Greg Grant

4.7K posts

Greg Grant

Greg Grant

@gregmgrant

Future warfare, drones, autonomous systems, technology & strategy. Adjunct Senior Fellow, CNAS. Avid wargamer. Cyclist, skier, trail runner, climber, dog lover.

Katılım Haziran 2010
1.2K Takip Edilen1.3K Takipçiler
Greg Grant retweetledi
Army Media 🇺🇦
Army Media 🇺🇦@armyinformcomua·
He used to fix pipes. Now he reads the Russian army’s mind. Meet the Ukrainian plumber who became an intelligence analyst. Callsign “Lys” — “Fox” — is a plumber and gas welder by trade. Today he sits in a small room near Ukraine’s front line and listens to Russian radio traffic. He hears Russian assault troops asking their commanders for water and being told to crawl forward instead. He hears wounded Russian soldiers being abandoned by their own. He predicts Russian assaults before they begin — by listening to the silence between the words. He works alongside commander “Shonni,” whose unit has suppressed nearly 11,800 Russian drones in a single year with mostly homemade equipment. ArmyInform spent time with them. This is what the radio war actually sounds like. 🧵
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Третій армійський корпус
«Зараз айтівці займають важливі ролі в армії» Найцінніше в Третьому корпусі — це люди. І специ, які приносять користь війську за своїм фахом. На FAQ-стрімі про цифрову інфраструктуру та інновації Трійки друг Філ розповів про весь спектр IT-посад для інженерів і розробників. Як працює унікальний аналітичний компонент, що формує defense-tech репутацію всієї країни, а робота з даними творить технологічні успіхи на передовій — дивися на YouTube: youtube.com/live/vnur7VCGN…
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ben moores
ben moores@benmoores2·
A thread on the 50 best fortifications to go and visit in the world according to me. They are all fun for at least one in the family. They are listed in reverse rank order as determined by how much fun, unique and awesome they are.
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🇺🇦 Unmanned Systems Forces
"Standard-10". The mathematics of the turning point from USF Commander Robert "Magyar" Brovdi According to verified loss data in Delta, in March and April, drones of the Defense Forces of Ukraine destroyed over 33,000 occupiers monthly. At the same time, the average monthly replenishment of the enemy is about 29,500 personnel. For the fifth consecutive month, russia is losing more personnel than it is able to mobilize. Some of the highest efficiency indicators are demonstrated by USF strike crews: on average — 15.2 strikes on enemy manpower per crew monthly; in the @414magyarbirds — over 30 strikes per crew. The Commander emphasizes: for enemy losses to double the pace of mobilization and contracting, every strike crew of the Defense Forces of Ukraine must ensure at least 10 confirmed strikes on enemy manpower per month. "Standard-10" is a goal attainable for every strike crew. The formula is simple: for a bomber, FPV, or other strike asset crew, this is approximately one confirmed strike every 2–3 days, given 15–20 combat days per month. "Every controller, every crew, every drone. Pure mathematics goes into battle," — USF Commander Robert "Magyar" Brovdi. USF: One step ahead!
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Olena Rohoza
Olena Rohoza@OlenaRohoza·
Frontline writer and WWII veteran Viktor Astafyev: “Only God knows the full truth about our war.” Journalist: “Were the Germans really better soldiers than we Russians?” Astafyev: “Better. Better in every way.” Journalist: “Then how did we win the war?” Astafyev: “With blood. Enormous bloodshed. Massive sacrifices.” Journalist: “Can a great war really be won only with blood and human waves?” Astafyev: “As it turned out — yes, it can. In 1941, we surrendered three million prisoners. We lost the regular army. Who did we fight the war with afterward? By 1944, even ulcer patients, crippled men, the broken and the maimed were already appearing in the trenches. Men were being sent back to the front for the fourth time after their fourth wound. We talk about inhumanity — there it is. Only God knows the whole truth about our war. It was so criminal, so soaked in blood. We executed a million of our own people at the front. A million! Only people who carried out collectivization by shooting left and right could allow themselves such things. The same people who kept more than twelve million behind bars, inventing crimes for them…”
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Greg Grant
Greg Grant@gregmgrant·
@benmoores2 Vienna's military museum is just fantastic. The WW1 collection is a must see.
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ben moores
ben moores@benmoores2·
A thread on the seven worst military museums and seven best military museums around the world. Buckle in for a dark to entertaining ride. Starting with the worst....
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Greg Grant retweetledi
First Corps Azov of the National Guard of Ukraine
Azov returns to Mariupol. For now, through reconnaissance-strike systems. Pilots of First Corps Azov of the National Guard of Ukraine patrol roads up to 160 km deep behind the line of contact. In the cameras of reconnaissance-strike drones: Mariupol and enemy military targets. Enemy forces are using Ukrainian roads in the city and its outskirts to move personnel and military hardware. First Corps Azov continues to establish a "sanitary zone" for Russian logistics. The strike depth will increase. Azov is already patrolling its home city of Mariupol. From the skies — for now. But more is coming.
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Greg Grant
Greg Grant@gregmgrant·
@FRHoffmann1 Western militaries, including the US, have long been designed to operate under air superiority. Thus, high explosives are intended to be aircraft vice missile delivered. As opposed to the Russian and Chinese militaries which went (primarily) the missile route.
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Fabian Hoffmann
Fabian Hoffmann@FRHoffmann1·
It is telling, once again, that it takes a Trump outburst for the general public to become aware of the dramatic capability gap Europe faces in the missile domain. Europe is virtually as exposed without an American long-range fires battalion as it was before. The real threat to European security is not a hostile America, it is Europe's own obliviousness and incompetence.
Financial Times@FT

