Peter Pan
95 posts

Peter Pan
@ghostinPsi
Correlation is not causation.
Australia Katılım Ağustos 2022
123 Takip Edilen26 Takipçiler

@Areskapitalon QE和美债的real yield (nominal interest rate-inflation rate)是影响黄金的主要因素,油价飙升带来的通胀效应不是真正的通胀,货币超发对通胀的影响是因,价格变化是果。
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我觉得黄金对抗通胀完全就不是一个合理的叙事。黄金没有办法对抗通胀。现在这个时间全球要发生的恶性大通胀是原油的供给问题导致的,对冲通胀的一阶导数就是原油本身。买黄金没有任何价值。原油供给问题缓解之后,经济从深度滞涨中好转,也并没有那么多对冲通胀的需求了。黄金在这里是百无一用。
ss@liuhua45511918
@Areskapitalon 不过我觉得黄金主要是抗通膨的,通膨越高黄金越涨,经济危机应该会让多国政府大量印钞补贴来救穷人,大家都躲不掉通膨。
中文
Peter Pan retweetledi

@hajiyev_rashad That all sounds lovely, but seriously, all I can see is silver is struggling and thus vulnerable.
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@nicksortor And she will pay far more in taxes to America than this so called “NBA legend” ever did. It’s all business man.
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🚨 BREAKING: NBA legend Enes Kanter Freedom, a naturalized American citizen, just DESTROYED Eileen Gu, American-born woman who defected to the Chinese Olympic team
“She's a TRAITOR!”
“She chooses to play for a country responsible for the deaths of TENS KF MILLIONS of its own people and literally running a concentration camp while we are talking.”
“She chose to compete against her OWN COUNTRY for the worst human rights abuser on the PLANET.”
SPOT ON, @EnesFreedom!
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@python_xxt 坍塌是一种 mathematical convenience,而不像是物理现象,因为这无法解释波函数“瞬时”update 它的 probability amplitude 到观测结果。这是基于Born rule的思想实验的描述,仍然存在争议。
中文

波函数坍缩的发生,是因为一个携带纯粹量子信息的、脆弱的"可能性"集合,一旦接触到一个温暖、嘈杂、复杂的宏观世界,就会像一个精致的雪花落入热水中一样,其精细的结构(相干性)会瞬间融化,其能量和物质(概率)会根据热力学定律,不可逆地凝聚成一个稳定、平庸的宏观"事实"。
这个过程,称之为“坍缩”。
而“波函数坍缩”之所以会发生,可能是因为我们的宇宙在宏观尺度上是由热力学第二定律主导的。
任何一个微观的、信息有序的量子系统,只要它与这个宏观的、高熵的、充满亚稳态放大器的世界发生足够强的相互作用,它所携带的精妙量子信息就必然会经历一场从有序到无序(退相干),再到 新的宏观秩序(经典记录)的不可逆的物理转变。
中文

@maitian99 @BillAckman @realDonaldTrump I believe he knows what he’s doing; after all, he is a hedge fund manager.
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@BillAckman @realDonaldTrump As an investor,bro, you should also take into account the probability that the Democratic Party will be in power four years from now. You can’t just make a one-off bet on Trump. Your boot-licking is a bit too blatant — try to be a little more subtle.
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And yes, President @realDonaldTrump deserves the Nobel Prize.
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