Halo CME
4.3K posts

Halo CME
@halocme
Solar physicist at LMSAL (alum UTkyAst). I believe space weather missions (for safe human space exploration) need a way higher investment than science missions.

@halocme Hi! There is another X flare. Could you make running difference video? Because yours are the best!




huh? u still asleep? it's AR14419 & AR14420 😏👋🌞⚡ though the current numbering system is ridiculous, old spots get 'new' numbers as they transit Eastern limb. If we had full coverage of '360°' with multiple solar orbiters we could revise the system & perpetually keep better track of sunspots & 'far side activity' as AR's transit beyond the western solar limb. but no, they need all our money for forever wars. 😅🙏


Late on April Fool's Day, there was a filament eruption in and above AR 14403, causing an extended CME (largely moving to northwest). The associated flare peaked at C6.1, but the eruption was almost over before the start time of the flare (23:08) as shown in the NOAA event list.

Imagine the month of aurora they had during September 1957... just going through some historical Dst data right now, and I always get humbled by the older solar cycles. If you think this current cycle 25 is active, in reality it is average to below average.


Watch out! The March 30 CME may hit Earth imminently - based on this simulation still current (as of 31 March 17:50) at swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-e….


A gorgeous eruption associated with an X1.5 flare in AR 14405, exhibiting impressive large-scale disturbances. A glancing blow may be expected on April 1-2.


What happened to the recent promising CMEs? We saw a shock at ~20 UT on 03/20 (shaded in pink). If this resulted from the 03/18 CME, the 03/16CME left only the tiny increase at ~01:30 on 03/20 (blue line). I'd have expected it to arrive much earlier and to be more prominent...



Fashionably Late! After being delayed in transit by the "legs" of a glancing solar storm blow, we are finally seeing hints that the expected solar storm may be arriving now! Originally forecasted to arrive on the 19th, STEREO-A HI imagery indicated it was moving slower than coronagraph imagery predicted. Aurora chasers get ready, the storm will likely intensify!


While there is improvement with some coronagraph images starting to fill in, it is still a waiting game to (hopefully) get the full picture.

@halocme Just now, some frames are up!