US pullback on long-range missiles leaves Europe exposed ft.trib.al/dihA5tN

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Greg Grant retweetledi
Volodymyr Tretyak 🇺🇦
Volodymyr Tretyak 🇺🇦@VolodyaTretyak·
Commander of the Third Army Corps Andriy Biletskyy: "Removing a third of the infantry from the front line and replacing them with ground unmanned systems is the target I am setting for the corps this year."
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Greg Grant
Greg Grant@gregmgrant·
@clement_molin Well, there is also the fact that Azov corps moved into the area, cut off and destroyed the Russian breakthrough and has since stymied Russian efforts to push north to Druzhkivka. Probably has more to do with it than terrain and logistics.
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Clément Molin
Clément Molin@clement_molin·
There is one good reason for the failure to advance to Dobropilla this after the august 2024 breakthrough and it's mainly about terrain and logistics. Assaulting from the east has been difficult because of a well known "kill zone" and well established ukrainian defenses.
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Clément Molin
Clément Molin@clement_molin·
I agree with what is being said in this thread. Russia 🇷🇺 has been unable for now to reach Dobropilla, which is a critical town to take before attacking Kramatorsk. However, recent successes in the Siversk and Kostiantynivka directions may unblock the situation 🧵THREAD🧵1/12⬇️
Clément Molin tweet media
Сіль 🇺🇦@solonko1648

@Playfra0 Він і намагається, але під Добропіллям росіяни відстали від графіку, отримуючи по зубах з відповідною якістю, тож в такому разі помилитися було приємно. Це при тому, що наступ тут не припиняється ще з минулої зими, коли були перші спроби прорватися через Воздвиженку. 10/

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Greg Grant retweetledi
414 Magyar's Birds
414 Magyar's Birds@414magyarbirds·
Magyar's update: Birds of the USF hunted down and struck two enemy helicopters — a Mi-28 and a Mi-17 — in Russia’s Voronezh region, 150 km from the line of contact. A field landing strip located more than 150 km deep from the line of contact, hosting four Mi-28 and Mi-17 helicopters conducting rapid refueling and between-flight technical checks, was visited by a flock of smaaaall, but freedom-loving Ukrainian USF Birds. The strike was carried out by pilots of composite crews from the 429th Sep Bde “Achilles” and the 43rd Sep Artillery Bde, in a jointly planned operation with CSO “A” on April 29 in russia’s Voronezh region. The strikes were delivered to the rear central part of the engine compartment, bypassing the main rotor blades. As a result of the strike, at least one helicopter maintenance specialist was killed, having come into the drone’s field of view. To be continued… Follow USF results live: USF online scoreboard “PIDRAKHUIKA” sbs-group.army MAGYAR 🇺🇦 29.04.26
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Greg Grant retweetledi
7th Rapid Response Corps of AAF
⚔️Pokrovsk–Myrnohrad sector: how the enemy attacks 📍Watch the analysis in the video. Russian forces are focusing their efforts on Hryshyne — a key axis of advance. They use the river, buildings, and tree lines as cover and routes for infantry movement. Does this help? What is the price? 🔁Share this video and follow us to stay updated on the situation in Pokrovsk–Myrnohrad sector!
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Clint Warren-Davey
Clint Warren-Davey@Clint_Davey1·
One of the few wargames I know of that addresses this issue is Battlegroup Clash: Baltics, by James Buckley. If you send too many communications signals you become more of a target for drones.
Clint Warren-Davey tweet media
Raise the Black@KTB_500

