rah

Holy shit. Elon wins. grokipedia.com/page/robert_he…

@ThetiMapping @threadreaderapp unroll

👇Many people are wondering how Iran continues to fire a steady amount of ballistic missiles both at Israel and the GCC on a daily basis, even managing to increase the rate of fire recently. I've mapped out the most popular Iranian missile bases used for such launches. - Green icon = most frequently used launch sites - Yellow = intermittent launches, a few recorded incidents over the past 1-2 weeks - Red = launches on rare occasions This map shows how the center of gravity for Iranian launches on Israel quickly shifted away from major silos the western part of the country (Tabriz, Urmia, Kermanshah & Dezful) towards the center. The most frequent launches come from the Koohestan (Yazd) missile base, located at least 1730km away from Israel. Yesterday the US dropped bunker busters on this facility, targeting above-ground structures and tunnel entrances. Over the coming days we'll see whether this actually has an effect on the launches. Other popular firing posts towards Israel include Shiraz, Isfahan, and Tehran. There are at least 3 separate launching points near each of those cities. I would wager the number in the Tehran metro area is even larger, and I have some theories as to where additional BMs are stored, but I can't verify it with satellite imagery. In all likelihood I've missed a handful of bases, but at least I compiled all the publicly known ones (30 that are at least somewhat active as of the past fortnight). The blue lines represent potential trajectories from the most popular launch spots. It can be seen that there a few bases located at exceptionally long ranges, such as Shahmirzad & Shahrud. The damage to these sites is insignificant, and their importance will increase when Iran decides to preserve its remaining stockpiles and TELs in the central part of the country. There are even rare instances where a single launch comes out of the western missile bases. This is possible if most of the preparation is done underground and the TEL shoots and scoots, returning to hardened tunnels covered by dozens or even 100+ meters of granite. But such a manuever is risky due to strong Israeli recon UAV presence in western Iran and frequent aircraft sorties along the Iraq border. So far Israel's been more effective in suppressing missile fire from western Iran than CENTCOM has been along the southern coast. Even bases that are basically tangent to the Persian Gulf remain relatively active. Over the past 3 days the US has tried to remedy this by focus much of their firepower on underground weapons depots at tactical airbases, anti-ship missile storage, and ballistic missile sites. Most notably, there were heavy strikes on the Borazjan missile base in Bushehr Province.

Mass drivers on the Moon!

@shanaka86 @threadreaderapp unroll

BREAKING. The country President Trump called “very late as usual” just parked a nuclear submarine within Tomahawk range of Iran. HMS Anson, an Astute-class nuclear-powered attack submarine, is now positioned in the northern Arabian Sea with cruise missiles capable of reaching targets deep inside Iranian territory. Britain did not announce this with a press conference. The Daily Mail published the positioning. The submarine speaks for itself. HMS Anson left Perth earlier this month and traveled 5,500 miles to the Arabian Sea. It carries Tomahawk Block IV cruise missiles and Spearfish heavyweight torpedoes. Its Rolls-Royce reactor will not need refuelling for 25 years. Its pump-jet propulsor makes it one of the quietest submarines in any navy. It does not need to surface to strike. It does not need permission from Washington. Starmer authorises launches through Permanent Joint Headquarters at Northwood. This is a British weapon under British command. The sequence matters. On the first day of the war, Iran fired two intermediate-range ballistic missiles at Diego Garcia, a British territory in the Indian Ocean. Neither hit. Trump publicly criticised the UK as “very late” and “disappointing” in its response. Starmer initially hesitated on US requests to use British bases for strike operations. Then Britain authorised the use of UK bases, including Diego Garcia, for operations to prevent Iran from attacking ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran responded by warning that British lives are now at risk. Britain responded by sending a submarine that can put a Tomahawk through a window in Tehran from underwater without surfacing. The escalation ladder from “very late” to nuclear attack submarine took less than three weeks. Starmer’s calculation is not ideological. It is economic. The UK imports significant quantities of LNG and oil through Gulf supply routes. The Strait of Hormuz carries approximately 20 percent of global seaborne oil trade. British energy prices are already surging from the Hormuz closure. British pharmaceutical supply chains depend on Indian manufacturers who depend on Gulf crude. The same supply-chain vulnerability that connects Modi’s Nowruz phone call to Ohio pharmacies connects Starmer’s submarine deployment to British gas bills. The submarine is not defending democracy. It is defending heating costs. The Astute-class is the most capable attack submarine Britain has ever built. Seven are planned. Five have been commissioned. HMS Anson, the fifth, entered service in 2022. At 97 metres and 7,800 tonnes submerged, it carries a crew of 98 in a hull designed to operate at depths exceeding 300 metres. It is smaller than the American Virginia-class but rated quieter by multiple independent assessments. It carries fewer missiles but needs fewer sailors. In a strait where stealth matters more than volume, the boat that cannot be heard is more dangerous than the fleet that can be seen. The UK is now the third nation with strike capability deployed in the war theatre, after the United States and Israel. France has the Charles de Gaulle carrier group for air operations. Greece has a Patriot battery defending Saudi refineries. Twenty-three nations signed a statement. But only Britain has put a nuclear-powered platform carrying land-attack cruise missiles underwater in the Arabian Sea with the authority to fire them on the Prime Minister’s order. Trump said late. Starmer sent a submarine. The missile it carries can reach Tehran. The reactor that powers it will not need fuel until 2047. And the man who authorises the launch is the same man Iran threatened by name when it said British lives are at risk. The threat was noted. The submarine arrived. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

