
I thing there’s a few things. They were really more of a 7-8 quality win team last year who got a bunch of lucky breaks to get to 11 wins. Happens every year to a team or two, going up in wins (lucky) or down in wins (unlucky).
So starting from the standpoint of they were really a 7-8 win quality team, even if their offense takes a step forward that makes them a 9-10 win quality team, without the luck they had last year.
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