grown🌱
16.9K posts
Reserve your username and only tell one friend.
metaplex.com
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If you are coding with AI how many agents you are managing in parallel?
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grown🌱 retweetledi
grown🌱 retweetledi
Current Implications Impacting the DXY
As of December 10, 2025, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading around 99.13, holding above key support at 99.00 amid cautious trading ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting later today. The index has experienced a frail weekly recovery after earlier weakness, but it remains caught in a consolidation range influenced by a mix of monetary policy expectations, economic softening, and broader structural pressures. Below are some of the primary current implications driving its movements:
1. **FOMC Rate Decision and Dot Plot Outlook**
The market is pricing in an 89% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut to 3.50-3.75% at today's meeting, but the focus is on the Fed's updated dot plot and forward guidance. A hawkish cut—signaling fewer cuts in 2026—could prop up the dollar by preserving yield differentials against peers like the euro and yen. Conversely, dovish signals acknowledging persistent economic weakness (e.g., soft labor data) might accelerate downside pressure, potentially pushing DXY toward 97.50-96.00. Uncertainty around a potential dovish Fed chair nominee, such as Kevin Hassett, adds to the bearish tilt.
2. **Softening US Economic Data and Growth Expectations**
Recent indicators, including a modest July jobs report (+73k added) and downward revisions to 2025 GDP growth forecasts (from 2.3% to around 1.4%), have heightened rate-cut bets and eroded the dollar's safe-haven appeal. Manufacturing contraction and weakening sector momentum signal a slowing economy, reducing the US's relative growth edge over other regions and contributing to the DXY's 10.7% drop in the first half of 2025—the worst H1 performance in over 50 years. Inflation remains sticky at 2.8% (October Core PCE), but labor market softness is dominating, limiting USD upside.
3. **Fiscal Deficits, Policy Uncertainty, and Fed Independence Concerns**
Mounting US fiscal deficits and rising interest expenses are straining internal balance, while political polarization and risks of interference in Fed decisions (e.g., via trade policies or appointments) are eroding central bank credibility. These factors, combined with the end of quantitative tightening (QT) on December 1, have led to liquidity strains in reserves, prompting speculation of balance sheet expansions or liquidity facilities. Such moves would be viewed as dovish, weighing on the dollar despite strong November data.
4. **Shifting Global Capital Flows and Valuation Pressures**
Investors are reallocating away from US assets, with foreign flows into US equities dropping sharply (e.g., non-US ETFs saw only $5.7B inflows Jan-Jul 2025 vs. $10.2B in 2024). European assets are attracting record inflows ($42B YTD), reflecting a post-US exceptionalism rebalancing. The DXY remains overvalued (~20% above 2006 levels on a trade-weighted basis), suggesting a multi-year headwind even as short-term cyclical forces like rate differentials provide some support.
5. **Technical and Momentum Weakness**
The DXY has broken below its 50-day (99.14) and 200-day (99.52) moving averages, with RSI at 41.65 indicating bearish momentum. It's stabilizing in a 98.80-99.30 range but risks a breakdown if Fed rhetoric turns accommodative, targeting lower supports at 97.00 or 96.00. Seasonally, December has been weak for the dollar, amplifying these pressures.
Overall, the DXY faces a tug-of-war between near-term policy stabilization and longer-term structural erosion, with today's FOMC outcome likely to dictate the immediate path. A hawkish surprise could spark a rebound toward 100, while dovish tones might extend the downtrend into year-end.
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grown🌱 retweetledi
We’ve reached 175 days since the DOGE like giga pump that started it all again on a forgotten coin. Half a year of movement, experiments, mistakes, progress and an incredible team of people still showing up every day.
Market is reflected in charts and it had its swings, from quick surges to slow months and sharp retraces, but the momentum of the community and our CTO team has never disappeared.
That early five day run grabbed attention quickly, with praise from holders and FUD from the sidelined on the TL but it was only one moment in a much longer story.