Geraldo Rivera DEFENDS the Iranian regime leadership, arguing that eliminating them “violates the rules of war.” RIVERA: “We need to stop assassinating every single, you know, VIP in Iran!” “I mean, who’s going to run the country?” “You’re going to put the bombers outside a military school next, to bomb the cadets when they graduate?” “I mean, it’s…it’s absurd!” “It violates all of the rules of war!” “You don’t kill everybody, all the leadership. And then they have new leaders, and you kill all of them, and they have new leaders, and they kill all of them also.” “And then expect someone to negotiate.” “Who’s going to negotiate?!” “The negotiator is going to be afraid to walk into negotiating room for fear of getting blown up like all of their former colleagues.”

No voter ID, especially when combined with mail-in ballots, means the system is engineered to make fraud impossible to prove. Everyone knows that you can barely get through your week without showing ID for the most banal activities, like shopping at Costco. The only reason to ban ID is to hide massive voter fraud.

The Boring Company could make a tunnel through the UAE mountains so a large oil pipe could bypass the Strait of Hormuz for a very reasonable price. grok.com/share/c2hhcmQt…

Iranian man, Sadar Pashaei, who tried to save 19-year-old wrestler Saleh Mohammadi before his execution says the regime deliberately targeted athletes during the protests. Over 200 of them were killed. Pashaei insists that Mohammadi was NOT guilty of what the regime accused him of. PASHAEI: “We have a credible reports that in this protest who snipers deliberately assassinated, killed those athletes who were on the front line because, you know, they are in great shape, they are brave.” “And this happened to many athletes, we have report of more than 200 athletes were killed in the protests on January.” “So he was not guilty. He went on the street for a better future, so in the country there is no execution anymore.” “No compulsory hijab or lashing against women.”

@EXIT_FIAT @threadreaderapp unroll

Bessent just told the world the regime is bleeding out. Treasury found the bank accounts. Iranian leadership. Frozen. Defections happening across every level of the regime. Capital flooding out faster than they can hide it. His words: "The regime will probably collapse within itself." That's the US Treasury Secretary saying on live television what the intel has been pointing to for two weeks. Not analysts. Not sources. The man running America's financial war machine. Day 20. Seven thousand targets. The IRGC confirmed their own spokesman was killed overnight. Pentagon requested another $200 billion. Think about that number. You don't budget $200 billion to bomb and leave. That's reconstruction money. That's "we're staying to build what comes next" money. Iran responded the way a cornered regime responds. Hit four countries in 48 hours. Qatar's Ras Laffan. Saudi's Samref. Two Kuwaiti refineries. A UAE gas hub. All at once. All energy infrastructure. And here's where it gets interesting. They hit Qatar. The country that was sitting between them and a ceasefire. The one mediating. Qatar threw out Iran's military attaches within 24 hours. Saudi's foreign minister went public and said trust is "completely shattered." You tell me what kind of regime attacks its last mediator. That's not a military decision. That's a leadership that checked its bank balance, saw the wire transfers leaving, and started swinging at anything in reach. Now zoom out. 500 miles west, Iraq is doing the opposite of panicking. SOMO signed export contracts through Turkey, Jordan, and Syria. 900,000 barrels per day targeted through corridors that don't touch Hormuz. Ceyhan is already flowing. Parliament is demanding the HCL be drafted and passed. CBI reserves over $115 billion. Inflation sitting at 1.8%. KRG sent salaries to Baghdad for the third straight month. Maliki's nomination officially withdrawn. That's not one reform moving. That's all of them. Simultaneously. While the region burns around them. Part 1 of the Architecture Series mapped how these systems get rebuilt. Part 2 followed the money. What's happening in Iraq right now is what it looks like when the blueprint meets the construction crew. One country is watching its treasury empty and its allies walk away. The other is stacking reserves, building export routes, and passing the reforms that were blocked for twenty years by the same Iranian influence that's now collapsing in on itself. Bessent dropped one more thing. 140 million barrels of Iranian oil sitting on tankers. Treasury ready to lift sanctions and flood the open market. That crude was locked up for China. Not anymore. Iraq doesn't need the Strait. Iran can't function without it. And the people running what's left of Tehran already moved their money out. When asked whether Kharg Island eventually becomes a US asset, the Treasury Secretary didn't blink. "We will see." And if you didn't know, Trump has been watching that island since 1988.

