Sufyan

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Sufyan

Sufyan

@hot_buda

المزارع الثائر

Katılım Mart 2023
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Sufyan
Sufyan@hot_buda·
To cultivate one’s person and wait [for destiny to take its own course] is the way to fulfill one’s destiny.” - Mengzi 修身以俟之,所以立命也。
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Yugoslavian Visuals
Yugoslavian Visuals@YugoslavVisuals·
Tito and Jovanka during a hunting trip in Mongolia, 1970s.
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Sufyan
Sufyan@hot_buda·
@QuintusCurtius she was very honest in the memoirs and philosophical. Formidable character and adventerous. An enjoyable read.
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QuintusCurtius
QuintusCurtius@QuintusCurtius·
@hot_buda Did not know this, man....will have to buy this book...Syria is the beating heart of the watan.
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QuintusCurtius
QuintusCurtius@QuintusCurtius·
Everyone pays lip service to this. Very few really know what it means, and the cost involved to make it happen.
Sufyan@hot_buda

@QuintusCurtius Freedom, like wealth, is not something one can boast of unless one has earned it through the sweat of his own brow.

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Sufyan
Sufyan@hot_buda·
@QuintusCurtius you read his wife's memoirs? among the finest I have read. They tried to brake her spirit after his death, imprisoned her in Syria for 10 years, property confiscated...etc
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Sufyan
Sufyan@hot_buda·
@QuintusCurtius Freedom, like wealth, is not something one can boast of unless one has earned it through the sweat of his own brow.
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Sufyan
Sufyan@hot_buda·
Future hope: no one winning the "buffer fringe" to a superpower, but cheap, easy guerrilla weapons making WMDs futile—reviving self rule & political decentralization across all three world regions!
Armchair Warlord@ArmchairW

The Israelis are discovering that in an age of distributed reconnaissance and mass precision attack, the empty battlefield has gone from a slogan to a brutal reality of warfare. If it gets seen it will be attacked - and smart weapons are now as democratized as small arms.

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Kurwenal
Kurwenal@dagodubnos·
This is all we have to learn from the history of humanity: to will the necessary, and to accomplish it ourselves. The creation of this highest, self-overcoming will is a fearless human being, one who never ceases to love. Richard Wagner, 1854
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Sufyan
Sufyan@hot_buda·
Why I believe Italy will win!
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Sufyan
Sufyan@hot_buda·
@DerorCurrency Can we have italians and germans back in forefront, and chosenites sit this century out?
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ADONIS
ADONIS@adonispara·
POV: ur in sicily, she's barefoot on the cobblestone, stole ur cigarette, refuses to give it back, she's tipsy, laughing about something that happened 4 hours ago, the waiter brought limoncello we didn't order, life is good
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Sufyan
Sufyan@hot_buda·
Whither pax americana? The Iranian leader Mosaddegh initiated the downfall of the British Empire by nationalizing oil. 3 years later, Nasser nationalized the Suez Canal. 5 years after that, Abdul Karim Qasim nationalized oil. These 3 blows brought down the British Empire...
tphuang@tphuang

Gasoline + Brent Spot chart w/ 2 posts by @tleilax___ on US oil stock drawdown + Iranian resilience in prior export draughts -> Iran can survive not exporting oil a lot longer than ROW runs down oil inventory -> $150+ Brent spot & $6 gas in US Ceasefire is unsustainable Every day w/o resolution is one day closer to inventory reaching critical levels & longer supply chain disruption (2-3 yr long issues based on COVID experience) Essentially, Trump admin is drawing down US inventory + trying to scare away traders speculating long positions to keep headline WTI paper px down. This is equivalent to a person w/o job pretending he has a job. You are taking away precious time needed to actually solve the problem. There are essentially 2 options here: 1) Resume bombing + put in ground troops. The latter needs to be a really large # to have a chance of success. More US military gear needs to be move into the region. 2) Give up the control of SoH to Iran + significant Centcom drawdown. Which essentially turns Iran into superpower of the region. Asians & Europeans will all have to drop sanctions on Iran to access cheaper energy from the Gulf. UAE is diminished. China/Russia/Iran dominates Eurasia. Both options are essentially politically not workable in America. 2) is geopolitically untenable for Israel & UAE. The loudest realists that were against the war are essentially advocating for 2), but don't want to explain the obvious consequences of giving up the US empire. The DC blob who are against Trump wants to pretend there is a third option where Iran turns stupid & give up on its national interest of becoming the super power of the region. If someone other than Trump takes power in US, could they actually accept 2)? No. Trump admin, facing rising reality of situation, is basically hoping for a third option to show up miraculously. I assume that's what this "short" bombing campaign is all about. But Iran can just rebuild infrastructure, lol. In fact, Centcom will probably run down JASSM b4 it can destroy most of Iranian infrastructure. So, it will in fact need to fly aircraft into Iranian air space, take more chances & have more F-15E down type of scenarios. All of which still just delays the inevitable ground troop scenario, which is what's needed to take away Iranian control of SoH.

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