Gabriel Ehrlich
61 posts


The Department of Epidemiology is thrilled to introduce our newest Faculty member, @meredithpedde, Assistant Research Scientist. Her areas of expertise include: air quality, brain disorders, child health, environmental health and justice. Join us in welcoming Dr. Pedde! #GoBlue

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Machine learning enables hedonic price indices at scale, from Michael Cafarella, @gabriel_ehrlich, Tian Gao, @JHaltiwanger_UM, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Laura Zhao nber.org/papers/w31315

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The need for quality adjustment for price indices is pervasive, from @gabriel_ehrlich, @JHaltiwanger_UM, @jarmin_ron, @djatumich, Ed Olivares, Luke W. Pardue, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Laura Zhao nber.org/papers/w31309

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A U-M study found that replacing the nation’s oldest school buses could lead to 1.3 million fewer absences per year by reducing exposure to diesel exhaust fumes, which can exacerbate respiratory illnesses and other conditions. More from @UMichiganNews: myumi.ch/byNV9
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@CGerleinSafdi @SloanFoundation Congratulations to Ben!
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Very proud of Ben Safdi for receiving the @SloanFoundation Research Fellowship this year!! 🍾🍾🍾
Sloan Foundation@SloanFoundation
We are delighted to announce the winners of this year’s Sloan Research Fellowship! These outstanding researchers are shining examples of innovation and impact—and we are thrilled to support them. Meet the winners here: sloan.org/fellowships/20… 🎉 #SloanFellow #STEM #ScienceTwitter
Berkeley, CA 🇺🇸 English
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Forthcoming article by @BachmannRudi @gabriel_ehrlich Ying Fan, Dimitrije Ruzic and Benjamin Leard “Firms and Collective Reputation: a Study of the Volkswagen Emissions Scandal” @EEANews @OUPEconomics
doi.org/10.1093/jeea/j…

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Thrilled to announce that I was awarded tenure @UMASSBostonEcon !
Thank you to my husband Dusty- a tireless supporter. Thanks to my coauthors, my friends, my letter writers, and my respondents around the world. I’m glad I can keep on doing this job that I love
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@BachmannRudi Thanks for sharing, Rudi, you are too kind! Please do not hesitate to reach out with any questions.
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The RSQE at the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor, run by my friend, coauthor and economist extraordinaire @gabriel_ehrlich , is seeking a senior analyst for forecasting. Required: advanced degree in Econ. Ann Arbor is a great place to live. Please RT.
careers.umich.edu/job_detail/216…
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Some personal news:
I am now the automotive policy advisor @ChicagoFed where I'll focus on the economic impact of the EV/AV transition. It's an exciting time as the industry moves toward the low-carbon & more automated transportation future. 1/3

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@frye_maggie I am very sorry to hear this, Maggie. We are sending our best wishes to Marcel, you, and your whole family.
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@CGerleinSafdi @UCBerkeley @Cal_Engineer Congratulations, Cynthia!! That is great news! (We still miss you in Ann Arbor, though.)
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✨Announcement!✨ On January 1st 2022, I will be starting as an assistant professor in the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at @UCBerkeley! I am absolutely 🍾thrilled🍾 to be joining such a great department! @Cal_Engineer ce.berkeley.edu/news/2625
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New #FEDSNote: Caregiving for children and parental labor force participation during the pandemic: go.usa.gov/xe2vP #EconTwitter
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@mattkahn1966 My colleague Aditi Thapar and I have some work arguing that traditional methods underestimate public debt's effect on interest rates here: www-personal.umich.edu/~gehrlich/Ehrl… We don't mean it as a commentary on COVID relief, though.
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At the 30 minute mark, Paul Krugman cites Olivier Blanchard and his work claiming that the impact of deficits on raising interest rates is tiny. Thus, investment crowding out concerns do not matter. Are macroeconomists debating this claim?
nytimes.com/2021/01/29/opi…
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Tune in tomorrow for our PF seminar. @gabriel_ehrlich will present on “Public Debt Levels and Real Interest Rates: Causal Evidence from Parliamentary Elections” joint with Aditi Thapar. @WilliamGale2 will discuss! Register here: us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regist…
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@ernietedeschi We have some new regression discontinuity evidence suggesting larger effects here: www-personal.umich.edu/~gehrlich/Ehrl…
Doesn't change your main conclusion.
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Economic research has found that each added point of expected debt-to-GDP adds about 3bp to long rates. So that puts the upward pressure at +30-45bp.
Meanwhile the 10Y has fallen by more than 100bp YTD.
Deficits aren't a short-term problem. The pandemic is.
David Andolfatto@dandolfa
Lloyd Blankfein ..."but fiscal stimulus may reach a point where it triggers higher U.S. borrowing rates." It would be good to know what trigger people have in mind when they make statements like this. bloomberg.com/news/articles/… via @business
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