NOBODY KNOWS HOW FUCKED THE SITUATION IN THE PERSIAN GULF ACTUALLY IS. 3,200 ships are TRAPPED in the Persian Gulf right now. Crews are running out of drinking water. One ship called the local port authority and BEGGED for permission to dock — just to get water. They were DENIED. 💀 Let that sink in. These aren't military ships. These are commercial vessels — carrying oil, grain, electronics — with civilian crews who are now stranded with NO supplies and NO way out. – 3,200 ships STUCK ⚠️ – Crews running out of WATER 💀 – Port authorities REFUSING to let them dock ⚠️ – Multiple ships reporting the SAME situation 💀 ⚠️ For context — the Suez Canal crisis in 2021 blocked 400 ships. This is EIGHT TIMES worse. And nobody is talking about it. They're showing you missile interceptions and oil price charts. They're NOT showing you thousands of crew members slowly running out of drinking water in the middle of a war zone. If these ships start getting abandoned, the environmental disaster alone would be catastrophic. Thousands of tons of fuel, cargo, chemicals — just sitting there. This is not a shipping disruption. This is a HUMANITARIAN CRISIS unfolding in real time. Prepare accordingly. 🚨🚨🚨 X is hiding this. Follow + RT before it disappears. 🔥

The double slit experiment is the probably most misunderstood experiment ever. I have no idea who created the myth that if you 'look' at one of the slits, then the particles (photons/electrons) stop behaving as waves. It's wrong! They of course STILL behave as waves! Because particles are also waves, always. Photons and electrons make a self-interference EVEN ON A SINGLE slit. Don't believe it? Below an actual measurement from a laser diffracting on a single/double slit from Wikipedia. What happens if you measure which slit the particle goes through is that you get no interference between BOTH slits. And no, you don't need a conscious observer for this. Believe it or not, there have actually been experiments where they had people literally look at a double slit to see if that makes any difference and the answer is no, it does not. The entire mystery of the double slit is in the path of the particle TO the double slit. Because it seems that the particle must "know" whether it WILL be measured at one of the slits before it even gets there. It must "know" whether to go through both or just pick one. Seems like the future influences the past? Not really, it just means you have a consistency condition on the time evolution.

@TimDraper @adamscrabble @threadreaderapp unroll

Jake DeWitte called me with an idea that most people thought was crazy. He wanted to build small fission nuclear power plants. For more than 40 years, the mantra “no nukes” permeated the zeitgeist, and half the people protesting were protesting nuclear war. Jake said he could build a portable nuclear power plant. That could power a small city, be placed anywhere, and even transported. My nuclear physicist friend told me the timeline: "Five years to design. Five years for approval. Five more to build" 15 years. Minimum. I invested anyway. I had faith in Jake that if anyone could get a nuclear power plant built in the US, Jake could. Jake had the energy and drive to actually pull this off. Most entrepreneurs would've given up after hearing that timeline. He doubled down. Fast forward to today: Oklo became the first nuclear power company to get US approval in 40 years. Jake took the company public via SPAC. The Aurora reactor (their flagship model) is a 1.5-megawatt beast that runs for years without refueling. Uses spent nuclear fuel. Cuts waste and environmental impact. Perfect for remote areas and small grids. Oklo today is worth more than $10 billion. Nuclear energy can reduce the carbon emissions damaging Earth. Oklo will be the company that makes it happen.

No, this isn't true. The claimed emails, quotes from Manos Antonakakis, and Ian Crone briefing have no public records, leaks, or news verification outside this X thread. Antonakakis's known DARPA ties are from 2016 DNC attribution (old Senate inquiries), not recent election network C2 by Russia/Iran. CISA/DHS reports confirm foreign attempts occurred but no successful penetrations altered 2024 (or prior) election infrastructure. The attached Iran map adds no evidence.

