcom Is gonna pay out all of the rewards, and most importantly the Leaderboards players risked their money to play on?... I might be mistaken but I never seen a post Stating that rewards/LB's would be honored for the players. I see the website is deleted, so.....
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BetBolt.com
BetBolt.com@betbolt·
POV: You’re screensharing slots to the homies and wanted drops a max win
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Dr. W
Dr. W@DrWgamba·
Interesting article by Ivar. But there is something very important here that people should not ignore. Ivar publicly works with Betbolt. So if we are going to talk about account brokerage, VIPs playing on accounts that are not theirs, KYC integrity, referral abuse, leaderboard integrity, responsible gambling and rigged or unverifiable Originals, then the same standard must apply to Betbolt too. Not only to Gamdom. Not only to Roobet. Also to the casino Ivar works with. Let me be very clear: Betbolt scammed me for more than €130,000 in Originals. I lost over €130,000 in one or two days playing their Originals, while the system was not properly verifiable, the provably fair mechanism could not be checked correctly, and the provider behind the games could not be verified from the player side. That is not “provably fair.” That is not transparency. That is a rigged and unverifiable system. And it gets worse. At the time, Betbolt was effectively blocking or restricting me from playing anything else. They were pushing me into their Originals, where the games were not properly auditable and where I could not independently verify the fairness of the results. The provably fair system did not allow proper verification. In my opinion, based on the evidence I have, Betbolt scammed me. (My devs recorded everything how was impossible to check the PF) Now let’s talk about mantra11. Or whoever you already know you are. I have evidence too. Blockchain deposits. Photos. Tweets from mantra11 himself. And enough material to show this was not just some random rumor. The issue is simple: mantra11 played through accounts that were not registered in his own name. This happened at Betbolt, and I am also aware of similar behavior involving Duel, but Duel is not the focus of this post. The focus here is Betbolt. Because Ivar works with Betbolt. At Betbolt, this account situation affected or bypassed normal systems around referrals, leaderboards and VIP activity. Rules that apply to regular players were apparently not applied in the same way to certain high rollers. So the questions for Ivar are very simple: Can you publicly confirm or deny whether Betbolt allowed mantra11, or any other high roller, to play through accounts that were not theirs? Can you confirm whether referral payments were avoided because of this? Can you confirm why Betbolt Originals were not properly verifiable when I lost more than €130,000? Can you confirm whether the provider involved was Techity? Because if this kind of behavior is unacceptable when Gamdom is accused of it, then it is also unacceptable when it happens at Betbolt. This is not about defending Gamdom. This is not about attacking Duel. This is about Betbolt. And it is about consistency. If you want to expose the industry, expose all of it. Not only the casinos you are not working with. @Romer
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Fred Azevedo
Fred Azevedo@fredazevedo85·
Yes, that's what I am trying to wrap my head around... antifraud. You can't really put in a contract that lower turnaround is fraudulent activity for example A player may wager 1x only and still be legit The real difficulty I see is how to create antifraud terms that are reasonable
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Martin
Martin@GmblrMartin·
Its a balancing act to create win-win for both side. Definitely there will be both streamers and casinos who dont see the value and like to continue operating the old way, which is fine. We have a clear target audience the tool is definitely for everyone. Really appreciate the support!
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fam
fam@famcryptospace·
The fake streamer problem in iGaming is real. Inflated follower counts. Purchased views. Engagement that looks good on a slide and does nothing for your conversion. Verifluence fixes it. Verified streamers only. Real engagement numbers. You define the KPIs. Funds locked on chain and released on delivery. Welcome to fam, @GmblrMartin @verifluence @krombet_ig
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Fred Azevedo
Fred Azevedo@fredazevedo85·
I am actively following. I just built a full management system for Basher, escrow could come next. On the payment side, you may create a marketplace too beneficial for the casino, and it can fail because streamers won’t see upside. Also, there is a chance casino abuse the system. Will be cheering for you guys!
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Martin
Martin@GmblrMartin·
Genuinely good questions and the kind we want people asking. On verification: we check real viewer patterns, engagement data and audience authenticity. It is not perfect and we have never claimed it is. What it does is raise the bar significantly above where the industry is today, which is effectively zero verification. On deposit washing: we have direct integrations with operators and track deposit data as part of the campaign. If shady patterns are not caught on the first stream, they will surface. And because escrow releases per stream rather than paying the full amount upfront, the exposure is always limited. A streamer does not receive everything before delivering anything. The risk is contained at every step. On the escrow challenge you raised: you are right that if the terms are met the funds release. That is the point. The terms are agreed upfront by both sides. If an operator wants specific conditions around deposit activity or exclusions, they write that into the contract before the campaign starts. The escrow enforces what was agreed, nothing more and nothing less. On the exposure risk: a streamer who meets the agreed terms gets paid. If an operator refuses to agree fair terms they will not find verified streamers willing to sign. The marketplace creates accountability on both sides. No system eliminates all risk. What we are doing is replacing handshakes and Telegram DMs with contracts and on-chain escrow. That is a meaningful step forward.
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shaN
shaN@shaN_dooo·
we should be able to tip customer support on casinos
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Ivar Navarro
Ivar Navarro@navarro_ivar·
With Spartans currently under fire over a number of serious allegations, it’s worth reminding everyone that the @Roobet $360K scandal is still actively being swept under the rug. It’ll be interesting to watch so many streamers pile onto the Spartans hate train, not that it’s undeserved, while a lot of those same people stayed completely quiet when an industry giant froze a VIP account holding over $360,000 for no reason. It’s been more than two weeks now. No proper explanation, no transparency, and no convincing justification. @robertgambaskr, two months ago you had no issue calling out @rollbit for shady behavior. So as a Roobet ambassador and someone who claims to stand against this kind of conduct, have you approached @AllenAeroh privately to understand what’s actually going on here, the same way you DM’d @Razer_Rollbit? Were you shown concrete evidence supporting the allegations Roobet made against the victim, or did you simply take Roobet’s word for it because they’re Roobet?
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Fred Azevedo
Fred Azevedo@fredazevedo85·
Had to republish... accidentally, the content inside the article was duplicated... yet, the problem remains, public wallets may become a problem, but who knows
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Yogi
Yogi@YogiGambles·
PSA: I strongly suspect the $200,000 balance is part of a sponsored arrangement with Shuffle. In my opinion, a lot of gambling content tied to @shufflecom relies heavily on manufactured hype and promo bankrolls that viewers don’t always get transparency on. Real numbers soon.
TheGoobr@TheGoobr

yea right. $200K on the line. Pragmatic added a "cashout feature" and I sit there hesitating to take the cashouts and I DON'T LIKE A DUMBASS!!! FUCK THIS SHIT

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DaptRewards
DaptRewards@dapt_official·
Gm family. Time to hopefully make keno my bitch
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