Iran FM Araghchi: "Remember the 12-day war? On day 3, they tweeted 'unconditional surrender'. By day 12, they were asking for an unconditional ceasefire.
If you repeat a failed experiment, you won't get a different result."
My manager asked how long it would take to fix the bug.
I said two weeks.
It took forty minutes.
But now I have two weeks of buffer.
That's called experience.
Here's how it works.
Every estimate I give has a multiplier. The multiplier depends on who's asking.
My manager asks: multiply by 4.
A VP asks: multiply by 6.
The CEO asks: multiply by 10 and add "dependencies."
Dependencies are other teams. Other teams are always slow. Even when they're not involved. Especially when they're not involved.
Nobody checks.
The bug took forty minutes. I fixed it Monday morning.
I didn't tell anyone until Thursday afternoon.
That's three days of buffer.
Buffer is protection. Protection from the next ask.
Because the moment you finish something fast, they ask for something else.
Finish the bug in an hour? Great, can you also look at this other thing?
Finish it in two weeks? Great, take the afternoon off. You earned it.
I earned it by lying about how long things take.
That's not how they'd describe it.
They'd call it "managing expectations."
I'm managing expectations.
My expectations are that I don't want to work that hard.
When I was junior, I gave honest estimates.
"That'll take about two hours."
My reward? Four more tasks that day.
Then I watched the senior engineers.
They said "end of week" for everything.
Everything was "end of week."
A config change? End of week.
A one-line fix? End of week.
A meeting that could've been an email? End of week.
They were never stressed.
I was always stressed.
I learned.
Now I'm senior. Now everything is "end of week."
Or "end of sprint."
Sprint is two weeks. Two weeks is forever. Forever is comfortable.
Sometimes someone pushes back.
"Can we do it faster? This is urgent."
I pause. I look concerned.
"Let me see what I can do."
Then I deliver in three days instead of two weeks.
I'm a hero.
I wasn't faster. I was honest about the original timeline.
But the compression makes me look dedicated.
"He really hustled on this one."
I didn't hustle. I just stopped lying for a moment.
Strategic honesty. Delivered at the right time. After enough fake delays.
The best part is nobody tracks this.
Nobody says, "He estimated two weeks but finished in forty minutes."
They say, "He finished ahead of schedule."
Ahead of schedule.
I set the schedule.
I beat the schedule I invented.
That's exceeding expectations.
I'm exceeding expectations.
My performance review says I'm "highly reliable" and "consistently delivers."
I am reliable.
I reliably estimate 10x what things take.
And I consistently deliver.
Right before my fake deadline.
That's called being senior.
New engineers burn out because they're honest.
I padded my way to work-life balance.
My manager asked why I always seem so calm.
I said, "Experience."
Experience means I've learned to lie about time.
Professionally.
With a straight face.
And a buffer that could fit a vacation.
That's engineering.
One way to execute on this would be to laser-focus on just 2 or 3 Senate seats and 8 to 10 House districts.
Given the razor-thin legislative margins, that would be enough to serve as the deciding vote on contentious laws, ensuring that they serve the true will of the people.
Independence Day is the perfect time to ask if you want independence from the two-party (some would say uniparty) system!
Should we create the America Party?
Joe Rogan had the world's top ADHD expert on his podcast.
He revealed mind-blowing facts about ADHD that 99% of people wouldn't know.
Even Joe Rogan was speechless.
Be prepared to have your mind blown...
7 uncomfortable truths he exposed: 🧵
It’s official. The US Govt funded gain of function research at the Wuhan lab. That research resulted in the creation of Covid-19 by editing a coronavirus to infect humans. The US Govt is responsible for the death of millions. Where is the outrage?
The whole thing together is a work of art. Put it in a time capsule for future generations, or whatever the digital equivalent is. Note the expressions on the faces of the men.
There are physiological benefits from both a moderate amount of vigorous exercise & an immoderate amount of moderate exercise.
The cardiac risks come from moderate amount of moderate exercise & immoderate amount of vigorous exercise.
The logN matches the distributions in nature.