@shanaka86 @threadreaderapp unroll

JUST IN: Hours after President Trump said “I’m not putting troops anywhere,” Axios reported the administration is considering plans to occupy or blockade Kharg Island. Kharg processes 90 percent of Iranian oil exports. The contradiction is not a contradiction. It is the strategy operating on two frequencies simultaneously. The public frequency says no troops. The planning frequency says Kharg. Both are true because they serve different audiences at different timescales. “No troops” manages the domestic voter who remembers Iraq and Afghanistan. “Occupy or blockade Kharg” manages the Pentagon planner who needs a mechanism to sever the IRGC’s last major revenue stream. The leak to Axios is itself a weapon: it signals to Tehran that the option exists without committing Washington to execute it. Kharg Island sits 25 kilometres off the Iranian coast in the northern Persian Gulf. It is a loading terminal, not a military fortress. Tankers dock, fill with crude, and depart through Hormuz. Before the war, roughly 2.5 million barrels per day loaded from Kharg. After the strikes, Iran claims production is “fully operational and uninterrupted.” But exports are effectively halted because every P&I club voided war risk coverage and 97 percent of commercial traffic through Hormuz collapsed. The oil is produced. It cannot leave. The IRGC adapted. It built a $2 million toll system. Pay the fee, receive clearance via VHF radio, transit with AIS verification. The Financial Times confirmed the payments. Lloyd’s List Intelligence tracked 89 to 90 vessels transiting under some form of IRGC clearance between March 1 and 15. The toll funds the same provincial commands whose sealed packets created the closure. The blockade finances itself. A Kharg blockade would cut the one revenue mechanism Iran still controls. If the US interdicts tankers loading at Kharg through naval presence or aerial denial, Iran cannot sell crude even to shadow fleet operators or toll-paying intermediaries. The A7A5 stablecoin corridor that processed $72 to $93 billion in sanctions-evasion flows loses its primary commodity input. The IRGC toll system loses its product. The provincial commands lose their funding. The sealed packets that govern Hormuz continue executing, but the money that sustains the doctrine depletes. The administration has already built the architecture to support this without American boots on the island. Twenty-three point five billion dollars in arms just shipped to UAE, Kuwait, and Jordan. Patriot PAC-3 batteries protect the surrounding Gulf infrastructure from retaliation. THAAD radars extend early warning. Chinook helicopters provide logistics. Six allies pledged Hormuz safe passage support. Bessent is tracking defections and freezing leadership bank accounts. The kinetic campaign degrades Iranian offensive capability daily. The financial campaign degrades Iranian loyalty daily. A Kharg interdiction would degrade Iranian revenue daily. Three degradation tracks converging on the same target: IRGC survivability. Trump told the press he would not put troops anywhere and that he certainly would not tell them if he did. The second sentence negated the first. It was meant to. The purpose of saying “no troops” while simultaneously leaking “Kharg blockade” to Axios is to create uncertainty that is itself deterrence. Tehran cannot know whether the leak is preparation or posture. The uncertainty forces the IRGC to defend Kharg against a threat that may or may not materialise, diverting resources from Hormuz operations, provincial commands, and retaliatory strikes on Gulf infrastructure. The island is 25 kilometres offshore. It processes the oil that funds the war. And the administration is publicly denying and privately considering the one move that would end the funding model while the strait stays closed and the molecules stay trapped. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

Yamanaka reprogramming (by Shinya Yamanaka, Nobel 2012) uses 4 transcription factors—Oct4, Sox2, Klf4, c-Myc (OSKM)—to convert adult somatic cells into induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs), resetting them to an embryonic-like state. In aging research, partial/transient OSK expression (often sans c-Myc) reverses epigenetic aging markers, restores youthful gene expression/DNA methylation, and rejuvenates tissues in mice without full pluripotency or tumors—potentially extending healthy lifespan. No direct relation to sustaining NAD+ levels (which drop with age, fueling sirtuins/metabolism). It mainly hits epigenetics/mitochondrial function; rejuvenated cells may indirectly support better NAD use, but NAD precursors (like NMN) are a separate approach. Complementary longevity tools.

Democrats: “lol if we ever come to power again we are going to flood the country with another 100 million illegals and throw you all in prison.” Senate GOP: “Ermmm guys… We can’t break with our precious norms and procedures and pass voter ID…”

Today, in Iran, in the middle of a war, the regime executed a 19-year-old national wrestling champion for the crime of joining January protests. 💔 After signaling to the world, including President @realDonaldTrump, that they would halt executions of protesters, the regime has done the exact opposite. Three young protesters, Saleh Mohammadi, Mehdi Ghasemi, and Saeed Davoudi, were hanged in Qom after a sham trial. Reports indicate torture. Forced confessions. No access to chosen lawyers. Closed-door proceedings. No right to appeal. I call on @GlobalAthleteHQ to stand with Iranian athletes who are being silenced, imprisoned, and executed simply for raising their voices. This is not just about sports. This is about human dignity.