**BCT COMMAND POSTS ARE SUICIDE MAGNETS IN 2025** and pretending otherwise is getting good leaders killed for doctrine written in the 1990s. The battlefield is transparent. Full-motion video drones loiter 24/7. Commercial satellite imagery refreshes every 20 minutes. OSINT hunters on Telegram geolocate a new antenna mast in under an hour. A single Starlink dish or retrans truck emitting for 10 minutes = precision strike within 35–90 minutes, depending on whose artillery or loitering munitions you’re facing. Yet U.S. Army doctrine (ATP 3-21.8, FM 6-0, etc.) still tells BCTs to place their Main CP a laughable **15–30 km behind the FLOT**, with the TAC CP “within supporting distance.” That’s inside the unblinking kill web of every peer adversary on the planet. Ukraine proved it nightly: - Russian (and Ukrainian) brigade/regiment CPs rarely survive 72 hours once located. - Emission control is a fantasy when every staff section wants Blue Force Tracker, Win-T, JADOCS, and 17 different chat apps running. - A BCT footprint—antennas, generators, CP tents, convoys—glows on radar, thermal, and RF like Times Square. **Result:** Command posts have become the enemy’s #1 High-Payoff Target, outranking even artillery and air defense. When the brigade loses its Main, the entire formation goes blind and stupid in hours. The old geometry is dead. 15–30 km is now **deep inside the enemy’s organic reconnaissance-strike complex**. That distance made sense when the primary sensor was a BMP-2’s optics and the biggest threat was a 152 mm battery with paper maps. **The new reality:** - Detection-to-destruction loop: < 60 minutes - Reliable kill range for cheap drones + precision artillery: 50–150 km (and growing) - BCT C2 nodes must assume they are under constant observation the moment they transmit or concentrate. **The fix is not better camouflage. The fix is distance and dispersion.** BCT command posts belong **80–150 km behind the forward line**, outside the enemy’s routine deep battle envelope, and we must train to fight that way **now**. - Main CP in barns, factories, underground parking garages—never the same grid twice. - TAC CPs reduced to 3–5 vehicles, jumping every 4–6 hours, emitting only in bursts. - Staff trained to run 90 % of the fight over secure reachback (TPE, Starlink, JIPCLITE) instead of co-locating. - Mission Command pushed down hard: battalion commanders own their battlespace because the brigade commander may be 120 km away and silent for hours. If you think “but we can’t do mission command at that distance,” congratulations—you just identified the training imperative. We don’t need new doctrine nearly as much as we need to stop doing CPX-F exercises inside gymnasiums 8 km from the FEBA with 100% comms uptime. The battlefield has voted. Transparent, long-range, cheap precision has killed the legacy CP concept. Keep parking your BCT Main 25 km back and you’re not brave—you’re volunteering to be the enemy’s top HPT. **Adapt or die. Train the new geometry now.**

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Greg Grant retweetledi
Rob Lee
Rob Lee@RALee85·
In some Western defense circles, there is still a dismissive view of the threat that FPVs and other cheap UAS pose to NATO militaries. Russian and Ukrainian UAS crews are far more experienced and capable than Hezbollah's, who seem to be posing a serious challenge for the IDF.
War Noir@war_noir

#Lebanon / #Israel / #Iran / #USA 🇱🇧🇮🇱🇮🇷🇺🇸: #Hezbollah FPV Drones struck an #IDF “Namer” Armored Personnel Carrier in Southern Lebanon. Group used a possible Fiber-Optic FPV Kamikaze Drone — possibly armed with a PG-7 HEAT variant Anti-Tank RPG warhead.

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Piotr Bambot
Piotr Bambot@BambotPiotr·
Between April 9th ​​and 12th, I participated in the Przemyśl Strategist Maneuvers. This convention is one of the oldest in Poland and also one of the most intimate, dedicated to war and strategy board games. For almost four days, a group of about 20 enthusiasts stayed at the Polish Tourist and Sightseeing Society Center (PTTK) and played in a very unusual room. Space is limited, so multiplayer games are preferred. Spontaneity is key, and prior arrangements are less important. The Przemyśl convention is also famous for its beautiful city, which is remembered in history as the site of heroic sieges of a local fortress during the Great War. A tradition of the event also includes a wonderful shared breakfast for participants at a local bar and a coffee break at Przemyśl's oldest restaurant. I even mentioned this a while back in an article published in Banzai Magazin No. 10. As for the convention itself, it has its regulars and enthusiasts, giving it the feel of a reunion with a group of old friends. The atmosphere is great, with plenty of jokes, even the heavy ones, and the command-aid factor of alcohol. Above all, it's still an opportunity to play good games, both familiar and completely new. Where better to test concepts and learn to play than among a group of wargaming veterans? This time, I focused on games that are less war-related and more strategic. On the table, I focused on: Grant: The Western Campaign of 1862, Neither King Nor God, Bretwalda, March of the Ants, WunderWaffen, Dominant Species, Tyrants of the Underdark, Wir sind das Volk!: 2+2, Taifa: Intrigue and War in Medieval Spain, and Venetia. There were also many small fillers. In short, it was a great time. It went so quickly. I'm sad that we'll have to wait another year until the next convention in Przemyśl.
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Greg Grant retweetledi
Serg
Serg@NHunter007·
Неудачей закончилась попытка прорыва на Новопавловском направлении. Пехота противника, пытаясь преодолеть линию обороны, запуталась в проволочных заграждениях, после чего по ней отработали операторы дронов ВСУ. Существенных изменений в оперативной ⬇️
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Greg Grant
Greg Grant@gregmgrant·
@RALee85 Also, I was that told trucks, particularly the Hilux variety, make for a very unstable platform for trying to accurately shoot at an airborne moving target with anything large caliber (say.50 cal). Towers provide stable gun platform and are surprisingly difficult to destroy.
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Greg Grant
Greg Grant@gregmgrant·
@DrHelenFry The Cauldron by Zeno. Fictional (kind of) account of battle of Arnhem. Stays with you this one.
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