David Graunke

Thanks for the thought-provoking piece. My main critique is that you are overemphasizing flashy but low probability events like “left-handed bacteria,” while merely giving lip service to the risk of extreme economic concentration of power, which is very real and materializing as we speak. Anthropic is reportedly raising funds at a $350B valuation, and the wealth created thus far has been concentrated into a few hundred (perhaps more like dozens) high net worth individuals / institutions. It’s looking increasingly likely to me that none of the leading AI labs will IPO until they reach valuations in the trillions, at which point retail investors will finally be able to get shares. In order for retail to get a 100x return on these investments, which was achievable for Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Google, the valuations of the AI labs will need to reach hundreds of trillions of dollars, meaning it’s likely too late for a more equitable redistribution of wealth. Simply put, you are currently exacerbating the problem. The consequences of this are that voters may take matters into their own hands and push for either or both 1) more aggressive / nonsensical forms of redistribution — the CA Founders’ Tax is just the beginning or 2) a drastic knee-capping of the AI industry in America, which make the CCP dominance scenario more likely. The solution is to enable retail ownership now, increasing the number of Americans with economic exposure to Anthropic and other AI labs from hundreds of people to millions.

in replies he linkssoftware he made to illustrates how useful ai vibecoding is, and its software that believes that the gibberish “ghghhgggggggghhhhhh” has a 47% historical “blend of oral and literate characteristics” honestly beyond parody. all of this is meaningless

"We will replace the frigidity of rugged individualism with the warmth of collectivism," says Mamdani

idk if i believe the log claim fully, but time def speeds up for most humans and meditation can undo it. hard to measure subjectively, but maybe by 2/3rds? almost everyone who meditates a lot for a decade says this, subjectively it feels like childhood again in a way

Childhood is half of life.