hayden

389 posts

hayden

hayden

@hayds2k

clicker modeler

Katılım Ağustos 2021
260 Takip Edilen250 Takipçiler
Cayden
Cayden@PlusEvStick·
@hayds2k @Kalshi Yeah I see that now. Am I the only one who thinks that rule is terrible? Surprised I don't see it talked about more
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Cayden
Cayden@PlusEvStick·
Hi everybody! I'm relatively new to @Kalshi and this is the first time this has happened to me... They settled this before the match began. The match is not cancelled or anything. Did they settle this simply because they felt like it? Because of the rules of how "contracts" work, I just lose $92 because I bet the favorite? Does this mean someone who bet the underdog makes money on this? That logic doesn't make any sense to me. Someone educate me! I feel like I have been robbed😭
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dylanbets
dylanbets@dylanpredicts·
@hayds2k courtside retained counsel and are moving forward with arbitration
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dylanbets
dylanbets@dylanpredicts·
⚠️ DO NOT USE @courtsideapp After refusing to payout a $31,500 wager their current stance is they have the right to void any bet even after settlement. They are now threatening legal action for my posts made on social media about them not paying out. Their only offer to me was to void all of my bets instead of just paying the winner. @AlexCaruso, who continues to promote courtside, remains silent on the matter.
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Sports By Dustin
Sports By Dustin@SportsByDustin·
This is why I love prediction markets Kalshi Market: HR Derby Finals Exact Outcome Junior Caminero beats Jordan Walker I placed $975 on NO at 97.5c/share to win $25. Doesn't sound impressive right? Well what if I told you that I sniped this completely risk free? With the rules change in the HR Derby this year, people didn't realize that in the 2nd round it becomes bracket style (1 seed vs 4 seed | 2 seed vs 3 seed)... Knowing the rules, I realized that since Caminero was facing Walker in the 2nd round it would be literally impossible for this outcome to happen in the finals since one would be eliminated in the 2nd round. Although the 2nd round matchup was set and this couldn't even happen, people were still buying YES on this market between 1-3c/share. Unfortunately those people were literally throwing money on the ground. Fortunately for me, I was picking it up. One of the biggest edges in prediction markets is simply just knowing the rules.
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EV_NJ
EV_NJ@EV_Newjersey·
Was never Kyle
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hayden
hayden@hayds2k·
@dylan_corbet its okay bro its twitter 💀go take a walk and drink a water
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Dylan Corbet
Dylan Corbet@dylan_corbet·
@hayds2k True I recognize that, but these fucking morons acting like they are nosferatu
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hayden
hayden@hayds2k·
@dylan_corbet its like being rich. the bigger the winners you will never see them on X doing victory laps and acting like this bro. obviously you are profitable but theres always gonna be a bigger fish
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Dylan Corbet
Dylan Corbet@dylan_corbet·
@hayds2k I mean yea I’ve been winning bets all fucking year and now I gotta deal with fucking planet fitness put me on the treadmill hero lists
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Solstice
Solstice@alch3my101·
Until I joined @kalshi 6 months ago, this was the only sports bet I had ever made. I had a bankroll of $0 but $10,000 in my bank account. I bet $8,000 on @FloydMayweather to beat @TheNotoriousMMA. I now have a bankroll of $40,000+. How much should I bet on the McGregor v Holloway fight? And who should I bet on?
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hayden
hayden@hayds2k·
love me some summer league
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hayden
hayden@hayds2k·
updated k model dm for inquiries
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The Bet Desk
The Bet Desk@TheBetDesk·
If you are a bettor that just wants the goods and the best of the best in the modeling game, here is where you go: @LiveLockAI @HomeRunPredict @POTDJay These 3 I have found to be extremely helpful/resourceful. If you have a product you'd like me to try, please reach out! Best of luck on your betting journey!
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hayden
hayden@hayds2k·
@POTDJay @HomeRunPredict @TheBetDesk @LiveLockAI Not at all, can be a great tool if you know what you are doing but often times numbers are hallucinated and can steer you the wrong way if you don't know what you are looking at, just like in any profession
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SmartStake
SmartStake@smartstakeapp·
WHICH BOOKS ARE ACTUALLY SHARP ON MLB PROPS IN 2026? We've been collecting a ton of data. We're going to use that data to give you guys some insight👀 Plus, you get full access to the data📊 Our first article is now live, written by @KeepOnBetting smartstake.app/learn/sharpest…
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