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Hassan
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Hassan
@ha5san
Learning. exploring & still trying to figure it out. Long Gold / Silver / XRP
Singapore Katılım Mart 2008
1.9K Takip Edilen472 Takipçiler

@DanQayyum Pakistan should refrain - we have enough of our own problems without inviting more.
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'If Iran and the United States cannot find the exit by 8pm Eastern Time tonight, Mohammed bin Salman will make a phone call. Not to the White House. Not to Downing Street. Not to the Élysée. To a man in Rawalpindi who has been quietly preparing for exactly this moment for six weeks.'
Dan Qayyum@DanQayyum
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Let's spend coffee time playing a little wargame in which the US decides to take on Iran and commit to a full war against it
Look at this map. Where could the US stage an invasion of Iran?
To Iran's east, you'll find Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Turkmenistan. A big triple no.
To Iran's south: the Persian Gulf which it completely dominates. No good.
To Iran's west: Iraq and Turkiye. The first a definite no, the second, a no so probable it must be considered a certain. Turkiye will not go to war with Iran for the US and Israel - a war not only sure to decimate it, but a war Turkich people will be fanatically against.
To Iran's north is the Caspian Sea. No use.
Azerbaijan and Armenia present an opening, but how will hundreds of thousands of NATO soldiers get there (let alone undetected)? If they go by sea, they will need to traverse the Mediterranean and the Black Sea and virtually physically go through Istanbul. Not only politically complicated, but a long long journey that gives Iran tons of time to prepare.
Remember the months and months the US took to amass forces for the Iraq invasion? It took 6 months or so - with no interruptions.
The problem is, with Iran, there's no way they're going to simply build up forces near the designated target's borders.
Iran has an arsenal of hundreds of thousands of guided and precise ballistic missiles, satellites in space and eyes almost everywhere. If a war is declared or started, every American asset within 0-3000 kilometers of Iran's borders will be bombarded so viciously no missile defense system will be able to stop it.
And all those dozens and dozens of American bases scattered throughout the vast area surrounding Iran? How will the US defend them under an attack on a scale of 1000 October 7th's combined?
Additionally, Iran has the most sophisticated anti-ship missiles in the world (Russia's Yakhont), of which it probably has thousands by now. This means no surface ship is going to be able to come close enough to Iran to make it an effective striking weapon (is this going to be the first time we get to see an aircraft carrier drowning? I believe potentially yes).
The US will have to rely on air superiority, but this is going to prove a very difficult, almost impossible task. US planes will have to fly a long way to get to Iran (and back), and it has invested massively in air defense systems, including some of the most sophisticated in Russia's arsenal. The US will lose many planes which will take years to replenish, and Iran will be able to target with ballistic missiles and drones all the bases from which they take off in Europe or the Middle East.
Another tool the US will use is cruise missiles fired from submarines: but this, too, does not win wars, and can be costly against a rival that prepared for this.
A full-scale invasion of Iran will require potentially millions of soldiers and will take years. The West is simply incapable of an effort of this kind: where will they find millions of young men willing to die at sea in order to occupy a country thousands of miles away? Today? Give me a break.
All this time the Iranians will be defending their home and their independence. The West will be trying to colonize and destroy them. They will have Gaza on their minds.
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I didn't mention Israel because it is virtually irrelevant in this war. Hizbullah alone is enough to paralyze it and keep its military busy for months.
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Bonus point: think about what happens to energy prices in an actual war with Iran. 500$ for an oil barrel? 1000$? 2000$? All is possible.
Guess what country will remain the biggest international producer and exporter of oil and gas, and rip all those extra many, many trillions. You guessed tight. Russia. If the Persian Gulf is up in flames, Russia will become a global economic superpower (at a time when the US is dwindled militarily and economically and cannot even fake a military threat against it).
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Another bonus point: you think Iran cannot, or will not attack on American soil? Think again. From cyber attacks to large-scale, professional, military-level sabotage and guerrilla warfare, in a war with Iran life in the US will definitely not be business as usual, and not only because inflation will be something 200%, and thousands of dead soldiers will return home in coffins every month for a long time.
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The US cannot win a war against Iran. And I believe all parties involved know it. The only thing that remains unknown is how insane and self-destructive the US has become under Netanyahu's and AIPAC's, how shall we call it, influence

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This quarter, I’ve closed multiple $1M+ without a slide deck.
I’m using a single AI tool. Today, I want to share it, free.
After signing, a prospect asked me how we created the site. They were so wow-ed they wanted it for their own clients.
Here’s what floored them: it took a single designer 5 minutes to prompt and launch.
The AI chains together 6 key parts of our sales process, turning a 18-page deck into a single, personalized website.
When they asked, I gave them this template and workflow.
Now I want to share it for free:
Follow me + comment “GA” and I’ll DM it.
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I’m honoured to be joining 𝕏 to lead design. I believe this is the most important platform in the world, and I can’t think of a more exciting place to help shape the future.
I’m looking forward to working closely with @elonmusk, @nikitabier, and the rest of the team. I’m grateful for the opportunity, humbled to be part of it, and can't wait to get started!

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Grotesque
Seyed Mohammad Marandi@s_m_marandi
Clearly, @ElonMusk and @X are allowing what appears to be a Zionist/Ukrainian group to put a bounty on me. It is even a "paid partnership." Not a single Western media outlet has shown outrage that X is openly supporting terror to permanently silence me. youtu.be/QwT1egTQdME?is…
Français
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Joe Kent didn’t just resign. He shattered the neocon narrative.
From the inside, he said it plainly: Iran posed no imminent threat.
That matches what I saw firsthand: they wanted to avoid war.
Kent saw the truth and walked away.
Now watch the establishment try to smear him and bury what he exposed.
Be smarter — join me on Patreon
patreon.com/cw/RickSanchez…
You are invited!
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You mean to tell me that this entire time, while the whole world enforced crippling sanctions on Iran, they were letting everybody pass their waters for free?
And I'm meant to believe they are immoral people?
Persian Girl@Persianserene1
Now that the whole world understands the importance of the Strait of Hormuz, it’s time for a change After the war, Iran should charge any country whose oil tankers and ships pass through it This would help recover war damages and end the era of free security for American-Zionist vessels!
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