

GATA Row
13.1K posts

@gata_row
Long time tailgating group for Georgia Southern Football at the Georgia Southern Performing Arts Center. #HailSouthern



























November Sunbelt East Race (From a Georgia Southern perspective) - a new weekly data dump from your favorite computer scientist / wannabe influencer. This will get progressively simpler each week, it might be a little rough to follow this week. TLDR - I think GS is more likely than not to play an extra game in December (won't call it a championship game because JMU would likely go if the NCAA wasn't stupid) Let's Get After that analysis! GS is 3-1 (loss to JMU) Already Beat - Groupon State, Coastal Carolina. They are both 3-2 in conference, and to hurdle GS they must win 2 more games than GS. Remaining - TX State, Marshall 1-3, ODU 3-2, Crappy 2-2 Scenarios and my personal rough probabilities of each possible November GS W/L record based on remaining opponents Simple path- go 4-0 and there's an extra game to be played December (I got us around 25% of 4-0) But what if.... GS 3-1: safe from all but ODU or App if either win every remaining game including us. (Roughly 35% chance at 3-1) GS 2-2: Coastal + Groupon + Marshall could hurdle us if any of them win out. ODU or App get 1 loss not against us and can still hurdle. (Roughly 20% chance at 2-2) GS 1-3: simple answer is not a championship team. (Roughly 15%) GS 0-4 5% chance, rush me to the hospital Teams that haven't lost to JMU yet: Groupon, Coastal, Crappy Games where threats will take each other out This weekend - Marshall vs crappy (root for Marshall) - ODU vs coastal (root for coastal) Next weekend - crappy vs Groupon (root for a meteor, then reluctantly groupon, unless they beat JMU then goo crappy) Hate weekend (weekend after Thanksgiving) - Groupon vs ODU My power rankings of opponents likelihood of winning out from most likely to least likely : 1. Marshall oddly enough (already lost to JMU, has to deal with us and crappy) 2. ODU (also already lost to JMU, has to deal with coastal, Groupon, and the power of paulson) 3. Coastal (JMU, ODU, TX State) 4. Groupon (jmu, crappy, ODU) 5. Crappy (JMU, Marshall, Groupon, us) Order of importance for GS to win as of Oct31: 1. ODU 2. Crappy 3. Marshall 4. Tx state

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