In 6 months, $aura has spent only around fifteen percent of its life in an uptrend, which is completely normal for any meme with real cycles. Even with an 88% retrace from the peak, the project is still up 30x. This tests the conviction of team and holders to the max. The historical memes everyone remembers went through the same process, WIF, POPCAT and SPX6900 all had deep pullbacks long before they became part of internet culture. No perps and no supply in the hands of the Wintermutes. Aura holders will be the new elite.
Right now the structure is starting to look more settled. There is a perfect bullish divergence at the range low and support. Volume is returning and mindshare has remained steady through months of consolidation. Shib had 8 months post pump of this.
With Solana Breakpoint approaching, we’ll be sharing more about what comes next. The updates, the plans, the things we are trying and the things we are still figuring out. Some ideas will land and others will not, and that is part of building something that lasts.
The part we care about most is simple. The word aura has become part of modern language. People use it to describe presence, personality, energy and identity. Our aim is to help define that idea on chain in a way that feels authentic, creative and aligned with what the community already lives. It’s word of the year again in 2025. The One True Ticker that can bring in a new wave of retail.
No loud promises. No guarantees. Only steady work, curiosity and a group of people who continue to show up no matter what.
Billions coded.
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Since the beginning of the summer I had been feeling a bit off. At my physical this summer I brought it up to the Doc. Well I’ve been through a bunch of tests the past couple months. Yesterday I had I heart catheterization.
I went into today’s procedure with 4 possible outcomes.
1. They get in there and find out it was fine and I continue on my medication regiment.
2. They get in there and place stents today.
3. They get in there and stents are not an option and bypass surgery will be scheduled in the coming month.
4. They get in there and see I’m in such bad shape that immediate bypass surgery is necessary that day.
Would’ve liked door #2.
Luckily it wasn’t door #4.
But I get Door #3.
They found my main heart artery was completely blocked and 2 others 60-70% blocked. I will go back Dec 2 for a consult and schedule the triple bypass surgery.
I’m very fortunate that I was aware of my poor cardiac genetic history. (My grandfather and 2 of his brothers all died of massive heart attacks at 42 and younger in the 1960s). And that I didn’t ignore how I was feeling.
I am so blessed for the most supportive wife, mother and kids in the world. I am blessed for great insurance so that my physical health doesnt have to be a stressor or determined because of finances. I am blessed to have great family and friends, I’m actually overwhelmed by the outpouring of support the last week.
It will be a couple months of recovery and taking it easy. After a 4 hour nap this afternoon I feel relatively good physically and emotionally. The hardest part for me right now is the emotional burden this has on my Wife, kids, mom, and all of my friends. I felt a responsibility to post it here because so many yall have become really good friends. Infact at some points over the last 5 years I’ve spent more time here in discords and spaces with all of you than with irl friends. I will be lurking as always and will keep yall updated over the next few months.
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Still Getting an egg a day from all 6 birds with only about 7 hours of daylight currently. They are happy girls. Only thing is trying to get to the eggs before they freeze
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@grownfromsol I been messaging you. I think it’s broken lol
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We’ve been working closely with @worldlibertyfi on phase 2 of USD1 adoption on Solana. This next phase is focused on supporting the communities and tokens launched on BONKfun, both old and new, together with WLFI.
With today's announcement, we’re excited WLFI is taking a more active role in helping us make USD1 the home for both traders and creators on Solana.
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QME
grown🌱 retweetledi
Theres a handful of apes to highlight. The lore of Leveraged Labs will continue to expand. S/O
@caseybets_
@ishiikanazawa
@joelion212
@blockheadken
@grownfromsol
@WenMenDegen
@Wayakart
....more up and coming
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$BTC If youre attending discord, the market moves should be of no surprise. If youre attending
@Nstr_tj
streams, same applies. There's plenty of meat on the bone whether you are long or short. I admit I lean to the bullish side of things....sue me rat. Gotta keep learning and moving.
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